Should I Buy TKR? TKR 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Timken Co (TKR) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

94.150

1 Day change

0.80%

52 Week Range

95.190

Analysis Updated At

2026/01/26

Timken Co (TKR) does not present a compelling buy opportunity for a beginner, long-term investor at this time. While the stock shows some bullish technical indicators and positive analyst sentiment, insider selling, declining net income, and lack of strong proprietary trading signals suggest caution. The investor may want to monitor the stock for better entry points or wait for clearer positive catalysts.

Technical Analysis

The technical indicators are moderately bullish. The MACD histogram is positive at 0.167, indicating upward momentum, but it is contracting. The RSI_6 at 62.491 is neutral, and moving averages are bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200). Key resistance levels are at 94.571 and 95.765, with support at 90.705 and 89.511. The stock is trading near resistance, suggesting limited immediate upside.

Options Data

Bullish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bearish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

Analysts have raised price targets recently, with Citi setting a target of $100 and maintaining a Buy rating.
The company has shown organic growth for the first time in two years, and multiple markets are poised for recovery.
Gross margin improved by 4.58% YoY in Q3 2025.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Insider selling has increased significantly by 232.99% over the last month.
Net income and EPS have declined YoY by -15.28% and -14.66%, respectively, in Q3
Hedge funds are neutral, and there is no significant trading activity from Congress or influential figures.

Financial Performance

In Q3 2025, revenue increased by 2.69% YoY to $1.157 billion, but net income dropped by -15.28% YoY to $69.3 million, and EPS fell by -14.66% YoY to 0.99. Gross margin improved to 30.14%, up 4.58% YoY. While revenue growth is positive, declining profitability is a concern.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Recent analyst ratings are generally positive. Citi raised its price target to $100, citing value in the machinery sector and growth potential in construction and mining. Oppenheimer raised its target to $90 and remains bullish on the company's new management strategy and portfolio evolution. However, some firms like DA Davidson and JPMorgan maintain Neutral ratings, reflecting mixed sentiment.

6 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast TKR stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for TKR is 89.8 USD with a low forecast of 85 USD and a high forecast of 100 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

2 Buy

4 Hold

0 Sell

Moderate Buy

Current: 93.400

Low

Averages

89.8

High

100

Current: 93.400

Low

Averages

89.8

High

100

Oppenheimer

Bryan Blair

Outperform

maintain

$90 -> $104

AI Analysis

2026-01-26

New

Reason

Oppenheimer

Bryan Blair

Price Target

$90 -> $104

AI Analysis

2026-01-26

New

maintain

Outperform

Reason

Oppenheimer analyst Bryan Blair raised the firm's price target on Timken to $104 from $90 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. The firm updated models in the industrials group as part of a Q4 preview. The firm cites favorable price carryover and currency moves entering the new year for the target bumps. It sees low-single-digit revenue growth for most companies. Opco favors names with "needle-moving" portfolio transformation, self-help initiatives, and relative valuation support.

Citi

Buy

maintain

$90 -> $100

2025-12-11

Reason

Citi

Price Target

$90 -> $100

2025-12-11

maintain

Buy

Reason

Citi raised the firm's price target on Timken to $100 from $90 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm updated models in the machinery group as part of its 2026 outlook. Citi sees value in the space and has the most conviction in construction and mining growth entering next year. The agriculture and truck markets could remain challenged in the near-term, the analyst tells investors in a research note.

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TKR Should I Buy

TKR Should I Buy

Should You Buy Timken Co (TKR) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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