Stock Price & Analysis

Based on the recent data, PCAR stock shows mixed signals that suggest caution. Recent insider selling activity with the CFO disposing of 20% of holdings and no insider purchases in the past 6 months indicates potential concerns from company leadership. Additionally, institutional investors show divided sentiment with 459 increasing and 529 decreasing their positions.

The stock has significantly underperformed the broader market, gaining only 3.3% compared to the S&P 500's 22.8% rise over the past year. Q4 earnings missed estimates with adjusted EPS of $1.66, down 38.5% year-over-year, while revenue declined 14.3% to $7.4 billion.

However, there are some positive indicators:

• JPMorgan recently raised its price target to $132, suggesting 22.6% upside potential
• Consensus rating remains "Moderate Buy" from 15 analysts
• Peter Lynch's P/E/Growth model gives PCAR a strong 91% rating

Given the recent insider selling, weak earnings performance, and significant market underperformance, selling PCAR stock appears to be the more prudent action at current levels despite some positive analyst sentiment.

Based on recent analyst reports and market data, PACCAR (PCAR) stock is projected to reach $117-132 by end of 2025, with JPMorgan setting the highest target at $132. The bullish outlook is supported by strong infrastructure spending driving demand for vocational trucks, though European market weakness and FX headwinds pose some risks. The consensus among 15 analysts maintains a "Moderate Buy" rating, with expectations of modest 9.3% upside from current levels around $108.

The S1 support level for PCAR Stock is $101.2 ,The R1 resistant level for PCAR Stock is $107.84.

As of the end of day on 2025-03-06, the price of PCAR Stock was $106.9.

The target price for PCAR Stock according to analyst rating is 123.63, with the highest price target at 134.00 and the lowest at 115.00. Analysts have a Moderate Buy rating on PCAR Stock overall.

The market cap of PCAR is $56.1B.

Based on the provided data, here is a comprehensive analysis of PCAR's valuation:

Technical Analysis

Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

Current Market Position

• PCAR has significantly underperformed the broader market, gaining only 3.3% compared to S&P 500's 22.8% over the past year
• The stock is currently trading at a market cap of $56.1 billion
• Recent Q4 earnings missed estimates with EPS of $1.66 vs $1.68 expected, and revenue declined 14.3% YoY

Insider & Institutional Activity

• Recent insider selling: President & CFO sold 28,676 shares (~$3M, 20% of holdings)
• Institutional sentiment is mixed: 459 institutions increased holdings while 529 reduced positions
• No insider purchases in the last 6 months, with 9 sales recorded

Analyst Sentiment

• Consensus rating is "Moderate Buy" from 15 analysts:
  • 6 Strong Buy
  • 8 Hold
  • 1 Strong Sell
• JPMorgan maintains "Overweight" rating with $132 price target (highest)
• Mean price target is $117.70, suggesting 9.3% upside potential

Forward Outlook

• EPS expected to decline 3.8% YoY to $7.60 in FY2025
• Challenges include:
  • Unfavorable foreign exchange impacts
  • Weaker European truck market demand
  • Declining revenue across trucks, parts, and other segments

Based on the analysis, PCAR appears overvalued at current levels due to:

1. Significant underperformance vs market despite premium valuation
2. Insider selling pattern
3. Mixed institutional sentiment
4. Expected earnings decline
5. Multiple operational headwinds

PACCAR Inc is a multinational company, which has three segments. The Truck segment includes the designing, manufacturing and distribution of light-, medium- and heavy-duty commercial trucks. Heavy-duty trucks have a gross vehicle weight (GVW) of over 33,000 lbs in North America and over 16 metric tons in Europe and South America. Medium-duty trucks have a GVW ranging from 19,500 to 33,000 lbs in North America, and in Europe, light- and medium-duty trucks range between 6-16 metric tons. Trucks are configured with the engine in front of cab (conventional) or cab-over-engine. The Parts segment includes the distribution of aftermarket parts for trucks and related commercial vehicles. The Financial Services segment includes finance and leasing products and services provided to customers and dealers. Its finance and leasing activities are principally related to the Company’s products and associated equipment. Its other business includes the manufacturing and marketing of industrial winches.

Based on the available data and market analysis, PACCAR (PCAR) stock is projected to reach approximately $145-155 by 2030, driven by its strong market position in commercial trucks and continued investments in next-generation powertrains and technology. The company's robust financial health, with a current market cap of $56.1 billion and strategic focus on infrastructure spending and technological advancement, supports this growth trajectory. However, recent earnings challenges and European market weakness could moderate the growth rate, though the company's planned investments of $700-800 million in capital projects and $460-500 million in R&D for 2025 indicate strong future potential.

PCAR has a total of 32400 employees.