Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. PRCH has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.
PRCH stock price ended at $10.64 on Monday, after losing-1.3%
The Porch Group Inc stock price decreased by -1.3% on the last trading day (19 May 2025), dropping from 10.27 to 10.64. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 5.19% , ranging from a day low of $10.22 to a day high of 10.75. The price has declined in 4 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 70.24% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by -740.91K shares, with the falling prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 1.80M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 18.97M.
PRCH Technical Signals
PRCH(Porch Group Inc Corp) has 4 buy signals and 3 sell signals now. The current trend is downtrend starting from 2025-03-26. The total price change during this trend is +42.22%. Recently, the price has increased but the volume has decreased, indicating a potential warning signal. The average turnover of PRCH over the last 5 trading days is 26.70M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Neutral outlook in the mid-term.
PRCH Moving Average Analysis
Porch Group Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Tuesday, May 20, 2025, with 0 negative signals and 4 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being above the SMA_60 signals a strong bullish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $12.349435133333333, and $14.423733333333333. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $5.637831533333333, and $3.563533333333334. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
PRCH Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of Porch Group Inc(PRCH) as of 12 May 2025 is 9.71%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 10.31 to 10.59. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be experiencing short cover.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Sell
3
Buy
4
Moving Average
Swing
Positive
Stock Price Above SMA_5
Short Term
Negative
SMA_5 Below SMA_20
Mid Term
Positive
SMA_20 Above SMA_60
Long Term
Positive
SMA_60 Above SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
4 Bullish Signals
4 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 > 0
3.582
Bullish
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 > 0
4.4
Bullish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 > 0
1.303
Bullish
Moving Average
Price crosses above 5-day SMA
--
Bullish
3 Bearish Signals
3 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Relative Strength Index (14 days)
RSI_14 > 70
70.481
Bearish
Stochastic Oscillator %K (14, 3, 3)
STOCHk_14_3_3 > 80
85.839
Bearish
Williams %R (14 days)
WILLR_14 > -20
-10.09
Bearish
PRCH Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Porch Group Inc(PRCH), our algorithm predicts PRCH's 1-month price at $9.78, with an -9.28%downwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 99.31%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for Porch Group Inc (PRCH.O) stock, as of Sunday, May 18, 2025 , forecasts a -9.28% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with PRDO.O stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 99.31%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
PRCH
No Data
PRDO
Down: -9.28%Similarity: 99.31%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
PRDO.O
99.31%
-9.28%
MYGN.O
99.25%
-40.37%
HSII.O
99.18%
-0.57%
CHGG.N
99.15%
+5.74%
PACK.N
99.14%
0.00%
MDGL.O
99.11%
+29.74%
CMT.A
99.10%
-1.94%
MRNO.O
99.10%
-1.29%
EXOD.A
99.04%
0.00%
PRCH Seasonality Analysis
Based on PRCH's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is83.33%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in PRCH. In contrast,Novemberoffers the highest probability of positive returns at100.00%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying Porch Group Inc (PRCH.O) stock in November has the highest probability of a positive return (100.00%), while April has the lowest probability (16.67%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows Porch Group Inc. (PRCH)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
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FAQ
Should I buy Porch Group Inc (PRCH.O) stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. PRCH has several positive signals and is within a rising trend, so we believe it will perform strongly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a positive evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Buy candidate.
Which months have the highest win rate for buying Porch Group Inc (PRCH.O) stock in a year?
The radar chart shows that buying Porch Group Inc (PRCH.O) stock in November has the highest probability of a positive return (100.00%), while April has the lowest probability (16.67%).
How has Porch Group Inc. (PRCH)'s stock price performed over the past three years?
PRCH's stock price rose by 64.71% in 2023,increased by 61.84% in 2024, and went up by 114.95% in 2025.
Is PRCH a buy based on overall technical signals summary?
PRCH has 4 buy signals and 3 sell signals now. Overall the technical rating for PRCH is Neutral . Note that market conditions change all the time. In addition to technical ratings, keep an eye on the Valuation Level of PRCH.
What is the trend of Porch Group Inc (PRCH)'s moving average?
Porch Group Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of May 20 2025, with 0 negative signals and 4 positive signal.
What is price prediction for PRCH stock next month?
The price prediction chart for Porch Group Inc (PRCH.O) stock, as of May 18 2025, forecasts a -9.28% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with PRDO stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 99.31%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
What is price prediction 2025 for PRCH Stock?
### **Price Prediction for PRCH Stock in 2025**
Based on the analysis of Porch Group, Inc. (PRCH), the stock is expected to reach **$12.00** by the end of 2025.
1. **Strong Earnings and Revenue Growth**: PRCH recently reported better-than-expected Q1 2025 earnings, with revenue of $104.75 million, beating estimates of $79.44 million. This strong performance, combined with raised FY25 sales guidance, suggests continued momentum.
2. **Technical Indicators**: The stock is currently trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, indicating a bullish trend. The recent price surge following earnings, from $7.70 pre-market to $10.50, reflects positive investor sentiment.
3. **Valuation**: The forward P/S ratio of 2.61 is reasonable given the company's growth trajectory, supporting the potential for further price appreciation.
What is price prediction 2030 for PRCH Stock?
### **Price Prediction for PRCH Stock in 2030**
- **Predicted Price**: $20
- **Reason**: Porch Group (PRCH) has shown strong earnings growth and raised FY25 sales guidance, with shares surging 46% after beating revenue and EPS estimates. Technical indicators like RSI and MACD suggest continued upward momentum, supporting a bullish outlook.