Should I Buy Universal Insurance Holdings Inc Stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. UVE has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.
UVE stock price ended at $26.7 on Monday, after rising 0.98%
The Universal Insurance Holdings Inc stock price increased by 0.98% on the last trading day (19 May 2025), rising from 26.53 to 26.7. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 2.33% , ranging from a day low of $26.15 to a day high of 26.76. The price has declined in 5 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 4.09% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by 20.34K shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 269.00K shares were traded, amounting to approximately 7.14M.
UVE Technical Signals
UVE(Universal Insurance Holdings Inc Corp) has 3 buy signals and 5 sell signals now. The current trend is downtrend starting from 2025-04-09. The total price change during this trend is +18.14%. Recently, the price has decreased but the volume has also decreased, indicating a potential rebound signal. The average turnover of UVE over the last 5 trading days is 9.57M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bearish outlook in the mid-term.
UVE Moving Average Analysis
Universal Insurance Holdings Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Tuesday, May 20, 2025, with 0 negative signals and 4 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being above the SMA_60 signals a strong bullish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $26.748282133333333, and $27.367733333333334. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $24.743984533333332, and $24.124533333333332. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
UVE Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of Universal Insurance Holdings Inc(UVE) as of 12 May 2025 is 16.28%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 26.01 to 25.77. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating price hit a bottom.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Sell
5
Buy
3
Moving Average
Swing
PositiveStock Price Above SMA_5
Short Term
PositiveSMA_5 Above SMA_20
Mid Term
PositiveSMA_20 Above SMA_60
Long Term
PositiveSMA_60 Above SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
3 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 > 0
2.013
Bullish
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 > 0
1.2
Bullish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 > 0
0.915
Bullish
5 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Relative Strength Index (14 days)
RSI_14 > 70
70.71
Bearish
Stochastic Oscillator %K (14, 3, 3)
STOCHk_14_3_3 > 80
91.674
Bearish
Commodity Channel Index (20 days, 0.015 constant)
CCI_20_0.015 > 100
102.67
Bearish
Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)
STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 > 80
84.185
Bearish
Williams %R (14 days)
WILLR_14 > -20
-2.787
Bearish
UVE Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Universal Insurance Holdings Inc(UVE), our algorithm predicts UVE's 1-month price at $25.59, with an -3.23%downwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 98.71%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for Universal Insurance Holdings Inc (UVE.N) stock, as of Sunday, May 18, 2025 , forecasts a -3.23% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with ASM.A stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 98.71%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
UVE
No Data
ASM
Down: -3.23%Similarity: 98.71%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
ASM.A
98.71%
-3.23%
BDX.N
98.50%
-3.83%
SAM.N
98.47%
+2.81%
MYGN.O
98.34%
+4.03%
NSA.N
98.29%
+7.69%
SXC.N
98.24%
+3.21%
KMPR.N
98.23%
+2.24%
SNA.N
98.23%
+4.55%
MODV.O
98.23%
+13.35%
ITGR.N
98.20%
+0.04%
UVE Seasonality Analysis
Based on UVE's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is63.64%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in UVE. In contrast,Novemberoffers the highest probability of positive returns at90.00%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying Universal Insurance Holdings Inc (UVE.N) stock in November has the highest probability of a positive return (90.00%), while April has the lowest probability (36.36%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows Universal Insurance Holdings Inc. (UVE)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
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FAQ
Should I buy Universal Insurance Holdings Inc (UVE.N) stock?
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Which bearish technical signals does UVE have?
Is UVE a buy based on overall technical signals summary?
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