Should You Buy Textron Inc (TXT) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
86.790
1 Day change
-7.90%
52 Week Range
96.980
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/26
Textron Inc (TXT) is not a strong buy for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy at this moment. While the company shows solid financial growth and has positive congressional trading sentiment, the lack of strong buy signals, insider and hedge fund selling trends, and limited upside potential based on technical and analyst data suggest holding off for now.
Technical Analysis
The stock is in a bullish trend with moving averages indicating upward momentum (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200). MACD is positive at 0.18, but contracting, and RSI is neutral at 60.622. The pre-market price is $95.25, slightly above the pivot point ($94.336) but below the first resistance level ($96.345). Short-term downside probabilities (-0.43% next day, -0.3% next week) suggest limited immediate upside.
Options Data
Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio
Technical Summary
Sell
7
Buy
7
Positive Catalysts
Strong financial performance in Q3 2025 with revenue up 5.11% YoY, net income up 4.93% YoY, and EPS up 11.02% YoY.
Congressional trading data shows positive sentiment with two purchase transactions in the last 90 days, indicating confidence in the stock.
The very light jet market is projected to grow significantly, which could benefit Textron's aviation segment.
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
Insider and hedge fund selling have increased significantly (insiders: +317.08% last month, hedge funds: +256.25% last quarter), indicating reduced confidence from key stakeholders.
Analyst ratings are neutral, with price targets close to the current price ($94-$91 range), suggesting limited upside potential.
Stock trend analysis shows a 70% chance of minor declines in the next day (-0.43%), week (-0.3%), and month (-0.11%).
Financial Performance
In Q3 2025, Textron reported revenue of $3.602 billion (+5.11% YoY), net income of $234 million (+4.93% YoY), EPS of $1.31 (+11.02% YoY), and gross margin of 18.16% (+26.46% YoY). These figures indicate solid growth and profitability improvements.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Analysts have a neutral stance on Textron. Bernstein raised the price target to $94 from $90 with a Market Perform rating, while Citi initiated coverage with a Neutral rating and a $91 price target. Both firms highlight strong demand in the aerospace and defense sector but do not see Textron as a standout performer.
Wall Street analysts forecast TXT stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for TXT is 89.71 USD with a low forecast of 86 USD and a high forecast of 94 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
7 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast TXT stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for TXT is 89.71 USD with a low forecast of 86 USD and a high forecast of 94 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
0 Buy
7 Hold
0 Sell
Hold
Current: 94.230
Low
86
Averages
89.71
High
94
Current: 94.230
Low
86
Averages
89.71
High
94
Bernstein
Bernstein
Market Perform
maintain
$90 -> $94
AI Analysis
2026-01-06
Reason
Bernstein
Bernstein
Price Target
$90 -> $94
AI Analysis
2026-01-06
maintain
Market Perform
Reason
Bernstein raised the firm's price target on Textron to $94 from $90 and keeps a Market Perform rating on the shares. Commercial aerospace stocks had an extraordinary year in 2025, and the firm expects 2026 to be another one. For 2026, demand remains very high and should outstrip supply beyond 2030.
Citi
Neutral
initiated
$91
2025-12-11
Reason
Citi
Price Target
$91
2025-12-11
initiated
Neutral
Reason
Citi initiated coverage of Textron with a Neutral rating and $91 price target. The firm launched coverage on 24 stocks in the aerospace and defense sector, saying the group faces a "number of megatrends" across commercial aerospace, defense, shipbuilding, and space. Citi sees these trends creating at least one trillion-dollar market cap company in the coming years. GE Aerospace could get there in as little as five years, Citi contends. The firm calls RTX "the Marquee Megatrend stock" and believes Boeing is an "unusually attractive mega-cap turnaround" story. The analyst expects improving trends in Q4 and continued momentum in Q1 for the sector.
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