REPL Stock Price Prediction

Replimune Group Inc

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7.995

+0.365(+4.780%)

Overview
Forecast
Valuation

Should I Buy Replimune Group Inc Stock?

Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. REPL has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.

REPL stock price ended at $7.995 on Thursday, after rising 4.78%

The Replimune Group Inc stock price increased by 4.78% on the last trading day (Thursday Apr 2025), rising from 7.58 to 7.995. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 6.24% , ranging from a day low of $7.53 to a day high of 8. The price has declined in 4 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 1.33% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by -22.44K shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 651.78K shares were traded, amounting to approximately 5.09M.

REPL Technical Signals

REPL(Replimune Group Inc Corp) has 3 buy signals and 3 sell signals now. The current trend is downtrend starting from 2025-03-13. The total price change during this trend is -32.59%. Recently, the price has increased but the volume has decreased, indicating a potential warning signal. The average turnover of REPL over the last 5 trading days is 5.97M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Neutral outlook in the mid-term.

REPL Moving Average Analysis

Replimune Group Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Friday, April 18, 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $8.26, and $8.86. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $6.33, and $5.74. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.

REPL Short Selling Analysis

The short sale ratio of Replimune Group Inc(REPL) as of 16 Apr 2025 is 23.55%, rising from last trading day. With increasing price from 7.71 to 7.63. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating further declines.

Technical Signal

Technical Signals Summary

Neutral

Sell

Buy

Moving Average

Swing

Positive

Stock Price Above SMA_5

Short Term

Negative

SMA_5 Below SMA_20

Mid Term

Positive

SMA_20 Above SMA_60

Long Term

Positive

SMA_60 Above SMA_200

Short Selling

Close Price

Short Sale Ratio

Short Sale Volume

3 Bullish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Momentum (10 days)

MOM_10 > 0

0.11

Bullish

Closing price

close > fibonacci_R1

Bullish

Moving Average

5-day SMA crosses above 10-day SMA

Bullish

3 Bearish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)

AO_5_34 < 0

-2.45

Bearish

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)

MACD_12_26_9 < 0

-1.07

Bearish

Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)

STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 > 80

92.99

Bearish

REPL Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis

Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Replimune Group Inc(REPL), our algorithm predicts REPL's 1-month price at $5.26, with an -28.41%downwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 99.13%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.

Similar Chart

The price prediction chart for Replimune Group Inc (REPL.O) stock, as of Sunday, April 13, 2025 , forecasts a -28.41% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with ADMA.O stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 99.13%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.

REPL

Future prediction

Up: -28.41%

ADMA

Down: -28.41%Similarity: 99.13%

Name

Similarity

Up/Down

ADMA.O

99.13%

-28.41%

BOKF.O

99.08%

+6.21%

ONVO.O

98.90%

+11.17%

MHO.N

98.88%

+15.08%

NRIX.O

98.86%

+12.04%

NGL.N

98.84%

+25.00%

BFST.O

98.81%

+22.73%

MTEK.O

98.80%

+5.31%

BANC.N

98.79%

-25.50%

AGIO.O

98.79%

+8.88%

REPL Seasonality Analysis

Based on REPL's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in April is42.86%, suggesting it maynotbe an ideal month to invest in REPL. In contrast,Juneoffers the highest probability of positive returns at83.33%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.

However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.

Monthly Seasonality

The radar chart shows that buying Replimune Group Inc (REPL.O) stock in June has the highest probability of a positive return (83.33%), while February has the lowest probability (28.57%).

Performance Seasonality

The chart shows Replimune Group Inc. (REPL)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.