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ALEX Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Alexander & Baldwin Inc (Hawaii) (ALEX) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
20.840
1 Day change
0.05%
52 Week Range
21.030
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/13
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Alexander & Baldwin Inc (ALEX) is not a strong buy for a beginner investor with a long-term horizon and $50,000-$100,000 available for investment. The company's financial performance is weak, hedge funds are selling, and there are no significant positive catalysts to support a strong upward price movement. While technical indicators show some bullish trends, the lack of strong trading signals and the upcoming removal from the S&P SmallCap 600 index suggest limited upside potential in the near term.

Technical Analysis

The stock shows bullish moving averages (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), but the MACD histogram is below 0 and negatively contracting, suggesting weak momentum. RSI is neutral at 64.681. Key support and resistance levels are close to the current price, indicating limited price movement.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
2
Buy
10

Positive Catalysts

  • The gross margin improved by 9.95% YoY in the latest quarter, indicating some operational efficiency.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • The company is being removed from the S&P SmallCap 600 index, which may reduce institutional interest. Hedge funds are selling heavily, with a 778.93% increase in selling activity over the last quarter. Financial performance is weak, with significant YoY declines in revenue (-18.36%), net income (-69.64%), and EPS (-70.59%).

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, revenue dropped to $50.99M (-18.36% YoY), net income fell to $3.78M (-69.64% YoY), and EPS decreased to $0.05 (-70.59% YoY). Gross margin improved to 45.4% (+9.95% YoY), but overall financial performance remains poor.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

No recent analyst ratings or price target changes are available for evaluation.

Wall Street analysts forecast ALEX stock price to rise
3 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast ALEX stock price to rise
0 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Hold
Current: 20.840
sliders
Low
20.85
Averages
20.95
High
21
Current: 20.840
sliders
Low
20.85
Averages
20.95
High
21
Alliance Global
Buy
to
Neutral
downgrade
$22
AI Analysis
2025-12-10
Reason
Alliance Global
Price Target
$22
AI Analysis
2025-12-10
downgrade
Buy
to
Neutral
Reason
Alliance Global downgraded Alexander & Baldwin to Neutral from Buy with a price target of $20.85, down from $22, after the company announced a deal to go private. The firm believes the transaction reflects a disconnect between Alexander's private market and public market value.
Piper Sandler
Overweight -> Neutral
downgrade
$21
2025-12-09
Reason
Piper Sandler
Price Target
$21
2025-12-09
downgrade
Overweight -> Neutral
Reason
Piper Sandler downgraded Alexander & Baldwin to Neutral from Overweight with an unchanged price target of $21 after the company accepted an all-cash offer of $21.20 per share from a partnership of MW Group. Piper does not expect a competing bid to emerge.
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