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NOC Earnings

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Earning Analysis

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of Northrop Grumman Corp(NOC) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of Northrop Grumman Corp earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.

Earnings Forecast

Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate

Surprise Analysis

Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal QuarterEarning DateTimeEstimateActualSurprise%EstimateActualSurprise%1D5D
Fiscal Quarter
Earning Date
Time
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
1D
5D
FY2025Q32025-10-21Pre-Market6.497.67+18.1810.71B10.42B-2.72-0.44+0.59
FY2025Q22025-07-22Pre-Market6.717.11+5.9610.09B10.35B+2.56+9.41+10.57
FY2025Q12025-04-22Pre-Market6.216.06-2.429.95B9.47B-4.83-12.66-10.94
FY2024Q42025-01-30Pre-Market6.276.39+1.9110.97B10.69B-2.58+0.38-1.91
FY2024Q32024-10-24Pre-Market6.077.00+15.3210.17B10.00B-1.72+1.41-2.14
FY2024Q22024-07-25-5.956.36+6.8910.02B10.22B+1.98+6.43+9.54
FY2024Q12024-04-25-5.836.32+8.409.76B10.13B+3.79+2.84+2.49
FY2023Q42024-01-25-5.756.27+9.0410.44B10.64B+1.93-6.33-3.70
FY2023Q32023-10-26-5.816.18+6.379.56B9.78B+2.28-1.13-3.10
-2023-07-27-5.315.34+0.56----2.59-2.12
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NOC Earnings Analysis

Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, Northrop Grumman Corp reported performance for FY2025Q3, announced on 2025-10-21. The company achieved an EPS of 7.67, compared to analyst estimates of 6.49 by 18.18% . Revenue for the quarter reached 10.42B compared to expectations of 10.71B by -2.72% .
The stock price reacted with a -0.44% one-day change and a 0.59% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in Northrop Grumman Corp growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

NOC Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, Northrop Grumman Corp(NOC) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 11.61B and an EPS of 6.95.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Downward by -0.79%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Upward by 2.73%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Downward by -0.55% . These revisions correlate with a -4.79% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in Northrop Grumman Corp long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

Estimate Revision

The chart shows the correlation between NOC's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
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-0.79%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
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+2.73%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q4 2025
Revise Downward
down Image
-0.55%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Down
down Image
-4.79%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
--
Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:41.86B
--
EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:26.07
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Stock Price553.00
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Financial AI Agent

NOC Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective

Northrop Grumman Corp revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q3 (2025-10-21,Pre-Market):
EPS: 7.67 (Actual) vs.6.49 (Estimate) (18.18%)
Revenue: 10.42B (Actual) vs. 10.71B (Estimate) (-2.72%)
Price Reaction: -0.44%(1-Day), 0.59%(5-Day)
FY2025Q2 (2025-07-22,Pre-Market):
EPS: 7.11 (Actual) vs.6.71 (Estimate) (5.96%)
Revenue: 10.35B (Actual) vs. 10.09B (Estimate) (2.56%)
Price Reaction: 9.41%(1-Day), 10.57%(5-Day)
FY2025Q1 (2025-04-22,Pre-Market):
EPS: 6.06 (Actual) vs.6.21 (Estimate) (-2.42%)
Revenue: 9.47B (Actual) vs. 9.95B (Estimate) (-4.83%)
Price Reaction: -12.66%(1-Day), -10.94%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how NOC performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, NOC sees a -0.78% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -0.21% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -0.27%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed -0.48% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by -3.71% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Transcript Summary

