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STZ Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Constellation Brands Inc (STZ) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
148.210
1 Day change
-1.36%
52 Week Range
196.910
Analysis Updated At
2026/04/24
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Constellation Brands Inc (STZ) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner, long-term investor. Despite some positive analyst ratings and potential catalysts, the company's recent financial performance, technical indicators, and lack of strong trading signals suggest that waiting for a more favorable entry point would be prudent.

Technical Analysis

The technical indicators present mixed signals. The MACD is negatively expanding (-0.231), indicating bearish momentum. RSI is neutral at 49.855, and moving averages are bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200). However, the stock is trading below the pivot level of 162.246, with key support at 157.536 and resistance at 166.956. The pre-market price of 159 is close to the support level, suggesting limited upside in the short term.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Neutral
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
10
Buy
3

Positive Catalysts

  • Analysts have raised price targets, with several firms maintaining Buy or Outperform ratings.

  • The company's gross margin increased to 53.9%, up 3.42% YoY, indicating improved operational efficiency.

  • Potential benefits from the World Cup and easing pressure on Hispanic consumers.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Revenue, net income, and EPS have all significantly declined YoY in Q4

  • The stock trend analysis suggests a high probability of short-term downside (-0.99% next day, -2.25% next week, -4.66% next month).

  • Lack of significant hedge fund or insider trading activity and no recent congress trading data.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2026, Constellation Brands reported a revenue drop of -11.27% YoY to $1.92 billion. Net income plummeted by -153.77% YoY to $201.8 million, and EPS declined by -237.80% YoY to 2.88. However, gross margin improved to 53.9%, up 3.42% YoY.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts have shown optimism, with TD Cowen upgrading the stock to Buy and raising the price target to $190. Several other firms, including UBS, Wells Fargo, and Citi, have raised their price targets to the $185-$190 range. However, some analysts remain cautious, with BofA maintaining an Underperform rating.

Wall Street analysts forecast STZ stock price to rise
15 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast STZ stock price to rise
7 Buy
7 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 150.250
sliders
Low
135
Averages
163
High
209
Current: 150.250
sliders
Low
135
Averages
163
High
209
TD Cowen
Hold
to
Buy
upgrade
$142 -> $190
AI Analysis
2026-04-13
Reason
TD Cowen
Price Target
$142 -> $190
AI Analysis
2026-04-13
upgrade
Hold
to
Buy
Reason
TD Cowen upgraded Constellation Brands to Buy from Hold with a price target of $190, up from $142. The firm views the company's fiscal 2027 beer guidance as "overly conservative" and sees upside from easing compares, World Cup benefits, and subsiding pressure on Hispanic consumers. Constellation's valuation multiple will move higher as the market regains confidence that the company can return to volume growth despite broader beer category declines, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
BofA
Underperform
maintain
$142 -> $154
2026-04-10
Reason
BofA
Price Target
$142 -> $154
2026-04-10
maintain
Underperform
Reason
BofA raised the firm's price target on Constellation Brands to $154 from $142 and keeps an Underperform rating on the shares. A positive share price reaction to earnings, despite the introduction of "soft" FY27 guidance, likely reflects perceived conservatism in the beer segment outlook, the analyst tells investors. Following the report, the firm applies a higher multiple, reflecting at least improved near term beer trends, the analyst added.
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