UVE Stock Price Prediction

Universal Insurance Holdings Inc

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26.010

+0.580(+2.280%)

Overview
Forecast
Valuation

Should I Buy Universal Insurance Holdings Inc Stock?

Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. UVE has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.

UVE stock price ended at $26.01 on Friday, after rising 2.28%

The Universal Insurance Holdings Inc stock price increased by 2.28% on the last trading day (09 May 2025), rising from 25.34 to 26.01. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 3.99% , ranging from a day low of $25.34 to a day high of 26.35. The price has declined in 3 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 10.07% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by 253.52K shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 407.23K shares were traded, amounting to approximately 10.59M.

UVE Technical Signals

UVE(Universal Insurance Holdings Inc Corp) has 4 buy signals and 5 sell signals now. The current trend is downtrend starting from 2025-04-09. The total price change during this trend is +16.22%. Recently, the price has increased significantly with an increase in volume, indicating a strong bullish signal. The average turnover of UVE over the last 5 trading days is 7.44M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Neutral outlook in the mid-term.

UVE Moving Average Analysis

Universal Insurance Holdings Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Saturday, May 10, 2025, with 0 negative signals and 4 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being above the SMA_60 signals a strong bullish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $26.877766666666666, and $28.195666666666668. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $22.613566666666664, and $21.295666666666662. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.

UVE Short Selling Analysis

The short sale ratio of Universal Insurance Holdings Inc(UVE) as of 08 May 2025 is 21.03%, rising from last trading day. With increasing price from 25.31 to 25.43. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating a price reversion.

Technical Signal

Technical Signals Summary

Neutral

Sell

Buy

Moving Average

Swing

Positive

Stock Price Above SMA_5

Short Term

Positive

SMA_5 Above SMA_20

Mid Term

Positive

SMA_20 Above SMA_60

Long Term

Positive

SMA_60 Above SMA_200

Short Selling

Close Price

Short Sale Ratio

Short Sale Volume

4 Bullish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)

AO_5_34 > 0

2.133

Bullish

Momentum (10 days)

MOM_10 > 0

2.38

Bullish

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)

MACD_12_26_9 > 0

0.874

Bullish

Moving Average

Price crosses above 5-day SMA

Bullish

5 Bearish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Relative Strength Index (14 days)

RSI_14 > 70

70.408

Bearish

Stochastic Oscillator %K (14, 3, 3)

STOCHk_14_3_3 > 80

87.458

Bearish

Commodity Channel Index (20 days, 0.015 constant)

CCI_20_0.015 > 100

128.993

Bearish

Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)

STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 > 80

84.23

Bearish

Williams %R (14 days)

WILLR_14 > -20

-9.855

Bearish

UVE Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis

Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Universal Insurance Holdings Inc(UVE), our algorithm predicts UVE's 1-month price at $24.95, with an -1.15%downwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 93.70%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.

Similar Chart

The price prediction chart for Universal Insurance Holdings Inc (UVE.N) stock, as of Sunday, May 4, 2025 , forecasts a -1.15% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with PKOH.O stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 93.7%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.

UVE

Future prediction

Up: -1.15%

PKOH

Down: -1.15%Similarity: 93.7%

Name

Similarity

Up/Down

PKOH.O

93.70%

-1.15%

DOX.O

93.36%

+2.75%

MKC.V.N

92.84%

+5.56%

DRH.N

92.77%

+3.67%

NGG.N

92.76%

-3.17%

SAN.N

92.51%

-9.96%

LYG.N

92.51%

-11.85%

TU.N

92.14%

-0.70%

WTRG.N

92.05%

-1.82%

OGS.N

91.89%

+1.20%

UVE Seasonality Analysis

Based on UVE's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is63.64%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in UVE. In contrast,Novemberoffers the highest probability of positive returns at90.00%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.

However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.

Monthly Seasonality

The radar chart shows that buying Universal Insurance Holdings Inc (UVE.N) stock in November has the highest probability of a positive return (90.00%), while April has the lowest probability (36.36%).

Performance Seasonality

The chart shows Universal Insurance Holdings Inc. (UVE)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.