SPCE Valuation

Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc

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3.150

+0.16(5.351%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

SPCE Relative Valuation

SPCE's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, SPCE is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc (SPCE) is now in the Undervalued zone, suggesting that its current forward PS ratio of 0.00 is considered Undervalued compared with the five-year average of -9.57. The fair price of Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc (SPCE) is between +Inf to +Inf according to relative valuation methord. Compared to the current price of 3.10 USD , Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc is Undervalued By Fair.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

+Inf-+Inf

Current Price：3.10

Fair

Undervalued

-0.56

Trailing

Forward

-0.79

EV/EBITDA

Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc. (SPCE) has a current EV/EBITDA of -0.79. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is -7.10. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -28.54, Undervalued between -28.54 and -17.82, Fairly Valued between 3.62 and -17.82, Overvalued between 3.62 and 14.34, and Strongly Overvalued above 14.34. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of -0.79 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

-0.63

EV/EBIT

Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc. (SPCE) has a current EV/EBIT of -0.63. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is -6.49. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -26.21, Undervalued between -26.21 and -16.35, Fairly Valued between 3.36 and -16.35, Overvalued between 3.36 and 13.22, and Strongly Overvalued above 13.22. The current Forward EV/EBIT of -0.63 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

7.50

Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc. (SPCE) has a current PS of 7.50. The 5-year average PS is 660.25. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -1474.95, Undervalued between -1474.95 and -407.35, Fairly Valued between 1727.84 and -407.35, Overvalued between 1727.84 and 2795.44, and Strongly Overvalued above 2795.44. The current Forward PS of 7.50 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

-1.39

P/OCF

Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc. (SPCE) has a current P/OCF of -1.39. The 5-year average P/OCF is -10.95. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -43.02, Undervalued between -43.02 and -26.98, Fairly Valued between 5.08 and -26.98, Overvalued between 5.08 and 21.11, and Strongly Overvalued above 21.11. The current Forward P/OCF of -1.39 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

-0.41

P/FCF

Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc. (SPCE) has a current P/FCF of -0.41. The 5-year average P/FCF is -8.24. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -31.56, Undervalued between -31.56 and -19.90, Fairly Valued between 3.41 and -19.90, Overvalued between 3.41 and 15.07, and Strongly Overvalued above 15.07. The current Forward P/FCF of -0.41 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc (SPCE) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 0.63. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 1.40 , the current P/B ratio is approximately -55.02% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 4.48, the current P/B ratio is about -85.95% higher. Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc (SPCE) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 0.00%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of -155.36%, the current FCF yield is approximately -100.00% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of -95.39% , the current FCF yield is about -100.00% lower.

0.65

P/B

Median3y

1.40

Median5y

4.48

-273.22

FCF Yield

Median3y

-155.36

Median5y

-95.39

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for SPCE's competitors is 1.79, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc Corp (SPCE) exhibits a P/S ratio of , which is -100.00% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of -90.38%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

SPCE.N

Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc

Outdoor Holding Company

Innovative Solutions and Support Inc

Senstar Technologies Corp

Coda Octopus Group Inc

Ageagle Aerial Systems Inc

Loss

-6.29%

66.70M

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of SPCE decreased by 52.91% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an decrease in Margin Expansion from -2.22K to -16.57K.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed -90.38%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of SPCE in the past 1 year is driven by Margin Expansion. Which is more sustainable.

-90.38%

4.22M → 406.00K

Revenue Growth

645.74%

-2.22K → -16.57K

Margin Expansion

-608.27%

0.07 → -0.35

P/E Change

-52.91%