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TLYS Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Tillys Inc (TLYS) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
4.220
1 Day change
1.44%
52 Week Range
5.540
Analysis Updated At
2026/04/24
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Tillys Inc (TLYS) is not a good buy for a beginner, long-term investor at this time. Despite some positive revenue growth in the latest quarter, the company's financial performance is weak, with significant declines in net income, EPS, and gross margin. Additionally, technical indicators show bearish momentum, and there are no strong trading signals or positive catalysts to justify an entry point. The options data indicates a lack of strong bullish sentiment, and analysts remain neutral on the stock. Given the user's impatience and unwillingness to wait for optimal entry points, this stock does not align with their investment strategy.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is negatively expanding (-0.13), indicating bearish momentum. RSI is neutral at 25.425, and the stock is trading below key pivot levels (Pivot: 4.898, current price: 4.18 pre-market). The moving averages are bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), but overall, the technical indicators suggest a lack of strong upward momentum.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The low put-call ratios indicate a lack of strong bearish sentiment, but the overall volume and open interest do not suggest significant bullish sentiment either.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
3
Buy
6

Positive Catalysts

  • Revenue increased by 5.32% YoY in Q4 2026, indicating some growth in the company's top line.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • No recent news, no significant insider or hedge fund activity, and no congressional trading data. Analysts remain neutral with a preference for better visibility and sustained profitability.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2026, revenue increased to $155.13M (+5.32% YoY), but net income dropped to $2.94M (-121.53% YoY). EPS fell to $0.10 (-122.22% YoY), and gross margin decreased to 22.3% (-14.16% YoY). The financial performance reflects weak profitability despite revenue growth.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Roth Capital raised the price target to $3 from $2.25 but maintained a Neutral rating. Analysts prefer better visibility and sustained profitability before taking a more positive stance.

Wall Street analysts forecast TLYS stock price to fall
1 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast TLYS stock price to fall
0 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Hold
Current: 4.160
sliders
Low
2.25
Averages
2.25
High
2.25
Current: 4.160
sliders
Low
2.25
Averages
2.25
High
2.25
Roth Capital
Matt Koranda
Neutral
maintain
$3
AI Analysis
2026-03-12
Reason
Roth Capital
Matt Koranda
Price Target
$3
AI Analysis
2026-03-12
maintain
Neutral
Reason
Roth Capital analyst Matt Koranda raised the firm's price target on Tilly's to $3 from $2.25 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The company's Q4 results delivered accelerating comps and operating leverage, driving profit progress and positive free cash flow, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm adds, however, that it would prefer better visibility and sustained positive comps and profitability before coming off the sidelines.
Roth Capital
Neutral
maintain
2025-09-04
Reason
Roth Capital
Price Target
2025-09-04
maintain
Neutral
Reason
Roth Capital raised the firm's price target on Tilly's to $2.25 from $1.30 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The company delivered a healthy Q2 that was much better than expected on profitability thanks to higher product margins and strong SG&A cost containment, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Tilly's also noted a 1% positive August comp that likely would have been even better without noise from a supplier making distribution changes, the firm added.
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