Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. THG has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.
THG stock price ended at $166.92 on Wednesday, after losing-0.25%
The Hanover Insurance Group Inc stock price decreased by -0.25% on the last trading day (18 Jun 2025), dropping from 167.45 to 166.92. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 1.21% , ranging from a day low of $166.075 to a day high of 168.09. The price has declined in 8 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of -3.71% during this period. On the last day, trading volume increase by 54.25K shares, with the falling prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 297.38K shares were traded, amounting to approximately 49.65M.
THG Technical Signals
THG(Hanover Insurance Group Inc Corp) has 5 buy signals and 2 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-06-03. The total price change during this trend is -5.66%. Recently, the price has increased significantly with an increase in volume, indicating a strong bullish signal. The average turnover of THG over the last 5 trading days is 40.29M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bullish outlook in the mid-term.
THG Moving Average Analysis
Hanover Insurance Group Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of Friday, June 20, 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being above the SMA_60 signals a strong bullish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $176.65776000000002, and $180.40900000000002. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $164.52024000000003, and $160.76900000000003. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
THG Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of Hanover Insurance Group Inc(THG) as of 17 Jun 2025 is 20.79%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 169.50 to 167.33. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating price hit a bottom.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Sell
2
Buy
5
Moving Average
Swing
Negative
Stock Price Below SMA_5
Short Term
Negative
SMA_5 Below SMA_20
Mid Term
Positive
SMA_20 Above SMA_60
Long Term
Positive
SMA_60 Above SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
5 Bullish Signals
5 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Stochastic Oscillator %K (14, 3, 3)
STOCHk_14_3_3 < 20
11.002
Bullish
Commodity Channel Index (20 days, 0.015 constant)
CCI_20_0.015 < -100
-111.954
Bullish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 > 0
0.153
Bullish
Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)
STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 < 20
0
Bullish
Williams %R (14 days)
WILLR_14 < -80
-89.977
Bullish
2 Bearish Signals
2 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 < 0
-0.432
Bearish
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 < 0
-6.44
Bearish
THG Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Hanover Insurance Group Inc(THG), our algorithm predicts THG's 1-month price at $176.69, with an 4.16%upwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 95.00%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for Hanover Insurance Group Inc (THG.N) stock, as of Sunday, June 15, 2025 , forecasts a 4.16% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with WINA.O stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 95%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
THG
No Data
WINA
Up: 4.16%Similarity: 95%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
WINA.O
95.00%
+4.16%
ATUS.N
94.27%
-17.74%
APLS.O
94.17%
-18.97%
MGY.N
94.17%
-4.45%
GREE.O
94.04%
-48.16%
VLGEA.O
93.94%
-8.85%
BZH.N
93.76%
-12.77%
BAP.N
93.73%
-12.66%
RGNX.O
93.72%
+21.20%
RPD.O
93.56%
+23.06%
THG Seasonality Analysis
Based on THG's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in June is60.00%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in THG. In contrast,Novemberoffers the highest probability of positive returns at83.33%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying Hanover Insurance Group Inc (THG.N) stock in November has the highest probability of a positive return (83.33%), while September has the lowest probability (30.77%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows Hanover Insurance Group Inc. (THG)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
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FAQ
Should I buy Hanover Insurance Group Inc (THG.N) stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. THG has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.
Which months have the highest win rate for buying Hanover Insurance Group Inc (THG.N) stock in a year?
The radar chart shows that buying Hanover Insurance Group Inc (THG.N) stock in November has the highest probability of a positive return (83.33%), while September has the lowest probability (30.77%).
How has Hanover Insurance Group Inc. (THG)'s stock price performed over the past three years?
THG's stock price fell by -10.65% in 2023,increased by 25.80% in 2024, and went up by 9.5% in 2025.
Is THG a buy based on overall technical signals summary?
THG has 5 buy signals and 2 sell signals now. Overall the technical rating for THG is Buy . Note that market conditions change all the time. In addition to technical ratings, keep an eye on the Valuation Level of THG.
What is the trend of Hanover Insurance Group Inc (THG)'s moving average?
Hanover Insurance Group Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bearish as of June 20 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal.
What is price prediction for THG stock next month?
The price prediction chart for Hanover Insurance Group Inc (THG.N) stock, as of June 15 2025, forecasts a 4.16% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with WINA stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 95%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
What is price prediction 2025 for THG Stock?
THG stock is predicted to reach **$185** by year-end 2025, driven by strong Q1 earnings and improved operational efficiency. The stock faces resistance at Fibonacci R2 level of **$179.92** but could break higher on continued positive financial performance. Current price trends and technical indicators suggest moderate upside potential.
What is price prediction 2030 for THG Stock?
THG stock is predicted to reach **$185 by 2030**, driven by its moderate valuation and growth prospects. The stock currently trades at $169.97 with a forward P/E of 11.37, indicating reasonable valuation. Analysts expect upside potential based on target prices and industry trends.