PBPB Valuation

Potbelly Corp

Add to Watchlist

Advanced Chart

12.940

-0.08(-0.614%)1D

Overview
Forecast
Valuation
Earnings

PBPB Relative Valuation

PBPB's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, PBPB is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.

Historical Valuation

Potbelly Corp (PBPB) is now in the Overvalued zone, suggesting that its current forward PS ratio of 0.80 is considered Overvalued compared with the five-year average of 20.24. The fair price of Potbelly Corp (PBPB) is between 6.37 to 10.16 according to relative valuation methord. Compared to the current price of 12.94 USD , Potbelly Corp is Overvalued By 27.33%.

Relative Value

Fair Zone

6.37-10.16

Current Price：12.94

27.33%

Overvalued

41.41

Trailing

Forward

14.07

EV/EBITDA

Potbelly Corp. (PBPB) has a current EV/EBITDA of 14.07. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is 9.37. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -67.75, Undervalued between -67.75 and -29.19, Fairly Valued between 47.92 and -29.19, Overvalued between 47.92 and 86.48, and Strongly Overvalued above 86.48. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 14.07 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

35.12

EV/EBIT

Potbelly Corp. (PBPB) has a current EV/EBIT of 35.12. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is -67.49. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -898.48, Undervalued between -898.48 and -482.98, Fairly Valued between 348.00 and -482.98, Overvalued between 348.00 and 763.50, and Strongly Overvalued above 763.50. The current Forward EV/EBIT of 35.12 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

0.80

Potbelly Corp. (PBPB) has a current PS of 0.80. The 5-year average PS is 0.49. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below 0.20, Undervalued between 0.20 and 0.35, Fairly Valued between 0.64 and 0.35, Overvalued between 0.64 and 0.79, and Strongly Overvalued above 0.79. The current Forward PS of 0.80 falls within the Strongly Overvalued range.

12.01

P/OCF

Potbelly Corp. (PBPB) has a current P/OCF of 12.01. The 5-year average P/OCF is 5.94. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -7.00, Undervalued between -7.00 and -0.53, Fairly Valued between 12.42 and -0.53, Overvalued between 12.42 and 18.89, and Strongly Overvalued above 18.89. The current Forward P/OCF of 12.01 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

85.12

P/FCF

Potbelly Corp. (PBPB) has a current P/FCF of 85.12. The 5-year average P/FCF is 81.13. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -454.52, Undervalued between -454.52 and -186.70, Fairly Valued between 348.95 and -186.70, Overvalued between 348.95 and 616.78, and Strongly Overvalued above 616.78. The current Forward P/FCF of 85.12 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.

Potbelly Corp (PBPB) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 6.38. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 31.42 , the current P/B ratio is approximately -79.69% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of -16.72, the current P/B ratio is about -138.17% higher. Potbelly Corp (PBPB) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 4.28%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of 1.08%, the current FCF yield is approximately 295.19% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of -3.62% , the current FCF yield is about -218.11% lower.

6.38

P/B

Median3y

31.42

Median5y

-16.72

4.28

FCF Yield

Median3y

1.08

Median5y

-3.62

Competitors Valuation Multiple

The average P/S ratio for PBPB's competitors is 0.52, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Potbelly Corp Corp (PBPB) exhibits a P/S ratio of 0.80, which is 53.72% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of 3.35%, this premium appears unsustainable.

P/S

P/E

EV/EBITDA

EV/EBIT

P/S

Revenue Growth

Market Cap

Dine Brands Global Inc

RCI Hospitality Holdings Inc

El Pollo Loco Holdings Inc

0.64

2.99%

318.85M

Performance Decomposition

Market capitalization of PBPB increased by 55.16% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an increase in P/E Change from 15.33 to 37.36.

The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed 3.35%to the performance.

Overall, the performance of PBPB in the past 1 year is driven by P/E Change. Which is more unsustainable.

3.35%

119.70M → 123.71M

Revenue Growth

-91.91%

29.17 → 2.36

Margin Expansion

143.72%

15.33 → 37.36

P/E Change

55.16%