Technical Analysis:
Based on recent price action for Planet Fitness (PLNT), the stock has shown significant weakness after its Q4 2024 earnings release.
The stock experienced a notable decline following disappointing same-store sales guidance, despite beating Q4 estimates. Key technical indicators suggest continued downward pressure in the near term.
Fundamental Factors:
- Q4 2024 Results:
- Revenue: $340.45 million (+19.4% YoY)
- System-wide same club sales: +5.5%
- New club openings: 86 locations (78 franchisee-owned, 8 corporate-owned)
- Total clubs: 2,722 as of December 31, 2024
Analyst Views:
- RBC Capital lowered price target from $120 to $110, maintaining Outperform rating
- BofA Securities lowered target from $130 to $115
- Stifel Nicolaus maintains Hold rating
Price Prediction for Next Week:
Based on technical analysis and recent news sentiment:
- Resistance level: $93-94
- Support level: $88-89
- Expected trading range: $88-94
Target Price: $91 by end of next week
Recommendation: SELL
Rationale:
- Weaker same-store sales guidance (90 bps below consensus)
- No EBITDA leverage expected in 2025 due to elevated investments
- Technical indicators showing bearish momentum
- Recent analyst downgrades suggest near-term headwinds
Best entry point for shorts would be any rally toward $93-94 resistance level, with stop loss at $95.
Technical Analysis:
Based on recent price action for Planet Fitness (PLNT), the stock has shown significant weakness after its Q4 2024 earnings release.
The stock experienced a notable decline following disappointing same-store sales guidance, despite beating Q4 estimates. Key technical indicators suggest continued downward pressure in the near term.
Fundamental Factors:
- Q4 2024 Results:
- Revenue: $340.45 million (+19.4% YoY)
- System-wide same club sales: +5.5%
- New club openings: 86 locations (78 franchisee-owned, 8 corporate-owned)
- Total clubs: 2,722 as of December 31, 2024
Analyst Views:
- RBC Capital lowered price target from $120 to $110, maintaining Outperform rating
- BofA Securities lowered target from $130 to $115
- Stifel Nicolaus maintains Hold rating
Price Prediction for Next Week:
Based on technical analysis and recent news sentiment:
- Resistance level: $93-94
- Support level: $88-89
- Expected trading range: $88-94
Target Price: $91 by end of next week
Recommendation: SELL
Rationale:
- Weaker same-store sales guidance (90 bps below consensus)
- No EBITDA leverage expected in 2025 due to elevated investments
- Technical indicators showing bearish momentum
- Recent analyst downgrades suggest near-term headwinds
Best entry point for shorts would be any rally toward $93-94 resistance level, with stop loss at $95.