Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. QD has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.
QD stock price ended at $2.96 on Monday, after rising1.02%
The Qudian Inc stock price increased by 1.02% on the last trading day (19 May 2025), rising from 2.92 to 2.96. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 2.40% , ranging from a day low of $2.92 to a day high of 2.99. The price has declined in 3 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 5.34% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by -247.08K shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 223.26K shares were traded, amounting to approximately 662.87K.
QD Technical Signals
QD(Qudian Inc Corp) has 5 buy signals and 0 sell signals now. The current trend is downtrend starting from 2025-03-20. The total price change during this trend is +1.38%. Recently, the price has increased but the volume has decreased, indicating a potential warning signal. The average turnover of QD over the last 5 trading days is 1.17M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bullish outlook in the mid-term.
QD Moving Average Analysis
Qudian Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Tuesday, May 20, 2025, with 0 negative signals and 4 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being above the SMA_60 signals a strong bullish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $3.0876333333333337, and $3.2213333333333334. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $2.655033333333334, and $2.521333333333334. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
QD Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of Qudian Inc(QD) as of 12 May 2025 is 22.47%, rising from last trading day. With increasing price from 2.93 to 2.98. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating a price reversion.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Sell
0
Buy
5
Moving Average
Swing
Positive
Stock Price Above SMA_5
Short Term
Positive
SMA_5 Above SMA_20
Mid Term
Positive
SMA_20 Above SMA_60
Long Term
Positive
SMA_60 Above SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
5 Bullish Signals
5 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 > 0
0.295
Bullish
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 > 0
0.21
Bullish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 > 0
0.0861
Bullish
Moving Average
Price crosses above 5-day SMA
--
Bullish
Moving Average
Price crosses above 10-day SMA
--
Bullish
0 Bearish Signals
0 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
No Data
QD Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Qudian Inc(QD), our algorithm predicts QD's 1-month price at $2.94, with an 0.44%upwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 98.57%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for Qudian Inc (QD.N) stock, as of Sunday, May 18, 2025 , forecasts a 0.44% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with CACI.N stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 98.57%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
QD
No Data
CACI
Up: 0.44%Similarity: 98.57%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
CACI.N
98.57%
+0.44%
BCC.N
98.27%
+2.70%
TPCS.O
98.10%
+222.36%
FMX.N
98.09%
-6.08%
WCN.N
98.06%
+3.39%
MRC.N
98.06%
+19.08%
ING.N
98.03%
-10.18%
ATO.N
98.03%
+4.76%
BLK.N
97.98%
+2.25%
AZUL.N
97.96%
-15.64%
QD Seasonality Analysis
Based on QD's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is37.50%, suggesting it maynotbe an ideal month to invest in QD. In contrast,Juneoffers the highest probability of positive returns at100.00%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying Qudian Inc (QD.N) stock in June has the highest probability of a positive return (100.00%), while August has the lowest probability (14.29%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows Qudian Inc. (QD)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
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FAQ
Should I buy Qudian Inc (QD.N) stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. QD has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.
Which months have the highest win rate for buying Qudian Inc (QD.N) stock in a year?
The radar chart shows that buying Qudian Inc (QD.N) stock in June has the highest probability of a positive return (100.00%), while August has the lowest probability (14.29%).
How has Qudian Inc. (QD)'s stock price performed over the past three years?
QD's stock price rose by 117.02% in 2023,increased by 42.42% in 2024, and went up by 5.71% in 2025.
Is QD a buy based on overall technical signals summary?
QD has 5 buy signals and 0 sell signals now. Overall the technical rating for QD is Strong buy . Note that market conditions change all the time. In addition to technical ratings, keep an eye on the Valuation Level of QD.
What is the trend of Qudian Inc (QD)'s moving average?
Qudian Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of May 20 2025, with 0 negative signals and 4 positive signal.
What is price prediction for QD stock next month?
The price prediction chart for Qudian Inc (QD.N) stock, as of May 18 2025, forecasts a 0.44% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with CACI stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 98.57%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
What is price prediction 2025 for QD Stock?
### **Price Prediction for QD Stock in 2025**
Based on the analysis of technical indicators and recent financial performance, QD stock is expected to reach a price of **$2.80 to $3.00** by the end of 2025.
- **Reasoning**:
1. **Technical Indicators**: The stock is currently trading near its Fibonacci resistance level of $2.989 and Bollinger Bands upper limit of $3.21, suggesting potential upside.
2. **Fundamental Strength**: Qudian reported a net income of $18.8 million in Q3 2024, showing a significant turnaround, and maintains a strong cash position of $584.1 million.
3. **Market Sentiment**: Positive earnings surprises and improving revenue trends indicate growing investor confidence.
What is price prediction 2030 for QD Stock?
The price prediction for QD stock by 2030 is **$4.20**. This forecast is based on the company's improving financial performance, including a significant increase in revenue and a strong cash position, which suggests long-term stability and growth potential.