PCAR Should I Buy
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Paccar Inc (PCAR) is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. While the stock has positive long-term industry growth prospects and some analyst optimism, the recent financial performance, insider selling, and technical indicators suggest caution. It is better to hold off on investing until clearer positive signals emerge.
The MACD is negative and expanding downward (-0.251), indicating bearish momentum. RSI is neutral at 42.801, not providing a clear signal. Moving averages are bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), but the stock is trading below the pivot level of 126.506, with support at 122.306. These mixed signals suggest no strong entry point currently.
Heavy construction equipment market projected to grow at 6.2% annually through
Analysts have raised price targets recently, with JPMorgan upgrading to Overweight and projecting margin recovery in 2026.
Insider selling has increased by 604% in the last month.
Recent financial performance shows significant YoY declines in revenue (-13.74%), net income (-36.14%), and EPS (-35.76%).
Stock trend analysis predicts a potential decline of -2.88% in the next week and -10.85% in the next month.
In Q4 2025, Paccar's revenue dropped to $6.82 billion (-13.74% YoY), net income dropped to $556.9 million (-36.14% YoY), and EPS dropped to $1.06 (-35.76% YoY). Gross margin slightly improved to 19.29% (+0.10% YoY), but overall financial performance was weak.
Analyst sentiment is mixed. JPMorgan upgraded the stock to Overweight with a price target of $133, citing margin recovery and multi-year share gain opportunities. However, other analysts like Morgan Stanley and Citi maintain Neutral or Equal Weight ratings, with price targets ranging from $109 to $125.
