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TRN Earnings

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Earning Analysis

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of Trinity Industries Inc(TRN) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of Trinity Industries Inc earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.

Earnings Forecast

Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate

Surprise Analysis

Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal QuarterEarning DateTimeEstimateActualSurprise%EstimateActualSurprise%1D5D
Fiscal Quarter
Earning Date
Time
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
1D
5D
FY2025Q32025-10-30Pre-Market0.390.38-2.56532.66M454.10M-14.75-2.80-6.18
FY2025Q22025-07-31Pre-Market0.310.19-38.71583.53M506.20M-13.25-6.73+5.44
FY2025Q12025-05-01Pre-Market0.330.29-12.12619.85M585.40M-5.56-2.87-1.91
FY2024Q42025-02-20Pre-Market0.340.39+14.71589.30M629.40M+6.80-8.33-8.92
FY2024Q32024-10-31Pre-Market0.380.43+13.16696.00M798.80M+14.77-4.06+3.55
FY2024Q22024-08-01--0.66-738.00M841.40M+14.01+10.41-0.97
FY2024Q12024-05-01-0.260.33+26.92750.97M809.60M+7.81+13.57+17.49
FY2023Q42024-02-22-0.660.82+24.24802.10M797.90M-0.52-4.15-8.03
FY2023Q32023-11-02-0.350.26-25.71702.50M821.30M+16.91+9.90+11.55
FY2023Q22023-08-01-0.330.23-30.30644.73M722.40M+12.05-2.44+0.15
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TRN Earnings Analysis

Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, Trinity Industries Inc reported performance for FY2025Q3, announced on 2025-10-30. The company achieved an EPS of 0.38, compared to analyst estimates of 0.39 by -2.56% . Revenue for the quarter reached 454.10M compared to expectations of 532.66M by -14.75% .
The stock price reacted with a -2.80% one-day change and a -6.18% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in Trinity Industries Inc growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

TRN Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, Trinity Industries Inc(TRN) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 538.95M and an EPS of 0.70.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Upward by 1.03%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Upward by 5.08%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Upward by 4.06% . These revisions correlate with a -3.29% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in Trinity Industries Inc long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

Estimate Revision

The chart shows the correlation between TRN's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
up Image
+1.03%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
up Image
+5.08%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q4 2025
Revise Upward
up Image
+4.06%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Down
down Image
-3.29%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
--
Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:2.08B
--
EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:1.55
—
Stock Price27.63
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TRN Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective

Trinity Industries Inc revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q3 (2025-10-30,Pre-Market):
EPS: 0.38 (Actual) vs.0.39 (Estimate) (-2.56%)
Revenue: 454.10M (Actual) vs. 532.66M (Estimate) (-14.75%)
Price Reaction: -2.80%(1-Day), -6.18%(5-Day)
FY2025Q2 (2025-07-31,Pre-Market):
EPS: 0.19 (Actual) vs.0.31 (Estimate) (-38.71%)
Revenue: 506.20M (Actual) vs. 583.53M (Estimate) (-13.25%)
Price Reaction: -6.73%(1-Day), 5.44%(5-Day)
FY2025Q1 (2025-05-01,Pre-Market):
EPS: 0.29 (Actual) vs.0.33 (Estimate) (-12.12%)
Revenue: 585.40M (Actual) vs. 619.85M (Estimate) (-5.56%)
Price Reaction: -2.87%(1-Day), -1.91%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how TRN performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, TRN sees a +1.30% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +2.93% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.25%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed 1.18% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by -6.40% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Transcript Summary

