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OTLY Earnings

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Earning Analysis

Welcome to our in-depth analysis of Oatly Group AB (publ)(OTLY) earnings, offering investors a detailed look into the company’s financial performance, revenue trends, earnings per share (EPS), and market reactions. This page provides a comprehensive overview of Oatly Group AB (publ) earnings history, forecasts, and key financial metrics, empowering you with the data needed to make informed investment decisions. Whether you're tracking quarterly results, analyzing earnings surprises, or exploring future projections, our detailed breakdown covers it all.

Earnings Forecast

Revenue
EPS
Currency: USD
Actual
Estimate

Surprise Analysis

Name
EPS
Revenue
Price Reaction
Fiscal QuarterEarning DateTimeEstimateActualSurprise%EstimateActualSurprise%1D5D
Fiscal Quarter
Earning Date
Time
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
Estimate
Actual
Surprise%
1D
5D
FY2025Q32025-10-29Pre-Market-0.63-2.15-241.27211.00M222.80M+5.59-3.46-4.99
FY2025Q22025-07-23Pre-Market-0.68-1.86-173.53201.45M208.35M+3.43+0.85-2.56
FY2025Q12025-04-30Pre-Market-0.95-0.51+46.32202.45M197.53M-2.43-1.36+4.28
FY2024Q42025-02-12Pre-Market-0.08-0.15-87.50218.13M214.32M-1.75-34.15-26.03
FY2024Q22024-07-24--0.07-0.05+28.57201.29M202.20M+0.45-3.20-3.50
FY2024Q12024-04-30--0.09-0.08+11.11197.67M199.16M+0.75+15.00+29.00
FY2023Q42024-02-15--0.08-0.16-100.00192.15M204.12M+6.23-10.37-9.63
FY2023Q32023-11-09--0.12-0.07+41.67193.26M187.60M-2.93-8.17-11.67
FY2023Q22023-07-27--0.12-0.14-16.67209.41M195.99M-6.41-23.96-34.10
-2023-03-15--0.14-0.21-50.00---+3.40+28.16
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OTLY Earnings Analysis

Our earnings analysis provides a granular look at the company’s performance across recent fiscal quarters, highlighting key metrics such as revenue, EPS, and operating margins. By examining actual results against analyst estimates, we uncover trends and surprises that drive stock price movements, offering valuable insights for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
In the most recent quarter, Oatly Group AB (publ) reported performance for FY2025Q3, announced on 2025-10-29. The company achieved an EPS of -2.15, compared to analyst estimates of -0.63 by -241.27% . Revenue for the quarter reached 222.80M compared to expectations of 211.00M by 5.59% .
The stock price reacted with a -3.46% one-day change and a -4.99% five-day change following the earnings release. These movements reflect market reaction in Oatly Group AB (publ) growth trajectory and strategic initiatives.

OTLY Earnings Forecast

Looking ahead, Oatly Group AB (publ)(OTLY) remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 216.05M and an EPS of -0.83.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Upward by 1.02%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Upward by 45.49%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Downward by -3% . These revisions correlate with a -28.05% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in Oatly Group AB (publ) long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.

Estimate Revision

The chart shows the correlation between OTLY's stock price and earnings forecast revisions. Positive revisions in Revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock's fundamentals, making price dips potential buying opportunities.
Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
up Image
+1.02%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
up Image
+45.49%
In Past 3 Month
Revenue Estimates for Q4 2025
Revise Downward
down Image
-3%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Down
down Image
-28.05%
In Past 3 Month
1Y
3Y
5Y
Annual FY 2025
Currency: USD
Currency: USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
--
Revenue Estimate-Annual FY 2025:845.08M
--
EPS Estimate-Annual FY 2025:-4.62
—
Stock Price12.44
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OTLY Revenue and EPS Performance: A Historical Perspective

Oatly Group AB (publ) revenue and earnings per share (EPS) performance over recent quarters provides a clear picture of its financial health. Below is a detailed breakdown of the company’s earnings history, showcasing actual results, analyst estimates, and surprise percentages for key fiscal quarters:
FY2025Q3 (2025-10-29,Pre-Market):
EPS: -2.15 (Actual) vs.-0.63 (Estimate) (-241.27%)
Revenue: 222.80M (Actual) vs. 211.00M (Estimate) (5.59%)
Price Reaction: -3.46%(1-Day), -4.99%(5-Day)
FY2025Q2 (2025-07-23,Pre-Market):
EPS: -1.86 (Actual) vs.-0.68 (Estimate) (-173.53%)
Revenue: 208.35M (Actual) vs. 201.45M (Estimate) (3.43%)
Price Reaction: 0.85%(1-Day), -2.56%(5-Day)
FY2025Q1 (2025-04-30,Pre-Market):
EPS: -0.51 (Actual) vs.-0.95 (Estimate) (46.32%)
Revenue: 197.53M (Actual) vs. 202.45M (Estimate) (-2.43%)
Price Reaction: -1.36%(1-Day), 4.28%(5-Day)
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how OTLY performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, OTLY sees a +1.85% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a +4.06% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -6.53%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed 3.91% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by -10.08% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Transcript Summary

