TRN Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how TRN performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, TRN sees a +1.11% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -0.08% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.25%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
TRN Key Earning Data
2024/Q4
Year Over Year
Quarter Over Quarter
Total Revenue
629.40M
-21.12%
-21.21%
Gross Margin
24.63%
22.11%
16.07%
Operating Margin
14.84%
5.47%
8.72%
Net Margin
6.48%
-29.57%
26.81%
EPS
0.34
-55.26%
-8.11%
No Data Available
TRN Earnings Analysis
Trinity Industries Inc Corporation (TRN.N) Earnings Conference Call
Positive
Investment Commitment Increase: Terna has committed to over €16.5 billion in investments, a 65% increase from the previous plan, demonstrating strong ambition and commitment to the future of energy.
Project Authorization Increase: In 2024, Terna obtained authorization for 25 projects worth over €2.3 billion, increasing the coverage of authorized projects to about 90% of total planned CapEx spending, up from 79% in the previous plan.
Strong Economic Performance: The company reported high double-digit growth in all key economic indicators for 2024, showcasing its strong performance and ability to exceed expectations.
Sustainability Leadership Recognition: Terna was listed in the Dow Jones Sustainability Index for the sixteenth consecutive year, reaffirming its leadership in sustainability.
National Development Plan Investments: The 2025 National Development Plan includes over €23 billion in investments over the next ten years, a 10% increase compared to the previous plan, aimed at enhancing grid efficiency and resilience.
Digital Portal Launch: The company has launched a new digital portal, Terra, for efficient planning of renewables and infrastructures, supporting the integration of renewable energy sources.
Electrochemical Storage Capacity Expansion: Terna's electrochemical storage plants reached a capacity of 12.9 gigawatt hours by the end of 2024, essential for managing the flexibility needs of the energy system.
Renewable Energy Transition: The company expects to significantly reduce dependence on imported energy, with projections indicating that 63% of domestic consumption will be met by renewables by 2030.
Net Income Growth: Terna's net income for 2024 reached €1.062 billion, a 20% increase from 2023, reflecting strong financial performance and growth.
Dividend Increase Announcement: The proposed dividend for 2024 is €39.62 per share, up 17% year on year, demonstrating a commitment to shareholder returns.
Negative
Rising Net Debt: Increased net debt: Terna's net debt rose to €11.2 billion in 2024, up from €10.5 billion in 2023, indicating a growing financial burden as the company accelerates its capital expenditures.
Regulatory Hurdles Impacting Performance: Regulatory challenges: The company faces ongoing regulatory hurdles, particularly regarding the remuneration of work in progress, which could impact its financial performance compared to other regulated entities in Italy.
Energy Transition Execution Risks: Execution risks: There are concerns about the execution of the energy transition in Italy, particularly regarding the authorization processes for renewable energy projects, which could delay planned investments.
External Financing Risks: Dependence on external financing: The company may need to rely on hybrid capital issuance to finance its ambitious investment plans, which could affect its credit rating if not managed carefully.
EBITDA Margin Decline: Lower EBITDA margin: The updated business plan shows a decrease in the EBITDA margin from 70% to 64%, raising questions about the profitability of the additional revenues generated.
Rising Cost Concerns: Potential for increased costs: The company anticipates rising costs in raw materials and project execution, which could further strain financial resources and impact profitability.
TRN FAQs
How does TRN typically perform around its earnings report dates?
Is Trinity Industries Inc (TRN) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary positive or negative?
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TRN Earning Call Sentiment
Earnings call transcript: Terna’s Q4 2024 results show strong growth
TRN.N
-0.59%Positive
The earnings call reflects strong financial performance with substantial increases in revenues, EBITDA, and net income. The dividend increase and record-high regulated investments are positive indicators. However, the rise in net debt and a slight dip in EBITDA margin are concerns. The Q&A session did not reveal significant risks, and management's optimistic outlook on authorized projects and energy transition execution supports a positive sentiment. Given the market cap, the stock price is likely to rise by 2% to 8% over the next two weeks.
