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PBPB Earnings

Potbelly Corp
$
12.745
+0.145(1.151%)1D
  • Overview
  • Forecast
  • Valuation
  • Earnings

Earning Analysis

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of Potbelly Corp(PBPB) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of Potbelly Corp earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.

Earnings Forecast

Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate

Surprise Analysis

Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal QuarterEarning DateTimeEstimateActualSurprise%EstimateActualSurprise%1D5D
FY2025Q22025-08-06After Hours0.080.09+12.50122.65M123.71M+0.87+13.12-
FY2025Q12025-05-07After Hours-0.020.00+100.00111.74M113.68M+1.74+18.11+20.44
FY2024Q42025-03-06After Hours0.060.13+116.67116.37M116.63M+0.22-18.20-22.18
FY2024Q22024-08-08After Hours0.050.08+60.00119.63M119.70M+0.05+5.41+15.35
FY2024Q12024-05-08--0.020.01+150.00109.53M111.15M+1.49+1.95-9.94
FY2023Q42024-03-07-0.020.02-125.16M125.75M+0.47+0.97-14.44
FY2023Q32023-11-01-0.020.04+100.00121.60M120.77M-0.68-+12.84
-2023-05-04-0.030.02-33.33----0.09-21.72
-2023-03-02-0.130.09-30.77---+1.10+21.76
-2022-11-03-0.070.01-85.71----0.98+7.42

PBPB Earnings Analysis

Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, Potbelly Corp reported performance for FY2025Q2, announced on 2025-08-06. The company achieved an EPS of 0.09, compared to analyst estimates of 0.08 by 12.50% . Revenue for the quarter reached 123.71M compared to expectations of 122.65M by 0.87% .
The stock price reacted with a 13.12% one-day change and a % five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in Potbelly Corp growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

PBPB Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, Potbelly Corp(PBPB) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q3 project quarter revenue of 119.38M and an EPS of 0.08.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Upward by 0.06%, while EPS estimates have been No Change by 0%. For the upcoming Q3 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Upward by 0.15% . These revisions correlate with a 25.94% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in Potbelly Corp long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

Estimate Revision

The chart shows the correlation between PBPB's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
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+0.06%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
No Change
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0.00%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q3 2025
Revise Upward
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+0.15%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Up
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+25.94%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
--
Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:475.97M
--
EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:0.26
Stock Price12.74

PBPB Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective

Potbelly Corp revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q2 (2025-08-06,After Hours):
EPS: 0.09 (Actual) vs.0.08 (Estimate) (12.50%)
Revenue: 123.71M (Actual) vs. 122.65M (Estimate) (0.87%)
Price Reaction: 13.12%(1-Day), %(5-Day)
FY2025Q1 (2025-05-07,After Hours):
EPS: 0.00 (Actual) vs.-0.02 (Estimate) (100.00%)
Revenue: 113.68M (Actual) vs. 111.74M (Estimate) (1.74%)
Price Reaction: 18.11%(1-Day), 20.44%(5-Day)
FY2024Q4 (2025-03-06,After Hours):
EPS: 0.13 (Actual) vs.0.06 (Estimate) (116.67%)
Revenue: 116.63M (Actual) vs. 116.37M (Estimate) (0.22%)
Price Reaction: -18.20%(1-Day), -22.18%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how PBPB performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, PBPB sees a +1.75% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +0.83% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by +1.24%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in JUN/2025, the stock changed 13.12% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by 10.73% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.

Transcript Summary

Potbelly Corp (PBPB) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-08-06
The earnings call reveals strong financial performance with a 13% revenue growth, improved margins, and increased same-store sales. The Q&A highlights a solid pipeline for franchise expansion and confidence in future sales growth driven by digital and menu innovations. While there is some pressure on low-income consumers, the overall sentiment is positive, supported by strategic initiatives and a share buyback program. The lack of specific guidance for 2026 is a minor concern but does not overshadow the positive outlook.
Potbelly Corp (PBPB) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-05-07
The earnings call presents a mixed sentiment. Financial performance shows modest growth, but there are concerns with negative same-store sales growth and decreased adjusted EBITDA. Positive factors include menu innovation, strong franchise growth, and digital investments. The share repurchase program is a positive shareholder return plan, but the Q&A reveals some uncertainties, such as unclear metrics on digital orders and franchise incentives. Overall, the sentiment is neutral, with balanced positive and negative factors influencing potential stock price movement.
Potbelly Corp (PBPB) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-03-08
The earnings call presents a mixed picture. While EPS exceeded expectations and there was a strong adjusted EBITDA growth, revenue and same-store sales guidance are negative, indicating potential challenges. Competitive pressures and supply chain concerns further complicate the outlook. The share repurchase program and franchise revenue growth are positives, but they are offset by cautious guidance and lack of clarity in management's responses. The stock price is likely to remain stable over the next two weeks due to these balanced factors, resulting in a neutral prediction.
Potbelly Corp (PBPB) Q4 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-03-06
The earnings call presents a mixed picture: financial performance is stable with improved margins and adjusted net income, but revenue is down. The share repurchase program is positive, yet supply chain and competitive pressures pose challenges. Q&A insights reveal stable new unit performance and strong underlying demand, but uncertainties remain with menu innovation and cost pressures. Overall, the sentiment is neutral, with no strong catalysts for significant stock movement.
Potbelly Corporation (PBPB) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2024-11-09
The earnings call presents a mixed picture: system-wide sales and franchise revenue increased, but overall revenue and same-store sales decreased. The share repurchase program is a positive signal, but management's vague guidance on unit growth and refranchising plans raises concerns. The Q&A reveals cautious optimism about future growth, but no strong catalysts were mentioned. The stock price reaction is likely to be neutral, as positive elements like improved margins and adjusted EBITDA growth are offset by uncertainties in sales trends and future expansion.

FAQ

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What were the key highlights of PBPB’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q2?

PBPB reported its FY2025Q2 earnings on 2025-08-06, showcasing a revenue of 123.71M against an estimate of 122.65M, resulting in a 0.87% surprise. The EPS was 0.09, surpassing the expected 0.08 by 12.5% . The stock experienced a 13.12% price change on the earnings day and a 0% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
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How did PBPB’s stock price react after the FY2025Q2 earnings release?

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What are the revenue and EPS estimates for PBPB for 2025/Q3?

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How does PBPB’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

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What should investors expect from PBPB’s next earnings report?

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What is the sentiment in Potbelly Corp (PBPB) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary?