OTLY Relative Valuation
OTLY's fair value is calculated using relative valuation, based on historical P/E and P/S ranges and their premiums/discounts relative to a competitor average, adjusted by weights. If the market price exceeds this fair value range, OTLY is overvalued; if below, it's undervalued.
Historical Valuation
Oatly Group AB (publ) (OTLY) is now in the Fair zone, suggesting that its current forward PS ratio of 0.00 is considered Fairly compared with the five-year average of -11.53. The fair price of Oatly Group AB (publ) (OTLY) is between to according to relative valuation methord.
Relative Value
Fair Zone
-
Current Price：12.34
Fair
-4.40
PE
1Y
3Y
5Y
Trailing
Forward
30.86
EV/EBITDA
Oatly Group AB (publ). (OTLY) has a current EV/EBITDA of 30.86. The 5-year average EV/EBITDA is -19.78. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -143.20, Undervalued between -143.20 and -81.49, Fairly Valued between 41.93 and -81.49, Overvalued between 41.93 and 103.65, and Strongly Overvalued above 103.65. The current Forward EV/EBITDA of 30.86 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.
-26.48
EV/EBIT
Oatly Group AB (publ). (OTLY) has a current EV/EBIT of -26.48. The 5-year average EV/EBIT is -15.78. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -47.13, Undervalued between -47.13 and -31.46, Fairly Valued between -0.11 and -31.46, Overvalued between -0.11 and 15.56, and Strongly Overvalued above 15.56. The current Forward EV/EBIT of -26.48 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.
0.43
PS
Oatly Group AB (publ). (OTLY) has a current PS of 0.43. The 5-year average PS is 2.75. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -5.78, Undervalued between -5.78 and -1.52, Fairly Valued between 7.01 and -1.52, Overvalued between 7.01 and 11.28, and Strongly Overvalued above 11.28. The current Forward PS of 0.43 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.
-12.07
P/OCF
Oatly Group AB (publ). (OTLY) has a current P/OCF of -12.07. The 5-year average P/OCF is -18.02. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -58.34, Undervalued between -58.34 and -38.18, Fairly Valued between 2.14 and -38.18, Overvalued between 2.14 and 22.30, and Strongly Overvalued above 22.30. The current Forward P/OCF of -12.07 falls within the Historic Trend Line -Fairly Valued range.
-24.13
P/FCF
Oatly Group AB (publ). (OTLY) has a current P/FCF of -24.13. The 5-year average P/FCF is -8.14. The thresholds are as follows: Strongly Undervalued below -23.89, Undervalued between -23.89 and -16.01, Fairly Valued between -0.26 and -16.01, Overvalued between -0.26 and 7.61, and Strongly Overvalued above 7.61. The current Forward P/FCF of -24.13 falls within the Strongly Undervalued range.
Oatly Group AB (publ) (OTLY) has a current Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 20.02. Compared to its 3-year average P/B ratio of 3.47 , the current P/B ratio is approximately 476.57% higher. Relative to its 5-year average P/B ratio of 4.49, the current P/B ratio is about 346.01% higher. Oatly Group AB (publ) (OTLY) has a Forward Free Cash Flow (FCF) yield of approximately 0.00%. Compared to its 3-year average FCF yield of -38.13%, the current FCF yield is approximately -100.00% lower. Relative to its 5-year average FCF yield of -30.82% , the current FCF yield is about -100.00% lower.
20.19
P/B
Median3y
3.47
Median5y
4.49
-13.72
FCF Yield
Median3y
-38.13
Median5y
-30.82
Competitors Valuation Multiple
The average P/S ratio for OTLY's competitors is 0.00, providing a benchmark for relative valuation. Oatly Group AB (publ) Corp (OTLY) exhibits a P/S ratio of , which is NaN% above the industry average. Given its robust revenue growth of 7.11%, this premium appears unsustainable.
P/S
P/E
EV/EBITDA
EV/EBIT
P/S
Revenue Growth
Market Cap
Performance Decomposition
1Y
3Y
5Y
Market capitalization of OTLY decreased by 6.16% over the past 1 year. The primary factor behind the change was an decrease in Margin Expansion from -16.65 to -29.36.
The secondary factor is the Revenue Growth, contributed 7.11%to the performance.
Overall, the performance of OTLY in the past 1 year is driven by Margin Expansion. Which is more sustainable.
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