Earning Analysis
Welcome to our in-depth analysis of TransDigm Group Inc(TDG) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of TransDigm Group Inc earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.
Earnings Forecast
Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate
Surprise Analysis
| FY2025Q4 | 2025-11-12 | Pre-Market | 10.25 | 10.82 | +5.56 | 2.40B | 2.44B | +1.42 | +1.08 | +3.23 |
| FY2025Q3 | 2025-08-05 | Pre-Market | 9.88 | 9.60 | -2.83 | 2.29B | 2.24B | -2.47 | -11.94 | -13.62 |
| FY2025Q2 | 2025-05-06 | Pre-Market | 8.95 | -9.11 | -201.79 | 2.17B | 2.15B | -0.82 | -5.48 | -6.73 |
| FY2025Q1 | 2025-02-04 | Pre-Market | 7.75 | 7.83 | +1.03 | 2.03B | 2.01B | -1.01 | -3.34 | -1.29 |
| FY2024Q3 | 2024-08-06 | - | 7.77 | 8.36 | +7.59 | 2.01B | 2.05B | +1.90 | +2.31 | +1.95 |
| FY2024Q2 | 2024-05-07 | - | 6.80 | 7.42 | +9.12 | 1.88B | 1.92B | +1.97 | +0.67 | -1.62 |
| FY2024Q1 | 2024-02-08 | - | 5.73 | 6.65 | +16.06 | 1.68B | 1.79B | +6.48 | -1.61 | +0.01 |
| FY2023Q4 | 2023-11-09 | - | 7.15 | 7.67 | +7.27 | 1.85B | 1.85B | +0.01 | +8.70 | +11.05 |
| FY2023Q3 | 2023-08-08 | - | 5.87 | 6.55 | +11.58 | 1.69B | 1.74B | +3.27 | -2.77 | -5.38 |
| - | 2023-05-09 | - | 4.98 | 5.39 | +8.23 | - | - | - | +4.68 | +4.64 |
TDG Earnings Analysis
Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, TransDigm Group Inc reported performance for FY2025Q4, announced on 2025-11-12. The company achieved an EPS of 10.82, compared to analyst estimates of 10.25 by 5.56% . Revenue for the quarter reached 2.44B compared to expectations of 2.40B by 1.42% .
The stock price reacted with a 1.08% one-day change and a 3.23% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in TransDigm Group Inc growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.
TDG Earnings Forecast
Looking ahead, TransDigm Group Inc(TDG) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2026/Q1 project quarter revenue of 2.26B and an EPS of 8.00.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2026 have been Revise Upward by 3%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Downward by -8.25%. For the upcoming Q1 2026, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Upward by 1.96% . These revisions correlate with a 7.01% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in TransDigm Group Inc long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.
Estimate Revision
The chart shows the correlation between TDG's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2026
Revise Upward
+3%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2026
Revise Downward
-8.25%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q1 2026
Revise Upward
+1.96%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Up
+7.01%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2026
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
--
Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2026:9.93B
--
EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2026:38.71
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Stock Price1360.10
TDG Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective
TransDigm Group Inc revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q4 (2025-11-12,Pre-Market):
EPS: 10.82 (Actual) vs.10.25 (Estimate) (5.56%)
Revenue: 2.44B (Actual) vs. 2.40B (Estimate) (1.42%)
Price Reaction: 1.08%(1-Day), 3.23%(5-Day)
FY2025Q3 (2025-08-05,Pre-Market):
EPS: 9.60 (Actual) vs.9.88 (Estimate) (-2.83%)
Revenue: 2.24B (Actual) vs. 2.29B (Estimate) (-2.47%)
Price Reaction: -11.94%(1-Day), -13.62%(5-Day)
FY2025Q2 (2025-05-06,Pre-Market):
EPS: -9.11 (Actual) vs.8.95 (Estimate) (-201.79%)
Revenue: 2.15B (Actual) vs. 2.17B (Estimate) (-0.82%)
Price Reaction: -5.48%(1-Day), -6.73%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how TDG performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, TDG sees a -1.84% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +1.47% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.77%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed 1.31% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by 3.60% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
Transcript Summary
TransDigm Group Inc (TDG) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-11-12
The earnings call summary presents a mixed picture: strong EBITDA and EPS guidance, but with reduced commercial OEM revenue growth. The Q&A reveals cautious optimism in defense and aftermarket sectors, but management's vague responses on key issues like F-47 program specifics and acquisition margin improvements raise uncertainties. Overall, the balance of positive and negative factors suggests a neutral sentiment.
TransDigm Group Inc (TDG) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-08-05
The earnings call reveals strong financial metrics with a projected 11% revenue increase and improved EBITDA. Despite some challenges, such as a Boeing strike and supply chain bottlenecks, the company maintains optimistic guidance and expects aftermarket growth acceleration. The Q&A highlighted confidence in overcoming destocking issues and strong defense bookings. Although aftermarket growth lags behind peers, the company anticipates alignment. The positive outlook, coupled with capital allocation priorities, suggests a positive stock price movement over the next two weeks.
TransDigm Group Inc (TDG) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-05-06
The earnings call presents a mixed picture: strong revenue growth and share repurchases are positive, but economic concerns, potential tariff impacts, and margin conservatism dampen sentiment. The Q&A lacks clarity on key issues, adding uncertainty. The absence of new partnerships or significant guidance changes, combined with a stable financial outlook, suggests a neutral stock price reaction in the short term.
TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-11-07
The earnings call highlights strong financial performance with increased revenue and EBITDA guidance, robust defense and commercial OEM growth, and a significant special dividend. The Q&A section reveals optimism in market growth despite some uncertainties in the aftermarket and OEM contract renegotiations. The company's solid cash position and shareholder return plans further support a positive outlook. However, management's unclear responses on certain issues and potential margin dilution are minor concerns. Overall, the positive aspects outweigh the negatives, leading to a predicted stock price increase between 2% to 8%.
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FAQ
What were the key highlights of TDG’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q4?
How did TDG’s stock price react after the FY2025Q4 earnings release?
What are the revenue and EPS estimates for TDG for 2026/Q1?
How does TDG’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?
What should investors expect from TDG’s next earnings report?