SJM Valuation

J M Smucker Co

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113.200

+0.24(0.212%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

SJM Relative Valuation

SJM's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, SJM is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

J M Smucker Co (SJM) is now in the Undervalued zone, suggesting that its current forward PE ratio of 12.35 is considered Undervalued compared with the five-year average of 13.92. The fair price of J M Smucker Co (SJM) is between 118.47 to 146.02 according to relative valuation methord. Compared to the current price of 113.42 USD , J M Smucker Co is Undervalued By 4.26%.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

118.47-146.02

Current Price：113.42

4.26%

Undervalued

12.32

Trailing

Forward

9.75

EV/EBITDA

J M Smucker Co. (SJM) has a current EV/EBITDA of 9.75. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 10.66. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 8.30, Undervalued between 8.30 and 9.48, Fairly Valued between 11.84 and 9.48, Overvalued between 11.84 and 13.01, and Strongly Overvalued above 13.01. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 9.75 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

11.87

EV/EBIT

J M Smucker Co. (SJM) has a current EV/EBIT of 11.87. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 12.38. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 9.62, Undervalued between 9.62 and 11.00, Fairly Valued between 13.76 and 11.00, Overvalued between 13.76 and 15.14, and Strongly Overvalued above 15.14. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 11.87 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

1.34

J M Smucker Co. (SJM) has a current PS of 1.34. The 5-year average PS is 1.64. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 1.16, Undervalued between 1.16 and 1.40, Fairly Valued between 1.88 and 1.40, Overvalued between 1.88 and 2.13, and Strongly Overvalued above 2.13. The current Forward PS of 1.34 falls within the Undervalued range.

9.93

P/OCF

J M Smucker Co. (SJM) has a current P/OCF of 9.93. The 5-year average P/OCF is 10.65. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 7.01, Undervalued between 7.01 and 8.83, Fairly Valued between 12.47 and 8.83, Overvalued between 12.47 and 14.29, and Strongly Overvalued above 14.29. The current Forward P/OCF of 9.93 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

13.54

P/FCF

J M Smucker Co. (SJM) has a current P/FCF of 13.54. The 5-year average P/FCF is 16.70. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 7.44, Undervalued between 7.44 and 12.07, Fairly Valued between 21.32 and 12.07, Overvalued between 21.32 and 25.95, and Strongly Overvalued above 25.95. The current Forward P/FCF of 13.54 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

J M Smucker Co (SJM) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.98. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 1.79 , the current P/B ratio is approximately 10.54% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 1.75, the current P/B ratio is about 13.26% higher. J M Smucker Co (SJM) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 0.00%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 5.51%, the current FCF yield is approximately -100.00% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 6.24% , the current FCF yield is about -100.00% lower.

1.98

P/B

Median3y

1.79

Median5y

1.75

6.77

FCF Yield

Median3y

5.51

Median5y

6.24

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for SJM's competitors is 1.14, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. J M Smucker Co Corp (SJM) exhibits a P/S ratio of 1.34, which is 17.36% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of -2.81%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

Lamb Weston Holdings Inc

International Flavors & Fragrances Inc

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of SJM decreased by 1.29% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an decrease in P/E Change from -1.92 to -9.77.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed -2.81%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of SJM in the past 1 year is driven by P/E Change. Which is more unsustainable.

-2.81%

2.21B → 2.14B

Revenue Growth

-406.12%

11.11 → -34.01

Margin Expansion

407.64%

-1.92 → -9.77

P/E Change

-1.29%