Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the recent data and market analysis, here is a concise assessment of PTC stock:

Technical Analysis

• Current price: $161.29 (as of Feb 24, 2025)
• Stock is showing bearish signals with RSI at 24.54 (oversold territory)
• Trading below all major moving averages (5-day: $167.84, 10-day: $167.91, 20-day: $178.22)

Recent Performance & Market Sentiment

• Stock has declined approximately 8% over the past year
• Currently trading near Fibonacci support level of $162.69
• Recent Q1 FY2025 earnings triggered a 9% drop due to:
  • Conservative Q2 guidance
  • Ongoing sales reorganization concerns

Fundamental Strengths

• Solid Q1 FY2025 metrics:
  • 11% YoY constant currency ARR growth to $2.3B
  • 29% increase in free cash flow to $236M
• Maintained full-year guidance for:
  • 9-10% ARR growth
  • $835-850M free cash flow (14.5% increase)

Analyst Consensus

• Strong Buy rating from 13 out of 18 analysts
• Mean price target: $206 (20.4% upside potential)
• Street-high target: $240 (40.3% upside)

Recommendation: HOLD/ACCUMULATE While PTC shows near-term weakness due to sales reorganization and conservative guidance, its strong fundamentals and maintained full-year targets suggest the current pullback presents a buying opportunity for long-term investors. Consider gradual position building around current levels with initial support at $162.69.

Based on the provided data and recent market developments, here's my analysis for PTC's stock price prediction in 2025:

Current Market Position

Technical Analysis

• Current price: $161.36 (as of Feb 24, 2025)
• The stock has shown significant weakness recently, down 12.28% YTD
• Currently trading near 52-week low of $160.53, well below its 52-week high of $203.09

Fundamental Drivers & Recent Events

• Q1 2025 earnings released in February showed mixed results:
  • Solid ARR growth of 11% year-over-year
  • However, company lowered full-year revenue guidance to $2.43-2.53B from previous $2.51-2.61B
  • Free cash flow guidance maintained at $835-850M

Analyst Price Targets

• Consensus price target from 11 analysts: $210.09 (30.36% upside)
• Recent analyst actions:
  • Berenberg Bank: $196 target (Hold)
  • BMO Capital: $220 target
  • KeyBanc: $211 target
  • Barclays: $215 target (Buy)

2025 Price Prediction Based on current data and analysis, I project the following scenarios:

Base Case: $195-205 (20-27% upside)

• Driven by continued ARR growth
• Successful vertical industry go-to-market reorganization
• Maintained free cash flow performance

Bull Case: $220-230 (36-42% upside)

• Exceeding revised guidance
• Stronger than expected adoption of AI initiatives
• Successful product launches

Bear Case: $150-160 (-7% to -1% downside)

• Further guidance cuts
• Extended sales reorganization disruption
• Broader tech sector weakness

Most Likely Scenario: Base Case ($195-205) The company's strong recurring revenue base, maintained cash flow guidance, and ongoing digital transformation initiatives support this target range, despite near-term reorganization challenges.

The S1 support level for PTC Stock is $161.86 ,The R1 resistant level for PTC Stock is $170.69.

As of the end of day on 2025-02-27, the price of PTC Stock was $163.17.

The target price for PTC Stock according to analyst rating is 214.00, with the highest price target at 240.00 and the lowest at 190.00. Analysts have a Moderate Buy rating on PTC Stock overall.

The market cap of PTC is $19.6B.

Based on recent data and analysis, PTC appears to be overvalued at current levels due to several key factors. The stock's RSI reading of 24.54 indicates oversold conditions, suggesting potential near-term support, but its P/E ratio of 60.92 remains significantly above industry averages. Recent earnings showed mixed results with the company lowering its full-year revenue and earnings guidance while maintaining ARR growth targets of 9-10%. Technical indicators show the stock trading below key moving averages with bearish momentum, as evidenced by negative MACD readings and declining stochastic oscillators. The company's ongoing go-to-market reorganization and cautious outlook have created additional uncertainty around near-term performance.

PTC Inc. is a global software company that enables industrial and manufacturing companies to digitally transform how they engineer, manufacture, and service the physical products. Its computer-aided design (CAD) portfolio solutions enable companies to author product data. Its product lifecycle management (PLM) portfolio solutions enable companies to manage product data and orchestrate processes. Its software can be delivered on premises, in the cloud or in a hybrid model. Its PLM products and services include Windchill PLM, ThingWorx, ServiceMax, Arena, Codebeamer, Servigistics, FlexPLM and Kepware. Its CAD products and services include Creo 3D, Onshape, Vuforia and Arbortext. Its Windchill PLM application suite manages all aspects of the product development lifecycle-from concept through service and retirement-by enabling a digital thread of product parts, materials and configuration information. Its ThingWorx platform is flexible and purpose-built for industrial Internet of things.

Based on the provided data and recent market developments, I'll analyze PTC's stock price prediction for 2030:

Technical Analysis & Current Position

The stock is currently trading at $161.36 during regular market hours on Monday, showing weakness from its recent levels around $183-184 in late December 2024. The stock has entered oversold territory with RSI reading of 29.2, suggesting potential for a technical bounce.

Fundamental Growth Drivers

• Strong ARR Growth: PTC maintains 9-10% constant currency ARR growth guidance for FY2025
• Digital Transformation Focus: Company's strategic positioning in industrial software and IoT positions it well for long-term growth
• Vertical Integration Strategy: Currently implementing go-to-market reorganization focused on five key industrial verticals

Recent Developments & Analyst Views

• KeyBanc raised price target to $211 while maintaining "Overweight" rating
• Berenberg Bank set $196 price target with Hold rating
• Strong consensus among analysts with 13 "Strong Buy", 1 "Moderate Buy", and 4 "Hold" ratings

2030 Price Projection

Based on:

• Current ARR growth trajectory of ~10% annually
• Industry digitalization trends
• Company's strong market position in industrial software

Price Prediction for 2030: $285-295

Reasoning:

• Compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 12-13% from current levels
• Continued expansion in industrial IoT and digital transformation markets
• Strong free cash flow generation supporting reinvestment and growth

PTC has a total of 7231 employees.