UNP Relative Valuation
UNP's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, UNP is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.
Historical Valuation
Union Pacific Corp (UNP) is now in the Fair zone, suggesting that its current forward PE ratio of 19.22 is considered Fairly compared with the five-year average of 20.06. The fair price of Union Pacific Corp (UNP) is between 236.51 to 269.84 according to relative valuation methord.
Relative Value
Fair Zone
236.51-269.84
Current Price：237.29
Fair
19.22
PE
1Y
3Y
5Y
Trailing
Forward
13.05
EV/EBITDA
Union Pacific Corp. (UNP) has a current EV/EBITDA of 13.05. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 13.85. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 12.05, Undervalued between 12.05 and 12.95, Fairly Valued between 14.74 and 12.95, Overvalued between 14.74 and 15.64, and Strongly Overvalued above 15.64. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 13.05 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.
16.23
EV/EBIT
Union Pacific Corp. (UNP) has a current EV/EBIT of 16.23. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 17.25. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 14.99, Undervalued between 14.99 and 16.12, Fairly Valued between 18.39 and 16.12, Overvalued between 18.39 and 19.52, and Strongly Overvalued above 19.52. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 16.23 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.
5.54
PS
Union Pacific Corp. (UNP) has a current PS of 5.54. The 5-year average PS is 5.81. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 4.64, Undervalued between 4.64 and 5.23, Fairly Valued between 6.39 and 5.23, Overvalued between 6.39 and 6.98, and Strongly Overvalued above 6.98. The current Forward PS of 5.54 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.
13.73
P/OCF
Union Pacific Corp. (UNP) has a current P/OCF of 13.73. The 5-year average P/OCF is 14.66. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 12.11, Undervalued between 12.11 and 13.39, Fairly Valued between 15.94 and 13.39, Overvalued between 15.94 and 17.22, and Strongly Overvalued above 17.22. The current Forward P/OCF of 13.73 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.
20.19
P/FCF
Union Pacific Corp. (UNP) has a current P/FCF of 20.19. The 5-year average P/FCF is 22.34. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 16.97, Undervalued between 16.97 and 19.65, Fairly Valued between 25.03 and 19.65, Overvalued between 25.03 and 27.72, and Strongly Overvalued above 27.72. The current Forward P/FCF of 20.19 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.
Union Pacific Corp (UNP) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 8.13. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 9.19 , the current P/B ratio is approximately -11.52% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 9.64, the current P/B ratio is about -15.63% higher. Union Pacific Corp (UNP) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 0.00%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 4.00%, the current FCF yield is approximately -100.00% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 4.03% , the current FCF yield is about -100.00% lower.
8.13
P/B
Median3y
9.19
Median5y
9.64
4.31
FCF Yield
Median3y
4.00
Median5y
4.03
Competitors Valuation Multiple
The average P/S ratio for UNP's competitors is , providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Union Pacific Corp Corp (UNP) exhibits a P/S ratio of , which is NaN% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of 2.51%, this premium appears unsustainable.
P/S
P/E
EV/EBITDA
EV/EBIT
P/S
Revenue Growth
Market Cap
Performance Decomposition
1Y
3Y
5Y
Market capitalization of UNP increased by 4.06% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in Margin Expansion from 27.43 to 28.64.
The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed 2.51%to the performance.
Overall, the performance of UNP in the past 1 year is driven by Margin Expansion. Which is more sustainable.
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