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SM Earnings

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Earning Analysis

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of SM Energy Co(SM) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of SM Energy Co earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.

Earnings Forecast

Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate

Surprise Analysis

Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal QuarterEarning DateTimeEstimateActualSurprise%EstimateActualSurprise%1D5D
Fiscal Quarter
Earning Date
Time
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
1D
5D
FY2025Q22025-07-31After Hours1.231.50+21.95783.48M792.94M+1.21-3.37-2.83
FY2025Q12025-05-01After Hours1.601.76+10.00823.81M844.54M+2.52-3.59-10.44
FY2024Q42025-02-19After Hours1.931.91-1.04849.44M852.22M+0.33-4.43-16.64
FY2024Q32024-10-31After Hours1.521.62+6.58638.02M643.61M+0.88-4.03+3.12
FY2024Q22024-08-07After Hours1.571.85+17.83615.16M634.56M+3.15+10.93+15.34
FY2024Q12024-05-02-1.281.41+10.16556.66M559.87M+0.58+1.32+7.45
FY2023Q42024-02-21-1.391.56+12.23611.19M608.73M-0.40+1.80+10.41
FY2023Q32023-11-02-1.611.73+7.45628.73M640.90M+1.94+3.94-8.09
FY2023Q22023-08-02-1.021.28+25.49551.41M550.75M-0.12-1.30+7.79
-2023-04-27-1.191.33+11.76---+2.44-1.95
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SM Earnings Analysis

Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, SM Energy Co reported performance for FY2025Q2, announced on 2025-07-31. The company achieved an EPS of 1.50, compared to analyst estimates of 1.23 by 21.95% . Revenue for the quarter reached 792.94M compared to expectations of 783.48M by 1.21% .
The stock price reacted with a -3.37% one-day change and a -2.83% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in SM Energy Co growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

SM Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, SM Energy Co(SM) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 787.11M and an EPS of 1.06.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Downward by -0.81%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Downward by -2.11%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Downward by -3.73% . These revisions correlate with a -24.81% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in SM Energy Co long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

Estimate Revision

The chart shows the correlation between SM's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
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-0.81%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
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-2.11%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q4 2025
Revise Downward
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-3.73%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Down
down Image
-24.81%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
--
Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:3.30B
--
EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:5.54
—
Stock Price20.24
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SM Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective

SM Energy Co revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q2 (2025-07-31,After Hours):
EPS: 1.50 (Actual) vs.1.23 (Estimate) (21.95%)
Revenue: 792.94M (Actual) vs. 783.48M (Estimate) (1.21%)
Price Reaction: -3.37%(1-Day), -2.83%(5-Day)
FY2025Q1 (2025-05-01,After Hours):
EPS: 1.76 (Actual) vs.1.60 (Estimate) (10.00%)
Revenue: 844.54M (Actual) vs. 823.81M (Estimate) (2.52%)
Price Reaction: -3.59%(1-Day), -10.44%(5-Day)
FY2024Q4 (2025-02-19,After Hours):
EPS: 1.91 (Actual) vs.1.93 (Estimate) (-1.04%)
Revenue: 852.22M (Actual) vs. 849.44M (Estimate) (0.33%)
Price Reaction: -4.43%(1-Day), -16.64%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how SM performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, SM sees a +1.70% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +0.10% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +1.11%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in JUN/2025, the stock changed -3.37% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by -3.12% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Transcript Summary

