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REPL Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Replimune Group Inc (REPL) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
7.840
1 Day change
-4.76%
52 Week Range
13.240
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/06
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Replimune Group Inc (REPL) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. The technical indicators are bearish, and there are no significant positive catalysts or trading signals to suggest immediate upside potential. While the stock has potential upside in the next month, the lack of strong financial performance and recent insider or hedge fund activity makes it prudent to hold off on buying at this time.

Technical Analysis

The technical indicators for REPL are bearish. The MACD is below 0 and negatively expanding, RSI is neutral at 30.438, and moving averages suggest a bearish trend (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5). The stock is trading below the pivot level of 7.737, with key support at 6.962 and resistance at 8.512.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

The low put-call ratios indicate a bullish sentiment in the options market, but the high implied volatility (243.83) and IV percentile (86.45) suggest significant uncertainty and risk.

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
8
Buy
5

Positive Catalysts

  • Piper Sandler raised the price target to $14 from $13 and maintained an Overweight rating. The upcoming April 10 PDUFA date for RP1 could act as a catalyst if the FDA decision is favorable.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • The company's financials remain weak, with a net income loss of -$70.93M in Q3 2026 and a YoY EPS decline of -2.53%. Additionally, there are no recent news updates or significant insider or hedge fund activity to suggest strong near-term momentum.

Financial Performance

In Q3 2026, Replimune reported no revenue growth (0% YoY), a net income loss of -$70.93M (up 6.92% YoY), and a decline in EPS to -0.77 (-2.53% YoY). Gross margin remains at 0%. The financials suggest the company is still in a growth phase with no profitability.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analyst sentiment is cautiously optimistic. Piper Sandler raised the price target to $14 and maintained an Overweight rating, citing compelling analyses addressing FDA concerns. However, the approval decision for RP1 still carries risk.

Wall Street analysts forecast REPL stock price to rise
7 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast REPL stock price to rise
4 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 8.230
sliders
Low
3
Averages
11.43
High
18
Current: 8.230
sliders
Low
3
Averages
11.43
High
18
Piper Sandler
Overweight
maintain
$13 -> $14
AI Analysis
2026-02-05
Reason
Piper Sandler
Price Target
$13 -> $14
AI Analysis
2026-02-05
maintain
Overweight
Reason
Piper Sandler raised the firm's price target on Replimune to $14 from $13 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares following Q3 reporting and ahead of RP1's April 10 PDUFA date. Replimune has felt the full brunt of the impact of FDA turmoil and seemingly capricious decision-making in recent months, Piper notes. The firm understands that additional analyses addressing FDA's concern around the contribution of components in the single-arm IGNYTE trial played a key role in this apparent about-face, and finds these recently disclosed analyses compelling. While Piper acknowledges that RP1's approval decision still carries risk, it's the firm's sense that FDA wouldn't have accepted the resubmission with the intent of rejecting it a second time.
BMO Capital
Evan Seigerman
Underperform
to
Market Perform
upgrade
$2 -> $11
2025-11-03
Reason
BMO Capital
Evan Seigerman
Price Target
$2 -> $11
2025-11-03
upgrade
Underperform
to
Market Perform
Reason
BMO Capital analyst Evan Seigerman upgraded Replimune to Market Perform from Underperform with a price target of $11, up from $2. The firm says current share levels "reflect appropriate risk" for the company's RP1 program. Replimune seems to have better alignment with regulators on a path forward for the drug, the analyst tells investors in a research note. BMO says Replimune's "productive" Type A meeting supports potential approval.
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