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TLYS Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Tillys Inc (TLYS) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
2.690
1 Day change
12.08%
52 Week Range
2.900
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/13
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Tilly's Inc (TLYS) is not a strong buy at this moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. While the company has shown recent profitability and growth in sales, the technical indicators suggest the stock is overbought, and the analyst rating remains neutral with limited upside potential. The lack of significant trading signals and mixed financial performance further supports a hold stance.

Technical Analysis

The stock is currently overbought with an RSI of 97.976, and the MACD histogram is positively expanding at 0.12. Moving averages are converging, and the stock is trading near its resistance level of 2.455, with limited room for further upward movement. The stock has a 60% chance of a slight increase (0.34%) in the next day but is expected to decline in the next week (-0.97%) and month (-0.73%).

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
5
Buy
13

Positive Catalysts

  • Tilly's reported its first profitable Q4 since 2021, with a 5.3% YoY increase in sales to $155.13 million. The company also plans to open new stores and has shown improved gross margins (+27.75% YoY).

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Despite profitability, net income and EPS have significantly dropped YoY (-121.53% and -122.22%, respectively). Analyst sentiment remains neutral, citing a lack of sustained positive comps and profitability visibility. Additionally, the stock is overbought and trading near resistance levels, limiting short-term upside.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2026, revenue increased by 5.32% YoY to $155.13 million, and gross margin improved by 27.75% YoY to 33.19%. However, net income dropped by -121.53% YoY to $2.94 million, and EPS fell by -122.22% YoY to 0.1.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Roth Capital raised the price target to $3 from $2.25 but maintained a Neutral rating, citing the need for better visibility and sustained positive comps before becoming bullish.

Wall Street analysts forecast TLYS stock price to fall
1 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast TLYS stock price to fall
0 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Hold
Current: 2.400
sliders
Low
2.25
Averages
2.25
High
2.25
Current: 2.400
sliders
Low
2.25
Averages
2.25
High
2.25
Roth Capital
Matt Koranda
Neutral
maintain
$3
AI Analysis
2026-03-12
New
Reason
Roth Capital
Matt Koranda
Price Target
$3
AI Analysis
2026-03-12
New
maintain
Neutral
Reason
Roth Capital analyst Matt Koranda raised the firm's price target on Tilly's to $3 from $2.25 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The company's Q4 results delivered accelerating comps and operating leverage, driving profit progress and positive free cash flow, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm adds, however, that it would prefer better visibility and sustained positive comps and profitability before coming off the sidelines.
Roth Capital
Neutral
maintain
2025-09-04
Reason
Roth Capital
Price Target
2025-09-04
maintain
Neutral
Reason
Roth Capital raised the firm's price target on Tilly's to $2.25 from $1.30 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The company delivered a healthy Q2 that was much better than expected on profitability thanks to higher product margins and strong SG&A cost containment, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Tilly's also noted a 1% positive August comp that likely would have been even better without noise from a supplier making distribution changes, the firm added.
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