Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. SHOP has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.
SHOP stock price ended at $106.53 on Tuesday, after losing-1.7%
The Shopify Inc stock price decreased by -1.7% on the last trading day (17 Jun 2025), dropping from 107.3 to 106.53. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 2.07% , ranging from a day low of $106.34 to a day high of 108.54. The price has declined in 5 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 1.35% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by -2.36M shares, with the falling prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 4.91M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 527.12M.
SHOP Technical Signals
SHOP(Shopify Inc Corp) has 4 buy signals and 2 sell signals now. The current trend is downtrend starting from 2025-04-09. The total price change during this trend is +16.55%. Recently, the price has decreased but the volume has also decreased, indicating a potential rebound signal. The average turnover of SHOP over the last 5 trading days is 940.77M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bullish outlook in the mid-term.
SHOP Moving Average Analysis
Shopify Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Wednesday, June 18, 2025, with 1 negative signals and 3 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $118.43713819999999, and $123.99519999999998. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $100.45346179999999, and $94.8954. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
SHOP Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of Shopify Inc(SHOP) as of 16 Jun 2025 is 18.25%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 105.34 to 108.37. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be experiencing short cover.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Sell
2
Buy
4
Moving Average
Swing
Negative
Stock Price Below SMA_5
Short Term
Positive
SMA_5 Above SMA_20
Mid Term
Negative
SMA_20 Below SMA_60
Long Term
Positive
SMA_60 Above SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
4 Bullish Signals
4 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 > 0
5.003
Bullish
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 > 0
1.42
Bullish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 > 0
1.996
Bullish
Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)
STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 < 20
12.426
Bullish
2 Bearish Signals
2 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Moving Average
Price crosses below 10-day SMA
--
Bearish
Moving Average
Price crosses below 20-day SMA
--
Bearish
SHOP Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Shopify Inc(SHOP), our algorithm predicts SHOP's 1-month price at $111.56, with an 5.9%upwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 94.28%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for Shopify Inc (SHOP.N) stock, as of Sunday, June 15, 2025 , forecasts a 5.9% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with CTAS.O stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 94.28%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
SHOP
No Data
CTAS
Up: 5.9%Similarity: 94.28%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
CTAS.O
94.28%
+5.90%
EPR.N
93.73%
+8.85%
VICR.O
93.37%
-11.13%
DAKT.O
92.90%
-6.47%
FN.N
92.61%
-10.78%
ATGE.N
92.52%
-6.00%
ERII.O
92.50%
-9.81%
SHOP Seasonality Analysis
Based on SHOP's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in June is60.00%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in SHOP. In contrast,Novemberoffers the highest probability of positive returns at90.00%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying Shopify Inc (SHOP.N) stock in November has the highest probability of a positive return (90.00%), while October has the lowest probability (30.00%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows Shopify Inc. (SHOP)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
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FAQ
Should I buy Shopify Inc (SHOP.N) stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. SHOP has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.
Which months have the highest win rate for buying Shopify Inc (SHOP.N) stock in a year?
The radar chart shows that buying Shopify Inc (SHOP.N) stock in November has the highest probability of a positive return (90.00%), while October has the lowest probability (30.00%).
How has Shopify Inc. (SHOP)'s stock price performed over the past three years?
SHOP's stock price rose by 118.33% in 2023,increased by 44.02% in 2024, and went down by 0.93% in 2025.
Is SHOP a buy based on overall technical signals summary?
SHOP has 4 buy signals and 2 sell signals now. Overall the technical rating for SHOP is Buy . Note that market conditions change all the time. In addition to technical ratings, keep an eye on the Valuation Level of SHOP.
What is the trend of Shopify Inc (SHOP)'s moving average?
Shopify Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of June 18 2025, with 1 negative signals and 3 positive signal.
What is price prediction for SHOP stock next month?
The price prediction chart for Shopify Inc (SHOP.N) stock, as of June 15 2025, forecasts a 5.9% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with CTAS stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 94.28%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
What is price prediction 2025 for SHOP Stock?
Shopify (SHOP) stock is predicted to reach **$125** by the end of 2025. This forecast is supported by strong Q1 results, with revenue up 27% and GMV increasing, as well as positive analyst sentiment with a median target of $110 and some analysts projecting up to $125. However, risks like tariffs and high valuations could impact growth.
What is price prediction 2030 for SHOP Stock?
### **Price Prediction for Shopify (SHOP) Stock by 2030**
Based on current trends, analyst expectations, and growth projections, Shopify (SHOP) is expected to reach a stock price of **$150 by 2030**. This prediction is supported by the company's strong position in the e-commerce market, with a 12% share of U.S. gross merchandise volume, and its ability to consistently beat earnings estimates. Analysts have set an average price target of $113.71, with some firms like Benchmark predicting a higher target of $150, driven by the company's agility in adapting to market changes and its leadership in the direct-to-consumer selling space.