Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. SPCE has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.
SPCE stock price ended at $3.16 on Monday, after rising2.93%
The Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc stock price increased by 2.93% on the last trading day (12 May 2025), rising from 3.27 to 3.16. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 5.71% , ranging from a day low of $3.15 to a day high of 3.33. The price has declined in 5 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 3.61% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by 516.54K shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 1.53M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 4.94M.
SPCE Technical Signals
SPCE(Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc Corp) has 4 buy signals and 4 sell signals now. The current trend is downtrend starting from 2025-02-27. The total price change during this trend is -15.01%. Recently, the price has increased but the volume has decreased, indicating a potential warning signal. The average turnover of SPCE over the last 5 trading days is 3.63M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Neutral outlook in the mid-term.
SPCE Moving Average Analysis
Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Tuesday, May 13, 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $3.35504, and $3.5574999999999997. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $2.69996, and $2.4975. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
SPCE Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc(SPCE) as of 09 May 2025 is 39.77%, rising from last trading day. With increasing price from 3.14 to 3.07. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating further declines.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Sell
4
Buy
4
Moving Average
Swing
Positive
Stock Price Above SMA_5
Short Term
Positive
SMA_5 Above SMA_20
Mid Term
Negative
SMA_20 Below SMA_60
Long Term
Negative
SMA_60 Below SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
4 Bullish Signals
4 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 > 0
0.155
Bullish
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 > 0
0.205
Bullish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 > 0
0.009
Bullish
Closing price
close > fibonacci_R1
3.255
Bullish
4 Bearish Signals
4 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Stochastic Oscillator %K (14, 3, 3)
STOCHk_14_3_3 > 80
91.034
Bearish
Commodity Channel Index (20 days, 0.015 constant)
CCI_20_0.015 > 100
166.532
Bearish
Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)
STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 > 80
95.538
Bearish
Williams %R (14 days)
WILLR_14 > -20
-9.701
Bearish
SPCE Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc(SPCE), our algorithm predicts SPCE's 1-month price at $3.21, with an 4.72%upwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 94.04%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc (SPCE.N) stock, as of Sunday, May 11, 2025 , forecasts a 4.72% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with SITE.N stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 94.04%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
SPCE
No Data
SITE
Up: 4.72%Similarity: 94.04%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
SITE.N
94.04%
+4.72%
ALL.N
93.90%
+2.45%
MSCI.N
92.94%
-5.88%
CVU.A
92.90%
+5.64%
WRB.N
92.73%
+0.74%
LUV.N
92.59%
-1.09%
EXAS.O
92.49%
+17.14%
SSTI.O
92.40%
-3.03%
SPCE Seasonality Analysis
Based on SPCE's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is37.50%, suggesting it maynotbe an ideal month to invest in SPCE. In contrast,Juneoffers the highest probability of positive returns at57.14%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc (SPCE.N) stock in June has the highest probability of a positive return (57.14%), while August has the lowest probability (0.00%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc. (SPCE)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
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FAQ
Should I buy Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc (SPCE.N) stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. SPCE has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.
Which months have the highest win rate for buying Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc (SPCE.N) stock in a year?
The radar chart shows that buying Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc (SPCE.N) stock in June has the highest probability of a positive return (57.14%), while August has the lowest probability (0.00%).
How has Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc. (SPCE)'s stock price performed over the past three years?
SPCE's stock price fell by -29.80% in 2023,decreased by -87.59% in 2024, and went down by 47.85% in 2025.
Which bull technical signals does SPCE have?
Bullish technical signals of SPCE include: AO_5_34 > 0, MOM_10 > 0, MACD_12_26_9 > 0, close > fibonacci_R1.
Is SPCE a buy based on overall technical signals summary?
SPCE has 4 buy signals and 4 sell signals now. Overall the technical rating for SPCE is Neutral . Note that market conditions change all the time. In addition to technical ratings, keep an eye on the Valuation Level of SPCE.
What is the trend of Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc (SPCE)'s moving average?
Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of May 13 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal.
What is price prediction for SPCE stock next month?
The price prediction chart for Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc (SPCE.N) stock, as of May 11 2025, forecasts a 4.72% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with SITE stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 94.04%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
What is price prediction 2025 for SPCE Stock?
The price prediction for SPCE stock in 2025 is expected to range between **$2.80 and $3.20**. This forecast is based on technical indicators showing a neutral RSI of 54.41 and a bullish Stochastic Oscillator at 82.01, suggesting potential short-term upside. Additionally, Fibonacci resistance at $3.14 and support at $2.82 indicate a volatile trading range. Recent news about Blue Origin's all-female crew launch has renewed interest in space tourism, which could positively impact SPCE, though the stock remains speculative due to high volatility and lack of profitability.
What is price prediction 2030 for SPCE Stock?
### **Price Prediction for SPCE Stock by 2030**
Based on current trends and analysis, Virgin Galactic Holdings (SPCE) is expected to reach **$15 to $25 per share** by 2030. This prediction is driven by the company's progress in advancing its Delta Class SpaceShips, which are expected to significantly increase flight frequency and passenger capacity, potentially boosting revenue. Additionally, Virgin Galactic's strategic shift toward carrying scientific payloads could provide a more profitable revenue stream compared to space tourism alone.
### **Reasons for the Prediction**
1. **Technological Advancements**:
Virgin Galactic is making progress on its Delta Class SpaceShips, which are expected to enter commercial service in 2026. These spaceplanes will have a higher flight frequency (up to twice a week) and carry more passengers (up to six per flight), significantly improving revenue potential compared to the current Unity spaceplane.
2. **Diversification of Revenue Streams**:
The company is exploring alternative revenue streams, such as carrying scientific payloads, which could generate higher margins than space tourism. For example, a single payload rack could yield up to $5 million, compared to $450,000 per passenger.
3. **Valuation and Analyst Sentiment**:
While SPCE is currently trading at a high valuation with a price-to-sales ratio of 85.09, analysts expect significant growth as the company scales its operations. The stock has a consensus Hold rating, but some analysts see upside potential if Virgin Galactic executes its growth plans effectively.
4. **Competition and Market Expansion**:
The space tourism market is becoming increasingly competitive, with Blue Origin and SpaceX making strides. However, Virgin Galactic's focus on suborbital flights and scientific payloads could carve out a niche in the industry.
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