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STZ Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Constellation Brands Inc (STZ) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
150.760
1 Day change
0.45%
52 Week Range
196.910
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/06
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Constellation Brands Inc (STZ) is not a strong buy for a beginner, long-term investor with $50,000-$100,000 available for investment at this time. The stock is currently underperforming, with declining financials, negative technical indicators, and no significant positive catalysts. While analysts remain cautiously optimistic, the lack of strong growth signals and the absence of Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals suggest holding off on purchasing this asset for now.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is negative and expanding, indicating bearish momentum. RSI is at 22.362, suggesting the stock is oversold but not yet signaling a reversal. Moving averages are converging, showing no clear trend. The current price of $146.47 is below the pivot level of $153.816, with key support at $147.903 and $144.25, and resistance at $159.73 and $163.383.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
9
Buy
1

Positive Catalysts

  • Gross margin increased by 2.98% YoY in Q3 2026, showing some operational efficiency. Analysts have raised price targets recently, with some expressing cautious optimism about stabilization in depletion trends.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • The MACD and RSI indicate bearish momentum, and there are no recent news or significant trading trends to drive positive sentiment. The stock is underperforming relative to its pivot level.

Financial Performance

In Q3 2026, revenue dropped to $2.22 billion (-9.78% YoY), net income fell to $502.8 million (-18.36% YoY), and EPS declined to $2.88 (-15.04% YoY). However, gross margin improved to 53.9% (+2.98% YoY), indicating some operational efficiency.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts are mixed but leaning positive. UBS maintains a Buy rating with a price target of $168. Citi raised its target to $155 with a Neutral rating. Bernstein raised its target to $197 with an Outperform rating, citing stabilization in depletion trends. Wells Fargo raised its target to $165 with an Overweight rating, highlighting better-than-expected Q3 results. However, Jefferies downgraded the stock to Hold, citing prolonged Hispanic consumer fears and weak fundamentals.

Wall Street analysts forecast STZ stock price to rise
15 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast STZ stock price to rise
7 Buy
7 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 150.090
sliders
Low
135
Averages
163
High
209
Current: 150.090
sliders
Low
135
Averages
163
High
209
UBS
Peter Grom
Buy
downgrade
$170 -> $168
AI Analysis
2026-01-09
Reason
UBS
Peter Grom
Price Target
$170 -> $168
AI Analysis
2026-01-09
downgrade
Buy
Reason
UBS analyst Peter Grom lowered the firm's price target on Constellation Brands to $168 from $170 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares.
Citi
Neutral
maintain
$148 -> $155
2026-01-09
Reason
Citi
Price Target
$148 -> $155
2026-01-09
maintain
Neutral
Reason
Citi raised the firm's price target on Constellation Brands to $155 from $148 and keeps a Neutral rating on the shares. The company reported "better-than-feared" fiscal Q3 results, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
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