Should I Buy Tesla Inc Stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. TSLA has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.
TSLA stock price ended at $318.38 on Monday, after rising 6.75%
The Tesla Inc stock price increased by 6.75% on the last trading day (12 May 2025), rising from 321.99 to 318.38. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 3.44% , ranging from a day low of $311.5 to a day high of 322.21. The price has declined in 4 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 11.37% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by -19.56M shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 112.83M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 35.78B.
TSLA Technical Signals
TSLA(Tesla Inc Corp) has 5 buy signals and 4 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-05-07. The total price change during this trend is +15.36%. Recently, the price has increased but the volume has decreased, indicating a potential warning signal. The average turnover of TSLA over the last 5 trading days is 26.79B. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Neutral outlook in the mid-term.
TSLA Moving Average Analysis
Tesla Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Tuesday, May 13, 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $325.29607333333337, and $344.94233333333335. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $261.7285933333333, and $242.08233333333334. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
TSLA Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of Tesla Inc(TSLA) as of 09 May 2025 is 30.36%, rising from last trading day. With increasing price from 284.82 to 298.26. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating a price reversion.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Sell
4
Buy
5
Moving Average
Swing
PositiveStock Price Above SMA_5
Short Term
PositiveSMA_5 Above SMA_20
Mid Term
NegativeSMA_20 Below SMA_60
Long Term
NegativeSMA_60 Below SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
5 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 > 0
24.748
Bullish
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 > 0
32.76
Bullish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 > 0
9.512
Bullish
Closing price
close > fibonacci_R1
318.64
Bullish
Moving Average
5-day SMA crosses above 10-day SMA
--
Bullish
4 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Stochastic Oscillator %K (14, 3, 3)
STOCHk_14_3_3 > 80
90.035
Bearish
Commodity Channel Index (20 days, 0.015 constant)
CCI_20_0.015 > 100
163.814
Bearish
Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)
STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 > 80
93.921
Bearish
Williams %R (14 days)
WILLR_14 > -20
-4.59
Bearish
TSLA Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Tesla Inc(TSLA), our algorithm predicts TSLA's 1-month price at $281.62, with an -5.58%downwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 92.19%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for Tesla Inc (TSLA.O) stock, as of Sunday, May 11, 2025 , forecasts a -5.58% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with STC.N stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 92.19%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
TSLA
No Data
STC
Down: -5.58%Similarity: 92.19%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
STC.N
92.19%
-5.58%
SBET.O
91.82%
-17.19%
TSLA Seasonality Analysis
Based on TSLA's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is45.45%, suggesting it maynotbe an ideal month to invest in TSLA. In contrast,Juneoffers the highest probability of positive returns at80.00%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying Tesla Inc (TSLA.O) stock in June has the highest probability of a positive return (80.00%), while September has the lowest probability (30.00%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows Tesla Inc. (TSLA)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
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FAQ
Should I buy Tesla Inc (TSLA.O) stock?
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