The chart below shows how QSR performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, QSR sees a -2.72% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +1.01% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +0.49%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
Positive
Organic Operating Income Growth: 1. Strong Organic Adjusted Operating Income Growth: The company achieved organic adjusted operating income growth of 6.1% year-over-year, demonstrating effective cost management despite softer system-wide sales growth.
Strong Free Cash Flow: 2. Significant Free Cash Flow Generation: Restaurant Brands International generated $485 million in free cash flow during the quarter, excluding the benefits from FX and interest rate hedges, indicating strong cash generation capabilities.
Strong Operating Income Growth: 3. Robust Year-to-Date Performance: The year-to-date organic adjusted operating income growth exceeded 7.5%, with expectations to surpass 8% for the full year 2024, reflecting strong operational execution.
Digital Sales Surge: 4. Increased Digital Sales: Digital sales for Popeyes grew by 21% year-over-year, now representing 28% of total sales, highlighting the brand's successful digital transformation and customer engagement strategies.
Franchisee Profitability Growth: 5. Strong Franchisee Profitability: Average franchisee profitability for Burger King reached $205,000 by the end of last year, with expectations to increase to $230,000 by the end of 2026, showcasing the brand's commitment to enhancing franchisee returns.
Negative
Sales Decline Overview: 1. Declining Comparable Sales: Burger King US comparable sales decreased by 0.4%, with net restaurants declining by 1.6%, leading to a 1.5% decline in system-wide sales.
Popeyes Sales Decline: 2. Softer Performance in Popeyes: Popeyes U.S. comparable sales fell by 3.8%, resulting in a system-wide sales decrease of 0.8%, attributed to a lack of appealing offers in a value-sensitive market.
Burger King China Challenges: 3. Challenges in Burger King China: The company is facing significant challenges in Burger King China, which has contributed to a 100 basis points shortfall in net restaurant growth compared to long-term targets.
Rising Interest Expenses: 4. Increased Interest Expense: Adjusted net interest expense rose by approximately $18 million during the quarter, primarily due to a higher debt balance following the Carrols transaction.
Bad Debt Expense Increase: 5. Negative Cash Flow Impact: Net bad debt expenses in the quarter exceeded $3 million, compared to approximately $2 million of net bad debt recoveries in the same quarter last year.
Restaurant Brands International Inc. (QSR) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Transcript
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