Should I Buy SPCE? SPCE 2026 Analysis

Should You Buy Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc (SPCE) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion

Hold

Latest Price

2.930

1 Day change

-3.30%

52 Week Range

6.640

Analysis Updated At

2026/01/26

Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc (SPCE) is not a good buy for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy and $50,000-$100,000 available for investment. The company faces significant financial challenges, weak analyst ratings, and lacks strong positive catalysts. The technical indicators and options data do not suggest a compelling entry point at this time.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is slightly positive and expanding, but the RSI is neutral at 45.183, providing no clear signal. Moving averages are bearish (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5), and the stock is trading below the key pivot level of 3.1. Support levels are at 2.921 and 2.81, while resistance levels are at 3.28 and 3.391. Overall, the trend is weak and bearish.

Options Data

Bearish

Open Interest Put-Call Ratio

Bullish

Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The Open Interest Put-Call Ratio of 1.13 indicates slightly bearish sentiment, while the Option Volume Put-Call Ratio of 0.18 suggests that call options are being traded more actively than puts, indicating some speculative bullish activity. However, the overall sentiment remains mixed.

Technical Summary

Sell

Buy

Positive Catalysts

The Mars colonization market is expected to grow significantly by 2030, which could benefit Virgin Galactic in the long term if the company can capitalize on this trend.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

The company recently underwent a capital realignment, including issuing high-interest debt and selling common stock, which raises concerns about its commercialization timeline and financial stability. Analyst ratings are negative, with Morgan Stanley lowering the price target to $2.30 and maintaining an Underweight rating.

Financial Performance

In Q3 2025, Virgin Galactic's revenue dropped by 9.20% YoY to $365,000, net income declined by 13.58% YoY to -$64.42 million, and EPS fell by 59.02% YoY to -1.09. Although gross margin improved slightly by 7.53%, the overall financial performance is weak, with no clear signs of growth.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Morgan Stanley recently lowered its price target to $2.30 from $2.50 and maintained an Underweight rating. Analysts have expressed concerns about the company's financial stability and commercialization timeline, despite the capital realignment extending its runway into 2028.

4 Analyst Rating

Wall Street analysts forecast SPCE stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for SPCE is 3.6 USD with a low forecast of 2.3 USD and a high forecast of 4.5 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

1 Buy

2 Hold

1 Sell

Hold

Current: 3.030

Low

2.3

Averages

3.6

High

4.5

Current: 3.030

Low

2.3

Averages

3.6

High

4.5

Morgan Stanley

Underweight

maintain

AI Analysis

2025-12-12

Reason

Morgan Stanley

Price Target

AI Analysis

2025-12-12

maintain

Underweight

Reason

Morgan Stanley lowered the firm's price target on Virgin Galactic to $2.30 from $2.50 and keeps an Underweight rating on the shares after the company announced a multi-step capital realignment on December 9, including the repurchase and retirement of about $355M of its 2.5% 2027 convertible notes; the issuance of about $203M of 9.8% notes due in 2028; and selling $46M of its common stock. The capital realignment removes near-term debt pressure and extends the runway into 2028, but renews investor questions around commercialization timing, the analyst tells investors.

Bernstein

Underperform

downgrade

$3 -> $2

2025-08-21

Reason

Bernstein

Price Target

$3 -> $2

2025-08-21

downgrade

Underperform

Reason

Bernstein lowered the firm's price target on Virgin Galactic to $2 from $3 and keeps an Underperform rating on the shares. Virgin Galactic reported Q2 results after the close on Wednesday, with adjusted EPS coming in better than expected, while management reiterated its schedule to commercialize the Delta class spaceships in fall 2026, while the launch of the research ship program was postponed from Summer 2026 to Fall 2026 due to fuselage issues, the analyst tells investors in a research note.

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SPCE Should I Buy

SPCE Should I Buy

Should You Buy Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc (SPCE) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Technical Analysis

Options Data

Technical Summary

Positive Catalysts

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

Financial Performance

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

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