The chart below shows how STZ performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, STZ sees a +4.41% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +0.13% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -3.49%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
Positive
Beer Portfolio Demand Growth: Consumer demand for our beer portfolio expanded in the third quarter, driving a marginal uplift in depletion growth relative to Q2.
Marketing Investment Impact: This acceleration was supported by the incremental marketing investments we deployed across our core brands in Q3.
Distribution Expansion Progress: We have secured more than half of the incremental 500,000 points of distribution that we identified as the fiscal '24 to fiscal '28 target for our core brands during our Investor Day.
Beer Business Growth: During the third quarter of fiscal '25, our beer business grew depletions by 3.2%, which again was an acceleration from last quarter despite continued consumer economic weakness.
Free Cash Flow Increase: We generated year-to-date free cash flow of $1.6 billion for fiscal '25, a 13% year-over-year increase.
Negative
Consumer Demand Growth: Growth in consumer demand for our beer portfolio sequentially expanded in the third quarter and this in turn drove a marginal uplift in depletion growth relative to Q2.
Beer Sales Resilience: Despite softer consumer demand due to macroeconomic headwinds, our beer business continued to outperform the total beverage industry in dollar sales growth in Circan tracked channels over the 12 weeks ended December 1.
Beer Business Growth: During the third quarter of fiscal '25, our beer business grew depletion by 3.2%, which again was an acceleration from last quarter despite continued consumer economic weakness.
Wine and Spirits Sales Decline: Net sales for the wine and spirits business declined by $32 million, resulting in an operating margin of 22.1%.
Wine and Spirits Sales Decline: Net sales for the wine and spirits business declined just over 14% in the third quarter, largely driven by shipment volume decline of over 16%.
Constellation Brands, Inc. (STZ) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
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