Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the available data and current market conditions, here's a concise analysis for QLYS:

Technical Analysis

• Current price: $134.01 (as of Feb 21, 2025 market close)
• Recent trend shows a bearish movement with -2.30% decline in the last session
• RSI-14 at 42.77 indicates neutral territory but trending downward
• MACD shows bearish momentum with negative values (-0.12)
• Price is currently testing the Fibonacci support level at $134.62

Fundamental Analysis

• Recent insider activity shows CFO Joo Mi Kim sold 4,542 shares (~4% of holdings) at around $140 level
• Institutional sentiment is mixed with 211 institutions increasing positions while 258 reducing in the latest quarter
• The stock received a high rating of 88% from Validea's P/B Growth Investor model, indicating strong fundamentals

Recommendation Based on the technical and fundamental indicators, QLYS appears to be in a short-term downtrend while testing key support levels. The recent insider selling and mixed institutional sentiment suggest caution. The recommendation would be to SELL at current levels with potential to rebuy if price stabilizes above the $134.62 Fibonacci support level.

Based on the recent analyst reports and technical analysis, here is the price prediction for QLYS stock in 2025:

Price Target Analysis: Multiple analysts have recently adjusted their price targets for QLYS in February 2025:

• Morgan Stanley: $120 (Underweight)
• Scotiabank: $140 (Sector Perform)
• Canaccord Genuity: $163 (Buy)
• Northland Securities: $150 (Hold)

Technical Analysis: The stock is currently trading at $134.01 with key technical levels:

• Fibonacci Resistance R1: $146.06
• Fibonacci Resistance R2: $149.60
• Fibonacci Support S1: $134.62
• Fibonacci Support S2: $131.08

Based on the company's Q4 2024 earnings report and 2025 guidance:

• FY2025 EPS guidance: $5.50-$5.90
• FY2025 revenue guidance: $645M-$657M (~7% growth)

The stock price prediction for 2025 is $145, driven by continued platform adoption and new product initiatives, though margin pressure may limit upside. The key support level is at $131, while resistance sits at $149.

The S1 support level for QLYS Stock is $134.62 ,The R1 resistant level for QLYS Stock is $146.06.

As of the end of day on 2025-02-21, the price of QLYS Stock was $134.01.

The target price for QLYS Stock according to analyst rating is 139.91, with the highest price target at 163.00 and the lowest at 120.00. Analysts have a Hold rating on QLYS Stock overall.

The market cap of QLYS is $5.0B.

Based on the provided data and recent analyst reports, here's a comprehensive analysis of whether QLYS is overvalued:

Technical Analysis The stock is currently showing bearish signals with RSI-14 at 42.77 indicating neutral momentum but trending down. The price has fallen below both SMA-5 (142.60) and SMA-10 (140.28), suggesting short-term weakness.

Valuation Assessment

• Forward P/E has increased significantly from 40.89 (2022) to 48.69 (2023)
• EV/EBITDA expanded from 23.87 to 35.67, showing substantial premium
• P/S ratio jumped from 9.02 to 13.31, indicating rich valuation
• P/B ratio increased from 14.50 to 19.68

Recent Analyst Actions Multiple analysts have recently lowered their price targets:

• Morgan Stanley: Lowered to $120 from $126
• RBC Capital: Lowered to $135 from $162
• Loop Capital: Lowered to $140 from $150
• Canaccord: Lowered to $163 from $170

Conclusion QLYS appears overvalued at current levels based on significant multiple expansion across all key metrics, recent analyst downgrades, and weakening technical indicators, despite showing solid fundamental growth in revenues and earnings.

Qualys, Inc. is a provider of a cloud-based platform delivering information technology (IT), security and compliance solutions. The Company’s integrated suite of IT, security and compliance solutions delivered on Qualys' Enterprise TruRisk Platform enables its customers to identify and manage their IT and operational technology (OT) assets, collect, and analyze large amounts of IT security data, recommend, and implement remediation actions and verify the implementation of such actions. It provides its solutions through a software-as-a-service model, primarily with renewable annual subscriptions. Its cloud platform offers an integrated suite of solutions that automates the lifecycle of asset discovery and management, security and compliance assessments, and remediation for an organization’s IT infrastructure and assets, whether such infrastructure and assets reside inside the organization, on their network perimeter, on endpoints or in the cloud.

Based on the provided data and recent analyst reports, here's a price prediction for QLYS stock by 2030:

QLYS stock is projected to reach $225-240 by 2030, driven by the company's strong position in cybersecurity asset management and cloud security markets, with analysts recently adjusting near-term targets between $120-163. The growth trajectory is supported by Qualys' Enterprise TruRisk Platform expansion and consistent revenue growth, with current financials showing healthy margins (81.65% gross margin) and zero debt.

The conservative estimate is based on the company's current growth rate, market position in cybersecurity, and recent analyst sentiment adjustments, with Morgan Stanley setting the most conservative near-term target at $120 while Canaccord maintains a more bullish $163 target.

QLYS has a total of 2188 employees.