Should I Buy TRN? TRN 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Trinity Industries Inc (TRN) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

28.700

1 Day change

1.95%

52 Week Range

38.800

Analysis Updated At

2026/01/26

Trinity Industries Inc. (TRN) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. The technical indicators are neutral to slightly bearish, options data shows low trading sentiment, and the company's recent financial performance indicates declining revenue and net income. There are no significant positive catalysts or influential trading activity to justify immediate action. Holding or exploring other opportunities may be more prudent.

Technical Analysis

The MACD histogram is negative and expanding (-0.126), indicating bearish momentum. RSI is neutral at 40.063, and moving averages are converging, suggesting no clear trend. The stock is trading below the pivot level (27.86), with support at 26.656 and resistance at 29.063. Overall, the technical outlook is neutral to slightly bearish.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Options data indicates low trading sentiment, with a very low put-call volume ratio (0.03) and a moderate open interest put-call ratio (0.51). Implied volatility is at 32.3%, with an IV percentile of 25.2, suggesting limited market interest.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

The gross margin increased significantly by 46.75% YoY in Q3 2025, and EPS remained stable, showing some operational efficiency despite revenue and net income declines.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

There is no recent news or significant trading activity from insiders, hedge funds, or Congress. Technical indicators are neutral to bearish, and there are no strong analyst upgrades or positive sentiment.

Financial Performance

In Q3 2025, revenue dropped significantly by 43.15% YoY to $454.1 million, and net income decreased by 3.50% YoY to $30.3 million. However, gross margin improved by 46.75% YoY to 31.14%, and EPS remained stable at 0.37.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

There is no recent analyst activity specifically for TRN. The provided analyst ratings and price targets are for other companies, making them irrelevant for this analysis.

2 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast TRN stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for TRN is 27 USD with a low forecast of 23 USD and a high forecast of 31 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

0 Buy

2 Hold

0 Sell

Hold

Current: 28.150

Low

Averages

High

Current: 28.150

Low

Averages

High

Susquehanna

Bascome Majors

Neutral

maintain

$23 -> $28

AI Analysis

2026-01-26

New

Reason

Susquehanna

Bascome Majors

Price Target

$23 -> $28

AI Analysis

2026-01-26

New

maintain

Neutral

Reason

Susquehanna analyst Bascome Majors raised the firm's price target on Trinity Industries to $28 from $23 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The firm adjusted rail equipment targets as part of a 2026 outlook. The North America railcar backdrop is "soft but stable," with locomotive better than feared and momentum in international, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Susquehanna also sees some lingering tariff uncertainty.

Oppenheimer

Perform -> Outperform

upgrade

$460

2026-01-20

Reason

Oppenheimer

Price Target

$460

2026-01-20

upgrade

Perform -> Outperform

Reason

As previously reported, Oppenheimer upgraded Trane to Outperform from Perform with a $460 price target. The firm cites opportunity from recent de-rating, favorable bookings comparison for Q4 and positive non-residential indicators, Q1 2026 estimates digesting short-cycle softness, and likely upside to consensus FY26-2027 estimates.

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TRN Should I Buy

TRN Should I Buy

Should You Buy Trinity Industries Inc (TRN) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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