QD Valuation

Qudian Inc

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4.620

+0.01(0.217%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

QD Relative Valuation

QD's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, QD is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Qudian Inc (QD) is now in the Fair zone, suggesting that its current forward PS ratio of 0.00 is considered Fairly compared with the five-year average of -24.50. The fair price of Qudian Inc (QD) is between NaN to NaN according to relative valuation methord.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

NaN-NaN

Current Price：4.61

Fair

0.00

Trailing

Forward

-0.18

EV/EBITDA

Qudian Inc. (QD) has a current EV/EBITDA of -0.18. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is -26.57. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -356.74, Undervalued between -356.74 and -191.66, Fairly Valued between 138.51 and -191.66, Overvalued between 138.51 and 303.60, and Strongly Overvalued above 303.60. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of -0.18 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

-0.18

EV/EBIT

Qudian Inc. (QD) has a current EV/EBIT of -0.18. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is 35.93. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -48.38, Undervalued between -48.38 and -6.22, Fairly Valued between 78.08 and -6.22, Overvalued between 78.08 and 120.23, and Strongly Overvalued above 120.23. The current Forward EV/EBIT of -0.18 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

0.16

Qudian Inc. (QD) has a current PS of 0.16. The 5-year average PS is 2.35. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -2.42, Undervalued between -2.42 and -0.04, Fairly Valued between 4.73 and -0.04, Overvalued between 4.73 and 7.12, and Strongly Overvalued above 7.12. The current Forward PS of 0.16 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

0.00

P/OCF

Qudian Inc. (QD) has a current P/OCF of 0.00. The 5-year average P/OCF is -0.11. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -3.85, Undervalued between -3.85 and -1.98, Fairly Valued between 1.76 and -1.98, Overvalued between 1.76 and 3.64, and Strongly Overvalued above 3.64. The current Forward P/OCF of 0.00 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

0.48

P/FCF

Qudian Inc. (QD) has a current P/FCF of 0.48. The 5-year average P/FCF is -0.05. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -3.02, Undervalued between -3.02 and -1.54, Fairly Valued between 1.43 and -1.54, Overvalued between 1.43 and 2.92, and Strongly Overvalued above 2.92. The current Forward P/FCF of 0.48 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

Qudian Inc (QD) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 0.46. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 0.26 , the current P/B ratio is approximately 78.69% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 0.24, the current P/B ratio is about 95.35% higher. Qudian Inc (QD) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 0.00%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of -0.64%, the current FCF yield is approximately -100.00% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of 4.05% , the current FCF yield is about -100.00% lower.

0.46

P/B

Median3y

0.26

Median5y

0.24

0.00

FCF Yield

Median3y

-0.64

Median5y

4.05

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for QD's competitors is , providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Qudian Inc Corp (QD) exhibits a P/S ratio of , which is NaN% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of -69.83%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

Nextdoor Holdings Inc

Loss

2.85%

772.83M

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of QD increased by 97.01% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in Margin Expansion from 89.33 to 925.05.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed -69.83%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of QD in the past 1 year is driven by Margin Expansion. Which is more sustainable.

-69.83%

111.70M → 33.70M

Revenue Growth

935.54%

89.33 → 925.05

Margin Expansion

-768.70%

-1.62 → 10.85

P/E Change

97.01%