TTD Earnings Prediction
The chart below shows how TTD performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, TTD sees a -3.14% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +0.81% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +2.11%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
TTD Key Earning Data
2024/Q4
Year Over Year
Quarter Over Quarter
Total Revenue
741.01M
22.32%
17.99%
Gross Margin
81.75%
-1.95%
1.59%
Operating Margin
26.36%
10.57%
52.63%
Net Margin
24.59%
53.02%
64.04%
EPS
0.36
89.47%
89.47%
No Data Available
TTD Earnings Analysis
Trade Desk Inc Corporation (TTD.O) Earnings Conference Call
Positive
Record Platform Spending: Total spend on The Trade Desk platform exceeded $12 billion in 2024, marking the highest in the company's history.
2024 Revenue Surge: Revenue for 2024 surpassed $2.4 billion, reflecting a nearly 26% year-over-year growth, significantly outpacing the broader digital advertising market.
Adjusted EBITDA Performance: The company generated over $1 billion in adjusted EBITDA, achieving a full-year adjusted EBITDA margin above 41%.
Strong Cash Generation: Free cash flow for the year exceeded $630 million, demonstrating strong cash generation capabilities.
Share Repurchase Confidence: In Q4, the company repurchased $57 million of its Class A common stock, with a total share repurchase authorization of $1 billion, indicating confidence in its financial position.
Negative
Execution Misstep Acknowledged: For the first time in 33 quarters as a public company, The Trade Desk fell short of its own expectations, indicating a significant execution misstep despite a growing market opportunity.
Operating Expenses Increase: Operating expenses in Q4 increased by 23% year over year to $416 million, reflecting higher investments in sales, marketing, and technology, which may pressure margins going forward.
Q4 Revenue Performance Miss: The company reported a Q4 revenue of $741 million, which, while a 22% year-over-year increase, was below internal expectations, marking a notable miss in performance.
Segment Performance Analysis: Despite a strong overall performance, segments such as home and garden and pets underperformed, indicating potential weaknesses in specific verticals that could impact future growth.
Operating Expenses and EBITDA Outlook: The anticipated modest increase in operating expenses for 2025 suggests potential margin compression, with adjusted EBITDA expected to be approximately $145 million in Q1, indicating a challenging start to the year.
TTD FAQs
How does TTD typically perform around its earnings report dates?
Is Trade Desk Inc (TTD) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary positive or negative?
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TTD Earning Call Sentiment
Earnings call transcript: The Trade Desk Q4 2024 misses revenue forecast, stock drops
TTD.O
-1.3%Positive
Despite a Q4 revenue miss, the company shows strong financial performance with record high revenue, impressive growth in CTV, and a robust share repurchase program. Positive guidance and strategic initiatives like AI integration and OpenPath further support a positive outlook. However, cautious sentiment from analysts regarding execution missteps and macroeconomic challenges tempers the overall sentiment. Given these factors, the stock is likely to experience a positive movement of 2% to 8% over the next two weeks.
