SPCE Relative Valuation
SPCE's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, SPCE is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.
Historical Valuation
Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc (SPCE) is now in the Undervalued zone, suggesting that its current forward PS ratio of 3.59 is considered Undervalued compared with the five-year average of -8.75. The fair price of Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc (SPCE) is between 14.50 to 100.72 according to relative valuation methord. Compared to the current price of 3.59 USD , Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc is Undervalued By 75.24%.
Relative Value
Fair Zone
14.50-100.72
Current Price：3.59
75.24%
Undervalued
-0.67
PE
1Y
3Y
5Y
Trailing
Forward
-1.15
EV/EBITDA
Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc. (SPCE) has a current EV/EBITDA of -1.15. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is -6.37. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -27.37, Undervalued between -27.37 and -16.87, Fairly Valued between 4.13 and -16.87, Overvalued between 4.13 and 14.63, and Strongly Overvalued above 14.63. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of -1.15 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.
-0.75
EV/EBIT
Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc. (SPCE) has a current EV/EBIT of -0.75. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is -5.79. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -25.03, Undervalued between -25.03 and -15.41, Fairly Valued between 3.83 and -15.41, Overvalued between 3.83 and 13.45, and Strongly Overvalued above 13.45. The current Forward EV/EBIT of -0.75 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.
3.59
PS
Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc. (SPCE) has a current PS of 3.59. The 5-year average PS is 642.53. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -1516.09, Undervalued between -1516.09 and -436.78, Fairly Valued between 1721.85 and -436.78, Overvalued between 1721.85 and 2801.16, and Strongly Overvalued above 2801.16. The current Forward PS of 3.59 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.
-1.67
P/OCF
Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc. (SPCE) has a current P/OCF of -1.67. The 5-year average P/OCF is -9.68. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -40.54, Undervalued between -40.54 and -25.11, Fairly Valued between 5.76 and -25.11, Overvalued between 5.76 and 21.19, and Strongly Overvalued above 21.19. The current Forward P/OCF of -1.67 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.
-0.49
P/FCF
Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc. (SPCE) has a current P/FCF of -0.49. The 5-year average P/FCF is -7.62. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -30.93, Undervalued between -30.93 and -19.28, Fairly Valued between 4.03 and -19.28, Overvalued between 4.03 and 15.68, and Strongly Overvalued above 15.68. The current Forward P/FCF of -0.49 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.
Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc (SPCE) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 0.76. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 1.30 , the current P/B ratio is approximately -41.49% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 4.16, the current P/B ratio is about -81.72% higher. Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc (SPCE) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately -227.56%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of -170.31%, the current FCF yield is approximately 33.61% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of -104.78% , the current FCF yield is about 117.18% lower.
0.76
P/B
Median3y
1.30
Median5y
4.16
-227.56
FCF Yield
Median3y
-170.31
Median5y
-104.78
Competitors Valuation Multiple
The average P/S ratio for SPCE's competitors is 5.03, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc Corp (SPCE) exhibits a P/S ratio of 3.59, which is -28.60% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of -90.38%, this premium appears unsustainable.
P/S
P/E
EV/EBITDA
EV/EBIT
P/S
Revenue Growth
Market Cap
Performance Decomposition
1Y
3Y
5Y
Market capitalization of SPCE decreased by 50.82% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an decrease in Margin Expansion from -2.22K to -16.57K.
The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed -90.38%to the performance.
Overall, the performance of SPCE in the past 1 year is driven by Margin Expansion. Which is more sustainable.
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FAQ
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