Technical Analysis
Based on recent price action and technical indicators, PCAR shows a bearish trend in the short term. The stock has formed a descending pattern after hitting resistance around $110 level. The recent insider selling activity by CFO Harrie Schippers of 28,676 shares adds to the bearish sentiment.
Fundamental Analysis
The company reported disappointing Q4 earnings with EPS of $1.66, missing estimates and showing a 38.5% YoY decline. Revenue came in at $7.4 billion, down 14.3% YoY. Analysts expect EPS to decline 3.8% YoY to $7.60 for FY2025.
Institutional Sentiment Recent institutional activity shows mixed sentiment with 459 investors increasing positions while 529 reducing holdings. This indicates more institutions are taking defensive positions.
Price Target Analysis JPMorgan maintains an "Overweight" rating with a $132 price target, suggesting 22.6% upside potential. The consensus price target is $117.7, indicating 9.3% upside from current levels.
Next Week's Price Prediction Based on technical indicators and bearish fundamentals:
Recommendation: SELL
The stock is likely to test lower support levels next week before finding stability. Current shareholders should consider taking profits or implementing stop losses around $105.
The price of PCAR is predicted to go up -3.64%, based on the high correlation periods with MUX. The similarity of these two price pattern on the periods is 93.64%.
PCAR
MUX
Strong freight demand and profitability allows fleet owners to replace aging trucks, pushing new truck orders and revenue for Paccar higher.
Fleet owners opt to increase purchases of Paccar's premium truck brands to attract and retain truck drivers, especially during periods of tight labor in the trucking industry.
New emission regulation in Brazil, India, China, and Australia pushes fleet owners to buy more emission-compliant trucks, benefiting Paccar.
Truist Securities
2025-01-16
Price Target
$110 → $112
Upside
+1.51%
Citigroup
2025-01-14
Price Target
$125 → $115
Upside
+4.23%
JP Morgan
2025-01-13
Price Target
$122 → $125
Upside
+13.3%