TRN Valuation

Trinity Industries Inc

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28.260

+0.21(0.749%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

TRN Relative Valuation

TRN's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, TRN is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Trinity Industries Inc (TRN) is now in the Fair zone, suggesting that its current forward PE ratio of 18.06 is considered Fairly compared with the five-year average of 23.98. The fair price of Trinity Industries Inc (TRN) is between 21.92 to 49.34 according to relative valuation methord.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

21.92-49.34

Current Price：28.26

Fair

18.06

Trailing

Forward

10.71

EV/EBITDA

Trinity Industries Inc. (TRN) has a current EV/EBITDA of 10.71. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 11.90. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 8.67, Undervalued between 8.67 and 10.28, Fairly Valued between 13.51 and 10.28, Overvalued between 13.51 and 15.12, and Strongly Overvalued above 15.12. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 10.71 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

17.84

EV/EBIT

Trinity Industries Inc. (TRN) has a current EV/EBIT of 17.84. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 20.59. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 11.64, Undervalued between 11.64 and 16.11, Fairly Valued between 25.06 and 16.11, Overvalued between 25.06 and 29.53, and Strongly Overvalued above 29.53. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 17.84 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

1.01

Trinity Industries Inc. (TRN) has a current PS of 1.01. The 5-year average PS is 1.01. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.34, Undervalued between 0.34 and 0.68, Fairly Valued between 1.35 and 0.68, Overvalued between 1.35 and 1.68, and Strongly Overvalued above 1.68. The current Forward PS of 1.01 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

5.73

P/OCF

Trinity Industries Inc. (TRN) has a current P/OCF of 5.73. The 5-year average P/OCF is 5.81. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.81, Undervalued between 0.81 and 3.31, Fairly Valued between 8.32 and 3.31, Overvalued between 8.32 and 10.82, and Strongly Overvalued above 10.82. The current Forward P/OCF of 5.73 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

18.97

P/FCF

Trinity Industries Inc. (TRN) has a current P/FCF of 18.97. The 5-year average P/FCF is -26.22. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -377.96, Undervalued between -377.96 and -202.09, Fairly Valued between 149.65 and -202.09, Overvalued between 149.65 and 325.52, and Strongly Overvalued above 325.52. The current Forward P/FCF of 18.97 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

Trinity Industries Inc (TRN) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 2.27. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 2.22 , the current P/B ratio is approximately 2.01% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 2.12, the current P/B ratio is about 6.80% higher. Trinity Industries Inc (TRN) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 0.00%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of -21.38%, the current FCF yield is approximately -100.00% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of -14.32% , the current FCF yield is about -100.00% lower.

2.27

P/B

Median3y

2.22

Median5y

2.12

-10.69

FCF Yield

Median3y

-21.38

Median5y

-14.32

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for TRN's competitors is , providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Trinity Industries Inc Corp (TRN) exhibits a P/S ratio of , which is NaN% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of -39.84%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

TRN.N

Trinity Industries Inc

Greenbrier Companies Inc

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of TRN decreased by 16.62% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in P/E Change from 13.70 to 21.99.

The secondary factor is the Margin Expansion, contributed -37.34%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of TRN in the past 1 year is driven by P/E Change. Which is more unsustainable.

-39.84%

841.40M → 506.20M

Revenue Growth

-37.34%

6.91 → 4.33

Margin Expansion

60.56%

13.70 → 21.99

P/E Change

-16.62%