SM Energy Co (SM) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-08-01
The earnings call indicates strong operational performance and strategic initiatives, particularly in the Uinta Basin, and a focus on capital efficiency. The company's ability to sustain improved well performance and its authorization of a $500 million share buyback program are positive signals. While management did not raise guidance despite strong production, this is balanced by optimistic future revenue expectations and strategic asset development. The market cap suggests a moderate reaction, likely resulting in a positive stock price movement in the short term.
SM Energy Co (SM) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-05-03
The earnings call summary shows strong operational and production growth plans, which are positive. However, the lack of specific financial projections and guidance, along with potential regulatory risks and operational challenges, introduces uncertainty. The Q&A section reveals management's reluctance to provide clear guidance on cost increases and rig plans, which could concern investors. Despite the positive production outlook, the absence of a shareholder return plan and clear financial guidance tempers the overall sentiment, leading to a neutral prediction for the stock price movement.
SM Energy Co (SM) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-05-02
The earnings call reflects a balanced outlook. While there is optimism with a planned 30% increase in oil production and successful asset integration, the absence of shareholder return plans and cautious forward-looking statements temper expectations. The Q&A session revealed management's focus on debt reduction over repurchases, which could limit immediate stock price gains. Additionally, the lack of clear guidance on specific operational timelines and potential regulatory risks adds uncertainty. Given the company's market cap, the stock price is likely to remain stable within a -2% to 2% range over the next two weeks.
SM Energy Co (SM) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-02-20
The earnings call summary and Q&A highlight strong operational execution, record production, and a commitment to shareholder returns. Despite missing EPS expectations, optimistic guidance on production growth and free cash flow suggests positive market sentiment. The company’s strategic focus on expansion and technological advancements further supports a positive outlook. Given the market cap, the stock is likely to experience a moderate positive reaction.
SM Energy Company (SM) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-10-31
The earnings call highlights strong financial performance with production exceeding guidance, successful cost optimizations, and significant shareholder returns through dividends and buybacks. The strategic focus on debt reduction and portfolio expansion, alongside optimistic production guidance, supports a positive outlook. Despite some risks in regulatory and operational execution, the overall sentiment is positive, suggesting a likely stock price increase of 2% to 8% over the next two weeks.
SM Energy Company (SM) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-08-08
The earnings call indicates strong financial performance, with increased production and strategic acquisitions. The company has announced an 11% dividend increase and a substantial share repurchase program, both positive signals for shareholders. Despite minor regulatory and supply chain risks, the overall outlook is optimistic with expected production growth. The company's strong liquidity and debt management further support a positive sentiment. Given the market cap of approximately $5 billion, the stock price is likely to react positively within the 2% to 8% range over the next two weeks.

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FAQ

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What were the key highlights of SM’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q2?

SM reported its FY2025Q2 earnings on 2025-07-31, showcasing a revenue of 792.94M against an estimate of 783.48M, resulting in a 1.21% surprise. The EPS was 1.5, surpassing the expected 1.23 by 21.95% . The stock experienced a -3.37% price change on the earnings day and a -2.83% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
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How did SM’s stock price react after the FY2025Q2 earnings release?

Following SM’s FY2025Q2 earnings announcement on 2025-07-31, the stock price moved by -3.37% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a -2.83% change. Historically, SM’s stock price tends to shift by an average of +1.70% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and +0.10% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
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What are the revenue and EPS estimates for SM for 2025/Q4?

For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate SM’s annual revenue to reach 787.11M, while the EPS is projected at 1.06. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Downward by -0.81% and EPS estimates Revise Downward by -3.73% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
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How does SM’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

The correlation between SM’s stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Downward by -0.81%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Downward by -3.73% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
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What should investors expect from SM’s next earnings report?

Based on historical trends, SM’s stock price typically moves by +1.70% in the 10 days before its earnings and +0.10% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 1.06 and revenue of 787.11M.
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What is the sentiment in SM Energy Co (SM) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary?

The earnings call indicates strong operational performance and strategic initiatives, particularly in the Uinta Basin, and a focus on capital efficiency. The company's ability to sustain improved well performance and its authorization of a $500 million share buyback program are positive signals. While management did not raise guidance despite strong production, this is balanced by optimistic future revenue expectations and strategic asset development. The market cap suggests a moderate reaction, likely resulting in a positive stock price movement in the short term.
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