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ESNT Earnings

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Earning Analysis

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of Essent Group Ltd(ESNT) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of Essent Group Ltd earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.

Earnings Forecast

Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate

Surprise Analysis

Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal QuarterEarning DateTimeEstimateActualSurprise%EstimateActualSurprise%1D5D
Fiscal Quarter
Earning Date
Time
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
1D
5D
FY2025Q32025-11-07Pre-Market1.751.67-4.57317.09M311.83M-1.66+0.54+1.20
FY2025Q22025-08-08Pre-Market1.681.93+14.88318.25M319.14M+0.28+5.70+10.15
FY2025Q12025-05-09Pre-Market1.661.69+1.81310.79M317.56M+2.18-0.32-0.39
FY2024Q42025-02-14Pre-Market1.671.58-5.39315.35M315.03M-0.10-2.59-3.00
FY2024Q32024-11-01Pre-Market1.701.65-2.94315.43M316.58M+0.36-10.40-7.87
FY2024Q22024-08-02-1.681.91+13.69307.89M312.94M+1.64-2.12-2.94
FY2024Q12024-05-03-1.561.70+8.97298.69M298.36M-0.11+0.48+4.15
FY2023Q42024-02-09-1.591.64+3.14286.74M297.28M+3.67-2.19+1.06
FY2023Q32023-11-02-1.571.66+5.73265.84M296.11M+11.39+0.59+0.50
FY2023Q22023-08-04-1.471.61+9.52261.37M260.13M-0.48+3.19+1.86
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ESNT Earnings Analysis

Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, Essent Group Ltd reported performance for FY2025Q3, announced on 2025-11-07. The company achieved an EPS of 1.67, compared to analyst estimates of 1.75 by -4.57% . Revenue for the quarter reached 311.83M compared to expectations of 317.09M by -1.66% .
The stock price reacted with a 0.54% one-day change and a 1.20% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in Essent Group Ltd growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

ESNT Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, Essent Group Ltd(ESNT) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 316.37M and an EPS of 1.73.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Downward by -0.66%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Downward by -2.01%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Downward by -1.15% . These revisions correlate with a -3.62% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in Essent Group Ltd long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

Estimate Revision

The chart shows the correlation between ESNT's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
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-0.66%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
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-2.01%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q4 2025
Revise Downward
down Image
-1.15%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Down
down Image
-3.62%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
--
Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:1.27B
--
EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:7.02
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Stock Price61.55
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ESNT Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective

Essent Group Ltd revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q3 (2025-11-07,Pre-Market):
EPS: 1.67 (Actual) vs.1.75 (Estimate) (-4.57%)
Revenue: 311.83M (Actual) vs. 317.09M (Estimate) (-1.66%)
Price Reaction: 0.54%(1-Day), 1.20%(5-Day)
FY2025Q2 (2025-08-08,Pre-Market):
EPS: 1.93 (Actual) vs.1.68 (Estimate) (14.88%)
Revenue: 319.14M (Actual) vs. 318.25M (Estimate) (0.28%)
Price Reaction: 5.70%(1-Day), 10.15%(5-Day)
FY2025Q1 (2025-05-09,Pre-Market):
EPS: 1.69 (Actual) vs.1.66 (Estimate) (1.81%)
Revenue: 317.56M (Actual) vs. 310.79M (Estimate) (2.18%)
Price Reaction: -0.32%(1-Day), -0.39%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how ESNT performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, ESNT sees a +0.99% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +1.38% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.71%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed 1.11% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by 2.27% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Transcript Summary

