Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the provided data and recent market activity, here's a concise analysis for THO stock:

Technical Analysis:

• Current price: $100.53 (closed -1.33% on Feb 20, 2025)
• Trading below both short-term and long-term moving averages
• RSI at 47.34 indicates neutral momentum
• MACD shows bearish divergence with -0.06 histogram

Recent Price Action:

• Stock has been showing weakness with increased selling pressure
• Support level at $97.26 from accumulated volume
• Resistance at $104.84 (Fibonacci R1)
• Current price action suggests further downside potential

Fundamental Factors:

• Recent analyst action: Truist raised price target to $110 from $98 while maintaining Hold rating
• Positive industry outlook with improved demand signals and healthier margins
• FY25/FY26 earnings estimates could be conservative according to analysts

Market Sentiment:

• 4 analyst ratings in last 3 months:
  • 1 Buy
  • 1 Outperform
  • 2 Hold
• Average price target: $111.00
• Range: $95.00 - $124.00

Recommendation: SELL

Rationale:

• Technical indicators show weakening momentum
• Price trading below key moving averages
• Risk/reward ratio unfavorable at current levels
• Better to wait for price to stabilize or reach support level around $97.26 before considering entry

Based on the available data and market analysis, here is the price prediction for THO stock in 2025:

THO stock is expected to trade around $108-112 by end of 2025, representing a potential upside of 7-11% from current levels. This projection is supported by:

1. Technical analysis shows the stock is trading in a consolidation pattern between $95-105 support and $110-115 resistance zones, with momentum indicators suggesting a gradual upward bias.

2. The stock maintains healthy fundamentals with stable moving averages (SMA 200 at $101.78 and SMA 250 at $103.03), indicating an overall positive long-term trend despite recent volatility.

3. The Fibonacci levels show key resistance at $106.61 and support at $99.09, suggesting room for upward movement if the stock can break above current trading range.

The moderate growth projection factors in both industry cyclicality and the company's established market position in recreational vehicles, while accounting for potential economic headwinds in 2025.

The S1 support level for THO Stock is $99.09 ,The R1 resistant level for THO Stock is $104.84.

As of the end of day on 2025-02-21, the price of THO Stock was $98.99.

The target price for THO Stock according to analyst rating is 111.50, with the highest price target at 125.00 and the lowest at 99.00. Analysts have a Hold rating on THO Stock overall.

The market cap of THO is $5.3B.

Based on the provided data and recent market activity, let's analyze whether THO is overvalued:

Technical Analysis

Valuation Assessment

• Current P/E ratio of 22.38x is significantly higher than its historical average, showing a concerning upward trend from 16.23x in early 2024
• EV/EBITDA of 9.73x also indicates expansion from previous quarters' levels around 7-8x
• Price/Sales ratio of 0.59x remains relatively reasonable for the industry

Financial Performance

• Revenue declined by 31.8% YoY to $11.12B in FY2023
• Net income dropped by 67.1% YoY to $374.3M
• Gross margin contracted from 16.24% to 13.09%
• ROE decreased significantly from 34.93% to 9.89%

Recent Price Action

• Stock is trading near $100.53, showing consolidation after recent analyst upgrade to $110 target
• Technical indicators suggest slightly overbought conditions with RSI above 47
• Trading above both 50-day and 200-day moving averages

Conclusion THO appears moderately overvalued based on elevated earnings multiples, deteriorating fundamentals, and technical indicators showing overbought conditions. The significant decline in profitability metrics and margin compression suggest current valuation levels are not justified by business performance.

THOR Industries, Inc. is a manufacturer of recreational vehicles (RVs). The Company operates through three segments: North American Towable Recreational Vehicles, North American Motorized Recreational Vehicles and European Recreational Vehicles. The North American Towable Recreational Vehicles segment consists of Airstream (towable), Heartland (including Cruiser RV and DRV), Jayco (including Jayco towable, Starcraft and Highland Ridge), Keystone (including CrossRoads and Dutchmen), and KZ (including Venture RV). The North American Motorized Recreational Vehicles segment consists of Airstream (motorized), Jayco (including Jayco motorized and Entegra Coach), Thor Motor Coach and the Tiffin Group. The European Recreational Vehicles segment consists of the EHG business. EHG manufactures a full line of motorized and towable recreational vehicles, including motorcaravans, campervans, urban vehicles and caravans in eight RV production facilities within Europe.

Based on the available data and analysis, I'll provide a price prediction for Thor Industries (THO) stock for 2030:

Technical Analysis

The current technical indicators show:

• RSI (14) at 47.34 indicating neutral momentum
• MACD slightly positive at 0.39 with bearish divergence
• Price trading between key Fibonacci levels with resistance at $104.84 and support at $99.09

Fundamental Drivers & Growth Outlook

Recent analyst views suggest positive momentum:

• Truist analyst raised price target to $110 from $98 in February 2025
• FY25/26 earnings estimates considered "conservative" due to:
  • Improved dealer demand signals
  • Healthier margins and cash generation
  • Industry-wide restocking approach

2030 Price Projection Scenarios

1. Bullish Case ($150-160)

• Successful execution of overseas market expansion
• Continued margin improvements
• Market share gains in premium RV segment
• Probability: 35%

2. Base Case ($120-130)

• Moderate but steady growth
• Stable margins
• Maintains current market position
• Probability: 45%

3. Bearish Case ($80-90)

• Economic downturn impacts RV demand
• Margin pressure from competition
• Loss of market share
• Probability: 20%

Most likely scenario: Base Case with a 2030 target of $125, representing ~25% upside from current levels through steady execution and market expansion.

THO has a total of 24900 employees.