The chart below shows how SAN performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, SAN sees a -4.59% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +0.01% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.72%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
Positive
Q4 Sales Growth Surge: Double digit sales growth of 10.3% in Q4 2024, marking the third consecutive quarter of double digit growth, driven by new product launches and Dupixent.
Dupixent Sales Surge: Dupixent sales exceeded €13 billion for the year, achieving a 16% growth in Q4, supported by strong prescription trends across all geographies.
Record Vaccine Sales Growth: Vaccines business achieved a record sales milestone of over €8 billion in 2024, reflecting a 13.5% increase, driven by the success of BayFortis.
Pediatric Immunization Success: BayFortis reached close to €1.7 billion in sales during its first full year, demonstrating unprecedented success in pediatric immunization and significant impact on hospitalization rates.
Share Buyback and Dividend Increase: Sanofi plans a €5 billion share buyback program in 2025, alongside a proposed dividend of €3.92 per share, marking the 30th consecutive year of dividend increases, reflecting strong shareholder return commitments.
Negative
Gross Margin Decline: Gross margin decreased to 74.3% in Q4 2024, down from the previous year, primarily due to the absence of COVID revenues, indicating a negative impact on profitability.
R&D Expense Increase: R&D expenses increased by 14.6% at constant exchange rates to €7,400,000,000, reflecting a significant rise in costs that could pressure future earnings.
Free Cash Flow Decline: Free cash flow was adversely affected by three one-off items totaling €3,300,000,000, resulting in a closing free cash flow of only €6,000,000,000, which is below historical levels.
Revenue Decline Outlook: The anticipated €250,000,000 reduction in sales from portfolio simplifications in 2025 indicates a negative outlook for revenue growth in the near term.
Tax Rate Impact on Earnings: The effective tax rate increased due to the OECD Pillar 2 implementation, which could further strain net income and earnings per share in the upcoming periods.
Earnings call transcript: Sanofi Q4 2024 sees strong growth in sales, EPS
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