Analysis and Insights
To predict the stock price of Philip Morris International (PM) for the next trading week, we will analyze both fundamental and technical factors.
Fundamental Analysis:
Recent Earnings and Performance:
- Philip Morris International (PM) has shown strong performance in its smoke-free products, with IQOS and ZYN contributing significantly to revenue growth. The company reported robust Q4 2024 earnings, with organic revenue growth of 9.8% and adjusted operating income up 14.9% in constant currency terms.
- The company has reaffirmed its 2025 full-year forecast, expecting organic revenue growth of 6-8% and adjusted diluted EPS growth of 10.5-12.5%.
Dividend and Valuation:
- PM declared a regular quarterly dividend of $1.35 per share, demonstrating its commitment to returning value to shareholders.
- The stock is attractively valued with a forward P/E ratio of ~21x, which is reasonable given its growth prospects and strong margins.
Market Sentiment:
- Analysts maintain a positive outlook on PM, with a consensus rating of Moderate Buy and an average price target of $150.50.
Technical Analysis:
Price Trends:
- PM is currently trading near its 20-day SMA of $153.61, with a slight upward trend in recent sessions.
- The stock is consolidating between $148.48 (Fibonacci S2) and $155.83 (Fibonacci R1), suggesting a potential breakout above $155.83.
Technical Indicators:
- RSI (14): 53.43, indicating neutral momentum.
- MACD: The MACD line is slightly above the signal line, suggesting mild bullish momentum.
- Stochastic Oscillator: %K (31.42) is below %D (40.38), indicating a potential buy signal.
Support and Resistance:
- Support Levels: $148.48 (Fibonacci S2) and $150.21 (Fibonacci S1).
- Resistance Levels: $155.83 (Fibonacci R1) and $157.57 (Fibonacci R2).
Price Prediction and Recommendation:
Based on the analysis, PM is expected to trade in a range of $148.48 to $155.83 next week. However, given the strong fundamentals and positive technical indicators, we anticipate a breakout above $155.83, with a target price of $156.28.
Recommendation: Buy PM at the current price of $151.48, with a target price of $156.28 and a stop-loss at $148.48.
Analysis and Insights
To predict the stock price of Philip Morris International (PM) for the next trading week, we will analyze both fundamental and technical factors.
Fundamental Analysis:
Recent Earnings and Performance:
- Philip Morris International (PM) has shown strong performance in its smoke-free products, with IQOS and ZYN contributing significantly to revenue growth. The company reported robust Q4 2024 earnings, with organic revenue growth of 9.8% and adjusted operating income up 14.9% in constant currency terms.
- The company has reaffirmed its 2025 full-year forecast, expecting organic revenue growth of 6-8% and adjusted diluted EPS growth of 10.5-12.5%.
Dividend and Valuation:
- PM declared a regular quarterly dividend of $1.35 per share, demonstrating its commitment to returning value to shareholders.
- The stock is attractively valued with a forward P/E ratio of ~21x, which is reasonable given its growth prospects and strong margins.
Market Sentiment:
- Analysts maintain a positive outlook on PM, with a consensus rating of Moderate Buy and an average price target of $150.50.
Technical Analysis:
Price Trends:
- PM is currently trading near its 20-day SMA of $153.61, with a slight upward trend in recent sessions.
- The stock is consolidating between $148.48 (Fibonacci S2) and $155.83 (Fibonacci R1), suggesting a potential breakout above $155.83.
Technical Indicators:
- RSI (14): 53.43, indicating neutral momentum.
- MACD: The MACD line is slightly above the signal line, suggesting mild bullish momentum.
- Stochastic Oscillator: %K (31.42) is below %D (40.38), indicating a potential buy signal.
Support and Resistance:
- Support Levels: $148.48 (Fibonacci S2) and $150.21 (Fibonacci S1).
- Resistance Levels: $155.83 (Fibonacci R1) and $157.57 (Fibonacci R2).
Price Prediction and Recommendation:
Based on the analysis, PM is expected to trade in a range of $148.48 to $155.83 next week. However, given the strong fundamentals and positive technical indicators, we anticipate a breakout above $155.83, with a target price of $156.28.
Recommendation: Buy PM at the current price of $151.48, with a target price of $156.28 and a stop-loss at $148.48.