Northrop Grumman Corp (NOC) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-10-21
The earnings call summary and Q&A indicate strong revenue growth, solid international sales, and promising program developments like B-21 and Golden Dome. Despite some unclear management responses, the overall sentiment is positive due to increased free cash flow guidance, robust defense investments, and capacity expansion plans. These factors, along with optimistic guidance and strong financial metrics, suggest a potential positive stock price movement.
Northrop Grumman Corp (NOC) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-07-22
The earnings call summary indicates strong international sales growth, a record backlog, successful program milestones, and positive guidance, despite some challenges like the B-21 loss. The Q&A section provides further optimism with progress on key programs and strategic partnerships. The overall sentiment is positive, with anticipated growth in various sectors and reaffirmed financial guidance, suggesting a likely stock price increase.
Northrop Grumman Corp (NOC) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2025-04-23
The earnings call reveals several concerns: a significant pretax loss on the B-21 program, delays in awards affecting revenue, cash flow challenges, and a notable decrease in EPS. Although there is a record backlog and international sales growth, these positives are overshadowed by the financial setbacks and uncertainties, particularly related to the B-21 program. The Q&A session did not alleviate concerns, with management avoiding specifics on key issues. The negative sentiment is reinforced by the weak financial performance and ongoing risks, predicting a negative stock price movement.
Northrop Grumman Corp (NOC) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-04-22
The earnings call presents a mixed picture: strong backlog and international growth are positive, but financial performance is marred by a decline in sales and a significant B-21 profit adjustment. The Q&A reveals management's optimism in resolving B-21 issues and maintaining cash flow targets, yet uncertainties remain around cost impacts and program profitability. Shareholder returns are stable, but the stock's reaction may be muted due to these mixed signals. With no market cap data, a neutral prediction is prudent, considering both positive and negative factors.
Northrop Grumman Corp (NOC) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2025-04-22
The earnings call revealed a mixed outlook with significant concerns. Despite international sales growth and shareholder returns, there are notable negatives: a $477 million loss from the B-21 program, decreased sales, lower EPS, and negative operating cash flow. The Q&A session highlighted ongoing risks in supply chain, inflation, and macroeconomic impacts. While management provided some optimistic guidance, the refusal to detail cash impacts and potential future charges on the B-21 program creates uncertainty. Overall, these factors are likely to result in a negative stock price movement over the next two weeks.
Northrop Grumman Corp (NOC) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-01-31
The earnings call reveals strong financial performance with record backlog, increased EPS guidance, and robust free cash flow projections. Despite some unclear responses in the Q&A, the overall sentiment is positive with strong international demand, cost reductions, and expanded margins. The new awards and strategic focus on defense and space systems further enhance the outlook. The positive guidance and strategic initiatives are likely to result in a stock price increase over the next two weeks.
Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC) Q3 2024 Earnings Conference Call Summary
Positive
2024-10-24
The earnings call indicates strong financial metrics and optimistic guidance, with increased revenue and EPS guidance for 2024. Despite some uncertainties in the Q&A, such as supply chain challenges and unclear international revenue projections, the overall sentiment remains positive. The company's focus on defense and technology, along with the expectation of margin expansion and enduring demand for munitions, supports a positive outlook. The lack of new negative factors and the positive guidance adjustments suggest a likely stock price increase of 2% to 8% over the next two weeks.
Northrop Grumman Corporation. (NOC) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-07-25
The earnings call summary shows strong financial performance with 7% sales growth, 13% operating income increase, and 19% EPS growth. The Q&A session reveals management's confidence in profitability and cost management, despite some concerns about program costs. The reaffirmed guidance, increased share repurchases, and strong backlog further support a positive sentiment. Adjustments for macroeconomic headwinds and a focus on cost efficiency indicate potential margin improvements. Overall, the positive financial metrics, optimistic guidance, and shareholder returns suggest a stock price increase in the short term.

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FAQ

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What were the key highlights of NOC’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q3?

NOC reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-10-21, showcasing a revenue of 10.42B against an estimate of 10.71B, resulting in a -2.72% surprise. The EPS was 7.67, surpassing the expected 6.49 by 18.18% . The stock experienced a -0.44% price change on the earnings day and a 0.59% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
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How did NOC’s stock price react after the FY2025Q3 earnings release?

Following NOC’s FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-10-21, the stock price moved by -0.44% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a 0.59% change. Historically, NOC’s stock price tends to shift by an average of -0.78% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and -0.21% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
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What are the revenue and EPS estimates for NOC for 2025/Q4?

For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate NOC’s annual revenue to reach 11.61B, while the EPS is projected at 6.95. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Downward by -0.79% and EPS estimates Revise Downward by -0.55% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
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How does NOC’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

The correlation between NOC’s stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Downward by -0.79%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Downward by -0.55% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
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What should investors expect from NOC’s next earnings report?

Based on historical trends, NOC’s stock price typically moves by -0.78% in the 10 days before its earnings and -0.21% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 6.95 and revenue of 11.61B.
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What is the sentiment in Northrop Grumman Corp (NOC) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary?

The earnings call summary and Q&A indicate strong revenue growth, solid international sales, and promising program developments like B-21 and Golden Dome. Despite some unclear management responses, the overall sentiment is positive due to increased free cash flow guidance, robust defense investments, and capacity expansion plans. These factors, along with optimistic guidance and strong financial metrics, suggest a potential positive stock price movement.
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