TLYS Valuation

Tillys Inc

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1.580

+0.05(3.268%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

TLYS Relative Valuation

TLYS's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, TLYS is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Tillys Inc (TLYS) is now in the Undervalued zone, suggesting that its current forward PS ratio of 0.08 is considered Undervalued compared with the five-year average of 5.62. The fair price of Tillys Inc (TLYS) is between 3.97 to 8.57 according to relative valuation methord. Compared to the current price of 1.58 USD , Tillys Inc is Undervalued By 60.21%.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

3.97-8.57

Current Price：1.58

60.21%

Undervalued

-1.07

Trailing

Forward

-6.04

EV/EBITDA

Tillys Inc. (TLYS) has a current EV/EBITDA of -6.04. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 0.31. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -41.78, Undervalued between -41.78 and -20.74, Fairly Valued between 21.35 and -20.74, Overvalued between 21.35 and 42.39, and Strongly Overvalued above 42.39. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of -6.04 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

-4.49

EV/EBIT

Tillys Inc. (TLYS) has a current EV/EBIT of -4.49. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 6.10. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -33.58, Undervalued between -33.58 and -13.74, Fairly Valued between 25.94 and -13.74, Overvalued between 25.94 and 45.78, and Strongly Overvalued above 45.78. The current Forward EV/EBIT of -4.49 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

0.08

Tillys Inc. (TLYS) has a current PS of 0.08. The 5-year average PS is 0.37. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.07, Undervalued between 0.07 and 0.22, Fairly Valued between 0.52 and 0.22, Overvalued between 0.52 and 0.68, and Strongly Overvalued above 0.68. The current Forward PS of 0.08 falls within the Undervalued range.

-2.96

P/OCF

Tillys Inc. (TLYS) has a current P/OCF of -2.96. The 5-year average P/OCF is 6.52. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -144.00, Undervalued between -144.00 and -68.74, Fairly Valued between 81.78 and -68.74, Overvalued between 81.78 and 157.04, and Strongly Overvalued above 157.04. The current Forward P/OCF of -2.96 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

0.00

P/FCF

Tillys Inc. (TLYS) has a current P/FCF of 0.00. The 5-year average P/FCF is 23.65. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -137.04, Undervalued between -137.04 and -56.69, Fairly Valued between 104.00 and -56.69, Overvalued between 104.00 and 184.35, and Strongly Overvalued above 184.35. The current Forward P/FCF of 0.00 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

Tillys Inc (TLYS) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 0.58. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 1.22 , the current P/B ratio is approximately -52.02% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 1.54, the current P/B ratio is about -62.04% higher. Tillys Inc (TLYS) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately -69.49%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of -23.67%, the current FCF yield is approximately 193.54% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of -9.65% , the current FCF yield is about 619.76% lower.

0.58

P/B

Median3y

1.22

Median5y

1.54

-69.49

FCF Yield

Median3y

-23.67

Median5y

-9.65

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for TLYS's competitors is 0.16, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Tillys Inc Corp (TLYS) exhibits a P/S ratio of 0.08, which is -46.32% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of -7.12%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

Destination XL Group Inc

LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of TLYS decreased by 70.52% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an decrease in Margin Expansion from -16.94 to -20.59.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed -7.12%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of TLYS in the past 1 year is driven by Margin Expansion. Which is more sustainable.

-7.12%

115.86M → 107.61M

Revenue Growth

21.55%

-16.94 → -20.59

Margin Expansion

-84.95%

-6.23 → -0.94

P/E Change

-70.52%