PRCH Stock Price Prediction

Porch Group Inc

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10.410

-0.180(-1.700%)

Overview
Forecast
Valuation

Should I Buy Porch Group Inc Stock?

Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. PRCH has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.

PRCH stock price ended at $10.41 on Tuesday, after losing -1.7%

The Porch Group Inc stock price decreased by -1.7% on the last trading day (13 May 2025), dropping from 10.45 to 10.59. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 5.78% , ranging from a day low of $10.03 to a day high of 10.61. The price has declined in 3 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 82.90% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by 161.48K shares, with the falling prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 2.54M shares were traded, amounting to approximately 25.93M.

PRCH Technical Signals

PRCH(Porch Group Inc Corp) has 3 buy signals and 6 sell signals now. The current trend is downtrend starting from 2025-03-26. The total price change during this trend is +34.17%. Recently, the price has decreased but the volume has also decreased, indicating a potential rebound signal. The average turnover of PRCH over the last 5 trading days is 77.58M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Bearish outlook in the mid-term.

PRCH Moving Average Analysis

Porch Group Inc's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Tuesday, May 13, 2025, with 0 negative signals and 4 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being above the SMA_60 signals a strong bullish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $11.811415333333333, and $13.969333333333331. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $4.829251333333332, and $2.6713333333333322. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.

PRCH Short Selling Analysis

The short sale ratio of Porch Group Inc(PRCH) as of 09 May 2025 is 13.95%, rising from last trading day. With increasing price from 10.88 to 10.31. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be anticipating further declines.

Technical Signal

Technical Signals Summary

Sell

Buy

Moving Average

Swing

Positive

Stock Price Above SMA_5

Short Term

Positive

SMA_5 Above SMA_20

Mid Term

Positive

SMA_20 Above SMA_60

Long Term

Positive

SMA_60 Above SMA_200

Short Selling

Close Price

Short Sale Ratio

Short Sale Volume

3 Bullish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)

AO_5_34 > 0

2.835

Bullish

Momentum (10 days)

MOM_10 > 0

4.38

Bullish

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)

MACD_12_26_9 > 0

1.04

Bullish

6 Bearish Signals

When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish

Indicators

Signal

Value

Meaning

Relative Strength Index (14 days)

RSI_14 > 70

72.711

Bearish

Stochastic Oscillator %K (14, 3, 3)

STOCHk_14_3_3 > 80

86.272

Bearish

Commodity Channel Index (20 days, 0.015 constant)

CCI_20_0.015 > 100

166.605

Bearish

Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)

STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 > 80

88.684

Bearish

Williams %R (14 days)

WILLR_14 > -20

-18.583

Bearish

Ultimate Oscillator (7, 14, 28)

UO_7_14_28 > 70

72.834

Bearish

PRCH Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis

Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Porch Group Inc(PRCH), our algorithm predicts PRCH's 1-month price at $7.60, with an -26.25%downwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 98.16%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.

Similar Chart

The price prediction chart for Porch Group Inc (PRCH.O) stock, as of Sunday, May 11, 2025 , forecasts a -26.25% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with IDN.O stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 98.16%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.

PRCH

Future prediction

Up: -26.25%

IDN

Down: -26.25%Similarity: 98.16%

Name

Similarity

Up/Down

IDN.O

98.16%

-26.25%

ERIC.O

97.70%

-2.99%

CLRB.O

97.53%

+26.09%

ICFI.O

97.32%

+0.05%

ADMA.O

97.25%

-1.27%

ZD.O

97.14%

+3.17%

BFC.O

96.85%

+4.19%

TGT.N

96.84%

-2.45%

SPNT.N

96.69%

+7.17%

PRCH Seasonality Analysis

Based on PRCH's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is83.33%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in PRCH. In contrast,Novemberoffers the highest probability of positive returns at100.00%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.

However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.

Monthly Seasonality

The radar chart shows that buying Porch Group Inc (PRCH.O) stock in November has the highest probability of a positive return (100.00%), while April has the lowest probability (16.67%).

Performance Seasonality

The chart shows Porch Group Inc. (PRCH)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.