TLYS Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how TLYS performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, TLYS sees a +2.51% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -6.87% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -2.61%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
TLYS Key Earning Data
2024/Q4
Year Over Year
Quarter Over Quarter
Total Revenue
166.47M
-6.39%
4.08%
Gross Margin
29.27%
-4.63%
5.63%
Operating Margin
-0.55%
-115.49%
-53.39%
Net Margin
-0.51%
-117.59%
-27.14%
EPS
-0.03
-117.65%
-25.00%
No Data Available
TLYS Earnings Analysis
Tilly's Inc. Corporation (TLYS.N) Earnings Conference Call
Positive
Comparable Net Sales Growth: Fiscal August produced our first month of comparable net sales growth since February 2022.
Quarterly Sales Performance: Our third quarter comparable net sales, while a decline of 3.4%, was the best quarterly comp we have produced since the end of fiscal 2021.
E-commerce Sales Growth: Our e-com net sales for the comparable 13-week period ended November 4th, 2023, increased by 4.9%, which was our best quarterly e-com comp sales results since the end of fiscal 2021.
Store Count Decline: We ended the third quarter with 246 total stores compared to 249 total stores at the end of the third quarter last year.
Gross Margin Decline: Gross margin, including buying, distribution and occupancy expenses, was 25.9% of net sales compared to 29.3% of net sales last year.
Negative
Net Sales Decline: Net sales were $143.4 million, a decrease of 13.8% primarily due to the previously discussed impact of the 53rd week in last year's retail calendar, which resulted in an $18.4 million net sales shift out of the third quarter and into the second quarter compared to last year.
Physical Store Sales Decline: Net sales from physical stores decreased by 16% and represented 77.6% of total net sales compared to 79.6% last year.
E-commerce Sales Decline: E-commerce net sales decreased by 5.4% and represented 22.4% of total net sales compared to 20.4% last year.
Net Sales Decline: Comparable net sales for the 13-week period ended November 2nd, 2024 decreased by 3.4% with a decrease in comparable net sales in stores of 5.6% and an increase in e-com net sales of 4.9%.
Pre-tax Loss Comparison: Pre-tax loss was $12.9 million or 9% of net sales compared to last year's pre-tax loss of $1.2 million or 0.7% of net sales.
TLYS FAQs
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TLYS Earning Call Sentiment
Tilly's, Inc. (TLYS) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Transcript
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TLYS.N
-1.64%Positive
The earnings call highlights several concerns: declining net sales, significant store closures, and increased SG&A expenses. The Q&A reveals management's evasiveness on key issues like promotional strategies and gross margin impacts. Although there is a slight product margin improvement, the overall financial health appears strained with a widened net loss and increased inventory. The lack of a share repurchase program and risks in sales performance, store traffic, and e-commerce further contribute to a negative outlook. Thus, I predict a negative stock price movement of -2% to -8% over the next two weeks.