Essent Group Ltd (ESNT) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-11-07
The earnings call reveals stable financial performance with a slight increase in EPS and a stable ROE. However, there are concerns about increased provisions for losses and a higher default rate. The Q&A section indicates some analyst concerns over unclear management responses and potential volatility in ceded premiums. Despite a positive outlook on housing and strategic capital management, the lack of significant catalysts or strong guidance suggests a neutral stock price movement. The company's focus on maintaining a conservative balance sheet and strategic growth opportunities further supports a neutral sentiment.
Essent Group Ltd (ESNT) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-08-08
The earnings call highlights strong financial performance, including high operating cash flow and a low debt-to-capital ratio. The Q&A session reveals confidence in the credit outlook and a proactive buyback strategy, suggesting management's belief in undervaluation. Despite some uncertainties in home price trends, the overall sentiment is positive due to operational efficiencies, strong capital position, and strategic shareholder returns.
Essent Group Ltd (ESNT) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-05-10
The earnings call presents a mixed picture. Positive aspects include a dividend increase and significant share repurchases, which typically boost stock prices. However, financial performance shows a slight decline in net income and EPS, coupled with operational challenges like affordability issues and competitive pressures. The Q&A section reveals management's uncertainty about market conditions and reluctance to provide specific guidance, which could be concerning for investors. Overall, these factors balance out, leading to a neutral sentiment, with stock price movement likely staying within a -2% to 2% range.
Essent Group Ltd (ESNT) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-05-09
The earnings call presents a mixed picture. While there are positive elements like the dividend increase, share repurchase plan, and stable credit performance, there are concerns about economic headwinds, competitive pressures, and rising operating expenses. The Q&A section reveals cautious management responses and uncertainty around affordability and tariffs. Despite some positive financial metrics, the lack of clear guidance and potential risks balance out the positives, leading to a neutral sentiment.
Essent Group Ltd (ESNT) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-02-14
The earnings call presents mixed signals. Strong financial performance, dividend increase, and share repurchase are positive, but concerns arise from supply chain issues, high interest rates, and rising default rates. The lack of guidance and management's avoidance in the Q&A add uncertainty. While optimistic elements exist, the balance of risks and positives suggests a neutral stock price movement over the next two weeks.
Essent Group Ltd. (ESNT) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2024-11-01
The earnings call summary presents mixed signals. Basic Financial Performance is stable, but with slight declines in net income and EPS. Product Development and Business Update are neutral with no significant advancements. Market Strategy is moderately positive due to the reinsurance strategy. Expenses and Financial Health are stable, but default rates are rising. Shareholder Return Plan is neutral with modest dividends and repurchases. The Q&A highlights risks from hurricanes and regulatory changes but no major negative sentiment from analysts. Overall, the sentiment is neutral, balancing positive and negative factors.
Essent Group Ltd. (ESNT) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-08-02
The earnings call summary shows strong financial performance with a 15% increase in net income and an 18.6% increase in EPS. The company has a solid capital position and effective cost management, as evidenced by the low expense ratio. Shareholder returns are supported by dividends and share repurchases. While there are some regulatory risks and market uncertainties, management's optimistic outlook and strategic focus on mortgage insurance and reinsurance mitigate concerns. The Q&A section indicates confidence in handling economic changes, further supporting a positive sentiment.

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FAQ

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What were the key highlights of ESNT’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q3?

ESNT reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-11-07, showcasing a revenue of 311.83M against an estimate of 317.09M, resulting in a -1.66% surprise. The EPS was 1.67, surpassing the expected 1.75 by -4.57% . The stock experienced a 0.54% price change on the earnings day and a 1.2% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
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How did ESNT’s stock price react after the FY2025Q3 earnings release?

Following ESNT’s FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-11-07, the stock price moved by 0.54% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a 1.20% change. Historically, ESNT’s stock price tends to shift by an average of +0.99% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and +1.38% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
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What are the revenue and EPS estimates for ESNT for 2025/Q4?

For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate ESNT’s annual revenue to reach 316.37M, while the EPS is projected at 1.73. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Downward by -0.66% and EPS estimates Revise Downward by -1.15% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
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How does ESNT’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

The correlation between ESNT’s stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Downward by -0.66%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Downward by -1.15% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
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What should investors expect from ESNT’s next earnings report?

Based on historical trends, ESNT’s stock price typically moves by +0.99% in the 10 days before its earnings and +1.38% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 1.73 and revenue of 316.37M.
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What is the sentiment in Essent Group Ltd (ESNT) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary?

The earnings call reveals stable financial performance with a slight increase in EPS and a stable ROE. However, there are concerns about increased provisions for losses and a higher default rate. The Q&A section indicates some analyst concerns over unclear management responses and potential volatility in ceded premiums. Despite a positive outlook on housing and strategic capital management, the lack of significant catalysts or strong guidance suggests a neutral stock price movement. The company's focus on maintaining a conservative balance sheet and strategic growth opportunities further supports a neutral sentiment.
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