Based on the provided data and upcoming earnings report, here's the analysis and prediction for WDAY's stock price next week:
Technical Analysis
- Current price: $256.39 (as of Feb 21, 2025)
- RSI (14) at 45.06 indicates neutral territory but slightly oversold
- MACD shows bearish divergence with MACD at 0.14 and MACDH at -0.94
- Price is trading below all key SMAs (5,10,20-day), suggesting short-term bearish momentum
- Bollinger Bands (20,3) show:
- Upper: $282.11
- Middle: $263.98
- Lower: $245.85
- Current price near lower band indicates potential support level
Fundamental Catalysts
- Earnings release scheduled for February 25th after market close
- Analysts expect:
- Revenue: $2.23 billion
- EPS: $1.81 per share
- Insider trading activity shows concerning pattern with 153 sales and 0 purchases in past 6 months
- Mixed institutional sentiment with 594 institutions adding shares vs 513 reducing positions
Price Targets for Next Week
Bearish Scenario ($245-250):
- Disappointing earnings guidance
- Break below current support at $255
- Probability: 60%
Neutral Scenario ($255-265):
- In-line earnings
- Consolidation within recent range
- Probability: 30%
Bullish Scenario ($270-280):
- Strong earnings beat
- Positive guidance
- Probability: 10%
Trading Recommendation
SELL with target price of $245. Key reasons:
- Negative technical indicators
- Heavy insider selling
- High expectations for earnings create downside risk
- Morgan Stanley's recent downgrade citing concerns about investments not driving growth
- Support level at $245.85 (lower Bollinger Band)
Set stop loss at $270 to manage risk if earnings surprise positively.
Based on the provided data and upcoming earnings report, here's the analysis and prediction for WDAY's stock price next week:
Technical Analysis
- Current price: $256.39 (as of Feb 21, 2025)
- RSI (14) at 45.06 indicates neutral territory but slightly oversold
- MACD shows bearish divergence with MACD at 0.14 and MACDH at -0.94
- Price is trading below all key SMAs (5,10,20-day), suggesting short-term bearish momentum
- Bollinger Bands (20,3) show:
- Upper: $282.11
- Middle: $263.98
- Lower: $245.85
- Current price near lower band indicates potential support level
Fundamental Catalysts
- Earnings release scheduled for February 25th after market close
- Analysts expect:
- Revenue: $2.23 billion
- EPS: $1.81 per share
- Insider trading activity shows concerning pattern with 153 sales and 0 purchases in past 6 months
- Mixed institutional sentiment with 594 institutions adding shares vs 513 reducing positions
Price Targets for Next Week
Bearish Scenario ($245-250):
- Disappointing earnings guidance
- Break below current support at $255
- Probability: 60%
Neutral Scenario ($255-265):
- In-line earnings
- Consolidation within recent range
- Probability: 30%
Bullish Scenario ($270-280):
- Strong earnings beat
- Positive guidance
- Probability: 10%
Trading Recommendation
SELL with target price of $245. Key reasons:
- Negative technical indicators
- Heavy insider selling
- High expectations for earnings create downside risk
- Morgan Stanley's recent downgrade citing concerns about investments not driving growth
- Support level at $245.85 (lower Bollinger Band)
Set stop loss at $270 to manage risk if earnings surprise positively.