Should I Buy Packaging Corp of America Stock?
Based on our evaluation of the five key dimensions—Technical Signals, Moving Average trends, Short Sell Data, Similar Chart Pattern Matching and Seasonality Analysis—we have identified the following insights. PKG has several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Our analysis conclusion for this stock is a Strong Sell candidate.
PKG stock price ended at $194.22 on Friday, after rising 1.82%
The Packaging Corp of America stock price increased by 1.82% on the last trading day (16 May 2025), rising from 190.67 to 194.22. Throughout the last trading session, the stock experienced a fluctuation of 2.41% , ranging from a day low of $190 to a day high of 194.58. The price has declined in 6 of the last 10 days, resulting in a total change of 3.63% during this period. On the last day, trading volume decrease by -61.94K shares, with the rising prices. This could serve as an early warning, indicating that risk may slightly increase in the coming days. In total, 829.41K shares were traded, amounting to approximately 160.49M.
PKG Technical Signals
PKG(Packaging Corp of America Corp) has 4 buy signals and 5 sell signals now. The current trend is consolidation starting from 2025-05-06. The total price change during this trend is +7.83%. Recently, the price has increased but the volume has decreased, indicating a potential warning signal. The average turnover of PKG over the last 5 trading days is 190.07M. Overall, the technical indicator signals lean more toward a Neutral outlook in the mid-term.
PKG Moving Average Analysis
Packaging Corp of America's overall moving average trend leans more bullish as of Monday, May 19, 2025, with 2 negative signals and 2 positive signal. In the mid-term, the SMA_20 being below the SMA_60 signals a strong bearish trend. There will be some resistance from the lines at $196.42904000000001, and $202.64800000000002. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. There will be some support from the lines at $176.30696000000003, and $170.08800000000002. A break-down below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
PKG Short Selling Analysis
The short sale ratio of Packaging Corp of America(PKG) as of 12 May 2025 is 13.97%, dropping from last trading day. With decreasing price from 181.42 to 190.39. The short sell activity indicate that short sellers may be experiencing short cover.
Technical Signal
Technical Signals Summary
Sell
5
Buy
4
Moving Average
Swing
PositiveStock Price Above SMA_5
Short Term
PositiveSMA_5 Above SMA_20
Mid Term
NegativeSMA_20 Below SMA_60
Long Term
NegativeSMA_60 Below SMA_200
Short Selling
Close Price
Short Sale Ratio
Short Sale Volume
4 Bullish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bullish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Awesome Oscillator (5, 34)
AO_5_34 > 0
4.079
Bullish
Momentum (10 days)
MOM_10 > 0
6.8
Bullish
Closing price
close > fibonacci_R1
194.22
Bullish
Moving Average
Price crosses above 60-day SMA
--
Bullish
5 Bearish Signals
When Value satisfies Signal, Indicator signals Bearish
Indicators
Signal
Value
Meaning
Stochastic Oscillator %K (14, 3, 3)
STOCHk_14_3_3 > 80
89.483
Bearish
Commodity Channel Index (20 days, 0.015 constant)
CCI_20_0.015 > 100
166.129
Bearish
Moving Average Convergence Divergence (12, 26, 9)
MACD_12_26_9 < 0
-0.00238
Bearish
Stochastic RSI %K (14, 14, 3, 3)
STOCHRSIk_14_14_3_3 > 80
96.702
Bearish
Williams %R (14 days)
WILLR_14 > -20
-2.211
Bearish
PKG Price Prediction & Forecast by Similar Chart Analysis
Based on historical patterns and backtesting of stocks with similar movements to Packaging Corp of America(PKG), our algorithm predicts PKG's 1-month price at $194.17, with an 7.03%upwardshift. Using a similarity score up to 93.98%and other factors, This forecast updates weekly, adjusting for significant deviations.
Similar Chart
The price prediction chart for Packaging Corp of America (PKG.N) stock, as of Sunday, May 11, 2025 , forecasts a 7.03% change over the next month, based on its high correlation with LSTR.O stock patterns. The similarity between their price movements over the analyzed periods is 93.98%. The right panel lists other stocks with similar price patterns. This prediction is updated every week.
PKG
No Data
LSTR
Up: 7.03%Similarity: 93.98%
Name
Similarity
Up/Down
LSTR.O
93.98%
+7.03%
UNP.N
92.68%
+6.98%
EMN.N
92.48%
+6.55%
CHRW.O
92.36%
+12.71%
BLDE.O
92.05%
-16.27%
KAI.N
91.81%
+7.53%
QUBT.O
91.76%
-10.82%
CMG.N
91.70%
+1.88%
HAL.N
91.50%
+4.37%
IP.N
91.45%
+13.26%
PKG Seasonality Analysis
Based on PKG's historical stock price data across all years, the probability of a positive return in May is63.64%, suggesting it maybe an ideal month to invest in PKG. In contrast,Octoberoffers the highest probability of positive returns at90.00%, making it a potentially strong month for investment.
However, this is only a prediction based on one method, and a comprehensive assessment of the stock's future trend should consider additional factors. Our final stock price commentary incorporates three main evaluation dimensions: technical signals, Moving Average trends, and similar chart pattern matching, with the first two dimensions carrying the primary weight to ensure a more robust and accurate forecast.
Monthly Seasonality
The radar chart shows that buying Packaging Corp of America (PKG.N) stock in October has the highest probability of a positive return (90.00%), while June has the lowest probability (30.00%).
Performance Seasonality
The chart shows Packaging Corp of America. (PKG)'s annual stock price return for the past three years, helping you analyze price trends and identify recurring trends on an annual basis.
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FAQ
Should I buy Packaging Corp of America (PKG.N) stock?
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