Trinity Industries Inc (TRN) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-10-30
The earnings call summary presents mixed signals. While there are positive aspects such as strong lease fleet performance, favorable mix, and operational efficiencies, the overall industry outlook remains uncertain with delivery levels below replacement demand and vague guidance for the future. The Q&A section highlights uncertainties and delayed demand due to market conditions and policy uncertainty. Despite some positive elements like increased renewal rates and strong secondary market demand, the lack of clear guidance and industry challenges suggest a neutral sentiment for the stock price over the next two weeks.
Trinity Industries Inc (TRN) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-07-31
The earnings call indicates a positive outlook with strong cash flow, increased railcar orders, and high fleet utilization. Management expects margins and deliveries to improve, supported by efficiency gains and favorable market conditions. Despite some uncertainties, the company's proactive tax management and optimistic guidance on industry trends suggest a positive sentiment. The company's market cap indicates a moderate reaction, likely resulting in a stock price increase of 2% to 8% over the next two weeks.
Trinity Industries Inc (TRN) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2025-05-01
The earnings call highlights several negative factors, including expected lower railcar deliveries, margin compression, and economic uncertainties affecting demand. Despite positive lease rate trends and shareholder returns, the weak guidance, macroeconomic challenges, and management's vague responses in the Q&A session contribute to a negative sentiment. The company's market cap suggests a moderate reaction, leading to a predicted stock price decline of 2% to 8% over the next two weeks.
Trinity Industries Inc (TRN) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2025-05-01
The earnings call highlights several concerns: a decrease in GAAP EPS by 12% YoY, margin compression, and macroeconomic uncertainties affecting demand and revenue. Despite strong lease fleet utilization and shareholder returns, the guidance for 2025 EPS is lower than previous growth rates, and industry deliveries are expected to decline. The management's inability to provide clear guidance on order outpacing deliveries adds to the negative sentiment. Given the market cap of over $2 billion, the stock is likely to react negatively, but not drastically, resulting in a predicted movement of -2% to -8%.
Trinity Industries Inc (TRN) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-03-25
The earnings call reflects strong financial performance with substantial increases in revenues, EBITDA, and net income. The dividend increase and record-high regulated investments are positive indicators. However, the rise in net debt and a slight dip in EBITDA margin are concerns. The Q&A session did not reveal significant risks, and management's optimistic outlook on authorized projects and energy transition execution supports a positive sentiment. Given the market cap, the stock price is likely to rise by 2% to 8% over the next two weeks.
Trinity Industries Inc (TRN) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-02-21
The earnings call highlights strong financial performance with a 32% increase in adjusted EPS and significant improvement in operating profit and margins. The increased dividend and share repurchases signal confidence in financial health. Despite uncertainties in backlog coverage and tariff impacts, management's optimistic outlook for the second half of 2025 and the ability to pass on costs mitigate concerns. The market cap suggests a moderate reaction, leading to a positive prediction (2% to 8%) for the stock price over the next two weeks.
Trinity Industries, Inc. (TRN) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-10-31
The earnings call presents a generally positive outlook with strong financial performance, increased EPS guidance, and high demand for railcars. The Q&A section highlights continued improvement in margins and positive market sentiment. Despite some concerns about customer skittishness and the impact of elections, the company's operational efficiency and favorable lease rates are promising. The market cap suggests moderate reactions, leading to a positive prediction for stock movement.
Trinity Industries, Inc. (TRN) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-08-01
The earnings call summary indicates strong financial performance with increased EPS, revenue, and operating profit. The raised EPS guidance and stable railcar demand are positive indicators. Despite some risks like regulatory changes and supply chain challenges, the market outlook is stable with a healthy backlog. The Q&A confirms strong margins and lease rates, supporting a positive sentiment. Given the company's market cap of $2.4 billion, the stock is likely to react positively, within the 2% to 8% range, driven by strong financial metrics and optimistic guidance.

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FAQ

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What were the key highlights of TRN’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q3?

TRN reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-10-30, showcasing a revenue of 454.10M against an estimate of 532.66M, resulting in a -14.75% surprise. The EPS was 0.38, surpassing the expected 0.39 by -2.56% . The stock experienced a -2.8% price change on the earnings day and a -6.18% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
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How did TRN’s stock price react after the FY2025Q3 earnings release?

Following TRN’s FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-10-30, the stock price moved by -2.80% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a -6.18% change. Historically, TRN’s stock price tends to shift by an average of +1.30% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and +2.93% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
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What are the revenue and EPS estimates for TRN for 2025/Q4?

For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate TRN’s annual revenue to reach 538.95M, while the EPS is projected at 0.70. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Upward by 1.03% and EPS estimates Revise Upward by 4.06% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
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How does TRN’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

The correlation between TRN’s stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Upward by 1.03%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Upward by 4.06% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
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What should investors expect from TRN’s next earnings report?

Based on historical trends, TRN’s stock price typically moves by +1.30% in the 10 days before its earnings and +2.93% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 0.70 and revenue of 538.95M.
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What is the sentiment in Trinity Industries Inc (TRN) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary?

The earnings call summary presents mixed signals. While there are positive aspects such as strong lease fleet performance, favorable mix, and operational efficiencies, the overall industry outlook remains uncertain with delivery levels below replacement demand and vague guidance for the future. The Q&A section highlights uncertainties and delayed demand due to market conditions and policy uncertainty. Despite some positive elements like increased renewal rates and strong secondary market demand, the lack of clear guidance and industry challenges suggest a neutral sentiment for the stock price over the next two weeks.
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