The chart below shows how GD performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, GD sees a +1.21% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +1.13% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.92%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
Positive
Quarterly Earnings Report: 4th quarter earnings of $4.15 per diluted share on revenue of $13.34 billion, with revenue up 14.3% year-over-year and operating earnings up 10.5%.
Aerospace Revenue Surge: Aerospace revenue increased by 36.4% quarter-over-quarter, with operating earnings up 30.3%, driven by strong demand for Gulfstream Aircraft and a significant increase in deliveries.
Strong Revenue and Backlog: Combat Systems achieved a revenue of $2.4 billion for the quarter, with a book-to-bill ratio of 1.3:1, indicating robust order intake and a strong backlog of nearly $17 billion.
Shipbuilding Revenue Surge: Marine Systems reported a revenue increase of 16.2% year-over-year, with full-year revenue of $14.3 billion, reflecting strong growth in shipbuilding programs.
Record Orders and Earnings: Technologies group achieved record orders of $14.7 billion for the year, resulting in a book-to-bill ratio of 1.1:1, with GDIT delivering its highest ever revenue and earnings.
Negative
Aerospace Earnings Shortfall: Earnings fell short of internal expectations, with Aerospace revenue and earnings lower than anticipated due to delayed G700 deliveries, resulting in a 70 basis point margin compression.
Cash Flow Decline: Operating cash flow for 2024 was $4.1 billion, translating to a cash conversion rate of only 85%, significantly down from 115% in 2023, indicating working capital growth issues.
Operating Earnings Decline: Marine Systems reported a 7.8% decline in operating earnings for Q4, with a 130 basis point decrease in operating margin, primarily due to supply chain delays and quality issues.
Margin Pressure in Technologies: Technologies segment experienced margin pressure, with Mission Systems revenue down about 2% year-over-year, reflecting challenges in transitioning from legacy programs to new ones.
Operating Margin Decline: The company anticipates a decrease in operating margins in 2025 for the Technologies segment, projecting a 40 basis point decline to 9.2%, indicating ongoing profitability challenges.
Earnings call transcript: General Dynamics Q4 2024 sees revenue rise
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