QSR Should I Buy
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Restaurant Brands International Inc (QSR) is not a strong buy for a beginner, long-term investor at this moment. While the stock has bullish technical indicators and positive analyst sentiment, the financial performance shows a significant decline in net income and EPS, and there is notable insider and hedge fund selling activity. Additionally, no strong proprietary trading signals are present today to justify an immediate buy.
The technical indicators are bullish with MACD positively expanding, RSI indicating overbought conditions at 80.963, and moving averages showing a bullish trend (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200). Key resistance levels are at R1: 80.783 and R2: 82.037, with the current pre-market price at 81.23 near resistance levels.
Analysts have consistently raised price targets, with RBC Capital and KeyBanc setting targets at $90, citing positive momentum in Burger King and international segments.
The stock is trading at a discount compared to peers, as noted by Oppenheimer.
Hedge funds and insiders are heavily selling, with hedge fund selling up 791.71% and insider selling up 304.74%.
Financial performance in Q4 2025 shows a significant decline in net income (-56.37% YoY) and EPS (-58.23% YoY), raising concerns about profitability.
In Q4 2025, revenue increased by 7.40% YoY to $2.466 billion, but net income dropped by 56.37% YoY to $113 million, and EPS fell by 58.23% YoY to 0.33. Gross margin also slightly declined to 47.53%.
Analysts are generally positive, with multiple firms raising price targets and maintaining Buy or Overweight ratings. RBC Capital and KeyBanc have the highest price targets at $90, citing strong momentum in Burger King and international segments. However, Citi maintains a Neutral rating, and TD Cowen has a Hold rating.
