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RARE

Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc
$
27.140
-0.52(-1.880%)1D
  • Overview
  • Forecast
  • Valuation
  • Earnings
Line
Line
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Candle
Candle
1D
5D
1M
3M
6M
YTD
1Y
5Y
High
28.460
Open
28.220
VWAP
27.70
Vol
2.32M
Mkt Cap
2.57B
Low
27.010
Amount
64.19M
EV/EBITDA(TTM)
--
Total Shares
94.54M
EV
2.08B
EV/OCF(TTM)
--
P/S(TTM)
4.30
Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc. is a biopharmaceutical company. The Company is focused on the identification, acquisition, development, and commercialization of novel products for the treatment of serious rare and ultrarare genetic diseases. Its therapies and clinical-stage pipeline consist of four product categories: biologics, small molecules, AAV gene therapy, and nucleic acid product candidates. Its four approved product candidates include Crysvita (burosumab) for the treatment of X-linked hypophosphatemia (XLH), and tumor-induced osteomalacia (TIO), Mepsevii (vestronidase alfa) for the treatment of mucopolysaccharidosis VII (MPSVII) or Sly Syndrome, Dojolvi (triheptanoin) for the treatment of long-chain fatty acid oxidation disorders (LC-FAOD), and Evkeeza (evinacumab) for the treatment of homozygous familial hypercholesterolemia (HoFH). Its clinical product candidates include DTX401, DTX301, UX701, UX143, UX111, and GTX-102. UX143 for the treatment of Osteogenesis Imperfecta.
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Market Estimates

Earnings Estimates
Revenue
YoY Chg
EPS
YoYChg
FY2025Q4
FY2025Q3
FY2025Q2
181.84M
+10.29%
--
--
164.23M
+17.73%
--
--
161.29M
+9.7%
--
--
Estimates Revision
The market is revising Downward the revenue expectations for Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc. (RARE) for FY2025, with the revenue forecasts being adjusted by -1.11% over the past three months. During the same period, the stock price has changed by -30.36%.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
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-1.11%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Down
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-30.36%
In Past 3 Month
15 Analyst Rating
up Image
204.61% Upside
Wall Street analysts forecast RARE stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for RARE is 82.67 USD with a low forecast of 35.00 USD and a high forecast of 136.00  USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
14 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
up Image
204.61% Upside
Current: 27.140
sliders
Low
35.00
Averages
82.67
High
136.00
H.C. Wainwright
Buy
initiated
$80
2025-07-28
New
Reason
H.C. Wainwright assumed coverage of Ultragenyx with a Buy rating and $80 price target. The firm sees an attractive buying opportunity with the shares down 35% year-to-date. The Orbit trial did not fail and the final top-line result is risk-mitigated and should deliver favorable data, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
Morgan Stanley
Overweight
to
NULL
downgrade
$65 -> $55
2025-07-14
Reason
Morgan Stanley lowered the firm's price target on Ultragenyx to $55 from $65 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. Ultragenyx's setrusumab strategy for osteogenesis imperfecta is scientifically supported and the chemistry, manufacturing and controls issues for UX111 are believed to be solvable, though these setbacks have heightened clinical and regulatory uncertainty, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm sees the market's reaction to the setrusumab update as overdone, with further pressure expected from the complete response letter in the near-term.
BofA
Buy
maintain
$80 -> $79
2025-07-14
Reason
BofA lowered the firm's price target on Ultragenyx to $79 from $80 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. Ultragenyx announced they have received a complete response letter from the FDA regarding their application for UX111 in Sanfilippo syndrome highlighting that the agency did not have issues with the clinical data package but requested additional information and improvements related to chemistry, manufacturing and controls, the analyst tells investors in a research note. BofA looks for color on the scheduling of the Type A meeting as well as clarity on potential readthrough to the company's other gene therapy programs.
Wells Fargo
Overweight
downgrade
$88 -> $65
2025-07-10
Reason
Wells Fargo lowered the firm's price target on Ultragenyx to $65 from $88 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. The firm says that while there is some debate around the update impact on setru's probability of success, Wells doesn't expect the peak sales opportunity to materially change if setru is ultimately approved.
Citi
Buy
maintain
$110
2025-07-10
Reason
Citi added an \"upside 90-day short-term view\" on Ultragenyx while keeping a Buy rating on the shares with a $110 price target. It recommends buying the selloff following the news that the ORBIT trial will proceed to the final analysis and not be stopped early. Citi believes Ultragenyx is again trading below its base business valuation. The analyst sees an 85% chance that the ORBIT study is successful on the final analysis.
JPMorgan
Overweight
maintain
2025-07-10
Reason
JPMorgan views the selloff in shares of Ultragenyx as overdone after the company announced the Phase 3 ORBIT trial of setrusumab in osteogenesis imperfecta will be progressing to the final analysis, which is expected around the end of the year. The firm views the pullback as a "material overreaction," saying it had expected more "sentiment-based downside" in the mid- to high-single digit percentage range. JPMorgan's positive outlook on setrusumab in osteogenesis imperfecta has not changed. On a win in the final analysis, it sees the stock having the potential to go to the mid-$60s to low-$70s. The firm keeps an Overweight rating on Ultragenyx.

Valuation Metrics

The current forward P/E ratio for Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc (RARE.O) is -5.58, compared to its 5-year average forward P/E of -10.36. For a more detailed relative valuation and DCF analysis to assess Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc 's fair value, click here.

Forward PE

StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
N/A
5Y Average PE
-10.36
Current PE
-5.58
Overvalued PE
-4.18
Undervalued PE
-16.54

Forward EV/EBITDA

StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
N/A
5Y Average EV/EBITDA
-10.72
Current EV/EBITDA
-6.54
Overvalued EV/EBITDA
-4.00
Undervalued EV/EBITDA
-17.45

Forward PS

StronglyUndervaluedUndervaluedFairOvervaluedStronglyOvervalueddotted line Image
Undervalued
5Y Average PS
11.36
Current PS
3.82
Overvalued PS
18.11
Undervalued PS
4.61

Financials

Annual
Quarterly
FY2025Q1
YoY :
+27.99%
139.29M
Total Revenue
FY2025Q1
YoY :
-13.55%
-142.94M
Operating Profit
FY2025Q1
YoY :
-11.49%
-151.08M
Net Income after Tax
FY2025Q1
YoY :
-22.66%
-1.57
EPS - Diluted
FY2025Q1
YoY :
-10.37%
-182.80M
Free Cash Flow
FY2025Q1
YoY :
-5.33%
79.42
Gross Profit Margin - %
FY2025Q1
-69.93
FCF Margin - %
FY2025Q1
YoY :
-30.84%
-108.46
Net Margin - %

Trading Trends

Insider
Insiders areSelling! The selling amount has increased 340.69% over the last month.
Sold
0-3
Months
110.3K
USD
2
3-6
Months
5.6M
USD
9
6-9
Months
2.1M
USD
4
0-12
Months
1.5M
USD
3
Bought
0-3
0
0.0
USD
Months
3-6
0
0.0
USD
Months
6-9
0
0.0
USD
Months
0-12
0
0.0
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Months
Hedge Fund
Hedge Funds are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last quarter.
Sold
0-3
Months
0.0
Volume
0
3-6
Months
1.3M
Volume
4
6-9
Months
2.7M
Volume
5
0-12
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0.0
Volume
0
Bought
0-3
0
0.0
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Months
3-6
2
1.6M
Volume
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5
1.4M
Volume
Months
0-12
0
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Months
Congress Trading
Congress are Neutral. There are no significant trading trends over the last month.
Sold
0-3
Months
0.0
USD
0
3-6
Months
0.0
USD
0
6-9
Months
0.0
USD
0
0-12
Months
0.0
USD
0
Bought
0-3
0
0.0
USD
Months
3-6
0
0.0
USD
Months
6-9
0
0.0
USD
Months
0-12
0
0.0
USD
Months

RARE News & Events

Events Timeline

2025-07-14 (ET)
2025-07-14
08:02:41
Ultragenyx announces Health Canada extended approval of Evkeeza
select
2025-07-11 (ET)
2025-07-11
16:34:43
Ultragenyx receives CRL from FDA for UX111 gene therapy
select
2025-07-10 (ET)
2025-07-10
08:48:28
Video: Delta jumps, Conagra drops after quarterly earnings reports
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link
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News

3.0
07-30Newsfilter
Ultragenyx to Host Conference Call for Second Quarter 2025 Financial Results and Corporate Update
4.0
07-28Benzinga
Ultragenyx Represents 'Intriguing Buying Opportunity,' Despite Recent Setbacks
4.0
07-28Benzinga
HC Wainwright & Co. Assumes Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical at Buy, Announces Price Target of $80
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FAQ

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The current price of RARE is 27.14 USD — it has decreased -1.88 % in the last trading day.

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