Oatly Group AB (publ) (OTLY) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-10-29
The earnings call shows mixed signals: positive trends in Europe and product innovation are offset by challenges in North America and lack of detailed guidance. Q&A insights reveal optimism in growth strategies, but vague responses about profitability and cash flow improvements are concerning. Strong European performance and cost optimization provide balance, but uncertainties in North America and overall guidance keep sentiment neutral.
Oatly Group AB (publ) (OTLY) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Neutral
2025-07-23
Despite positive signals like cost reductions and margin expansion, the earnings call highlighted challenges in key markets, particularly North America and China. The strategic review of China and operational issues in North America raise concerns. While Europe shows strong growth, the overall guidance is modest. The Q&A reveals management's focus on efficiencies and market strategies, but lacks clear resolutions for the challenges. The mix of positive and negative aspects suggests a neutral sentiment.
Oatly Group AB (publ) (OTLY) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2025-05-01
The earnings report shows improvements in key financial metrics such as EPS, gross margin, and free cash flow, despite a slight revenue decline. Cost management strategies are yielding results. The Q&A section indicates optimism about market opportunities and distribution growth. While management avoided providing specific guidance, the overall sentiment is positive with improvements in financial health and strategic positioning. The absence of a share buyback program is a minor negative, but overall, the financial improvements and optimistic market outlook suggest a positive stock price movement.
Oatly Group AB (publ) (OTLY) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Summary
Negative
2025-04-30
The earnings call highlights several challenges: competitive pressures and sales decline in North America, supply chain issues, and unclear guidance on gross margins. Despite a slight constant-currency revenue growth and improved free cash flow, the lack of a share buyback program and unclear responses in the Q&A section contribute to uncertainty. The positive gross margin and adjusted EBITDA improvements are overshadowed by weak revenue and competitive pressures, leading to a negative sentiment prediction.
Oatly Group AB (OTLY) Q3 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-11-07
Oatly's earnings call reflects strong operational efficiencies, improved gross margins, and a significant reduction in EBITDA loss. Despite some challenges in revenue growth guidance and competitive pressures, the company's strategic initiatives and improved financial metrics suggest a positive outlook. The lack of shareholder return plans is a minor drawback, but the overall sentiment is bolstered by strong financial performance and optimistic guidance.
Oatly Group AB (OTLY) Q2 2024 Earnings Call Summary
Positive
2024-07-24
The earnings call presents a positive outlook with strong financial performance, improved guidance, and strategic growth initiatives. Gross margin improved significantly, and North America showed positive EBITDA. Despite competition and regulatory challenges, the company is confident in its second-half performance. However, the absence of a shareholder return plan and strategic manufacturing exits pose minor risks. The Q&A section reveals cautious optimism, with management reinvesting in growth. Overall, the positive factors outweigh the negatives, suggesting a stock price increase of 2% to 8%.

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FAQ

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What were the key highlights of OTLY’s latest earnings report for FY2025Q3?

OTLY reported its FY2025Q3 earnings on 2025-10-29, showcasing a revenue of 222.80M against an estimate of 211.00M, resulting in a 5.59% surprise. The EPS was -2.15, surpassing the expected -0.63 by -241.27% . The stock experienced a -3.46% price change on the earnings day and a -4.99% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
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How did OTLY’s stock price react after the FY2025Q3 earnings release?

Following OTLY’s FY2025Q3 earnings announcement on 2025-10-29, the stock price moved by -3.46% on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a -4.99% change. Historically, OTLY’s stock price tends to shift by an average of +1.85% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and +4.06% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
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What are the revenue and EPS estimates for OTLY for 2025/Q4?

For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate OTLY’s annual revenue to reach 216.05M, while the EPS is projected at -0.83. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Upward by 1.02% and EPS estimates Revise Downward by -3% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
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How does OTLY’s stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?

The correlation between OTLY’s stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Upward by 1.02%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Downward by -3% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
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What should investors expect from OTLY’s next earnings report?

Based on historical trends, OTLY’s stock price typically moves by +1.85% in the 10 days before its earnings and +4.06% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of -0.83 and revenue of 216.05M.
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What is the sentiment in Oatly Group AB (publ) (OTLY) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary?

The earnings call shows mixed signals: positive trends in Europe and product innovation are offset by challenges in North America and lack of detailed guidance. Q&A insights reveal optimism in growth strategies, but vague responses about profitability and cash flow improvements are concerning. Strong European performance and cost optimization provide balance, but uncertainties in North America and overall guidance keep sentiment neutral.
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