MBI Earnings

MBI reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-11-04, showcasing a revenue of 15.00M against an estimate of 21.00M, resulting in a -28.57% surprise. The EPS was 1.03, surpassing the expected -0.03 by 3533.33% . The stock experienced a 9.29% price change on the earnings day and a 11.36% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.

Following MBI's FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-11-04, the stock price moved by 9.29% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a 11.36% change. Historically, MBI's stock price tends to shift by an average of -2.26% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and -6.51% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.

For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate MBI’s annual revenue to reach 27.00M, while the EPS is projected at 0.00. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Upward by 52.65% and EPS estimates Revise Upward by 32.5% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.

The correlation between MBI's stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Upward by 52.65%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Upward by 32.5% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.

Based on historical trends, MBI's stock price typically moves by -2.26% in the 10 days before its earnings and -6.51% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 0.00 and revenue of 27.00M.

The earnings call summary shows mixed results: strong improvement in National's performance due to reduced losses and LAE, but MBIA Insurance Corp. faces losses and declining resources. The Q&A reveals uncertainties about strategic decisions and potential delays in oversight board approvals. While the company has buyback capacity and improved net income, the unresolved PREPA exposure and unclear strategic direction temper enthusiasm. The market may remain cautious, leading to a neutral stock price movement.